MS
1%er
None of that changes the fact that if he were to bounce back to his 2020-21 point per game place / games played that he would hit 70 plus points. Like I said, there are reason why he may not some of which you have listed but that doesn’t change what it would mean for him to “bounce back”.
Staying healthy and producing for a full 82-game season to finish at 70-80 points would not be a 'bounce-back'. It would be totally new territory for him and easily the best season of his career.
Technically, an exact bounce-back to some of his earlier seasons would be scoring 52 points in 63 games or some such.
But when a player looks like absolute garbage for a full NHL season, a 'bounce back' isn't necessarily to exactly what his previous form was. Like, if PK Subban scores 45 points and does a good job as a top-4 defender next year somewhere, that would be considered a major bounce-back even if it's nowhere near where he was at a few years ago. Likewise, if Boeser scored 55-60 points, to me that would be a significant bounce-back, and probably the most realistic sort of bounce-back that could be expected. 70-80 points is just pie in the sky. Sure,, if it happens his value will probably go up ... but what are the odds that that actually happens?