Well a high second and look at all the success we had with seconds. I still think you have to hope a player has potential to be a top 6 or top 4 D.
Look at Championship rosters in the NHL over the last decade and you'll see they had strong bottom-six performers who can play in all situations, go out there and grind down their opponents. You absolutely need guys like that and in my opinion, with my draft philosophy, taking someone who can foot the bill on that at No. 30 OA is completely fine.
It's unrealistic to build the top-half of your roster when selecting towards the end of the first round and matter of fact it's a statistical anomaly.
I look at the Beecher pick in the same light that I look at the Coyle trade. Bruins traded Ryan Donato, an offensive catalyst with upside, for a third-line, middle-six center in Coyle who drives possession and is clearly a glue guy to the locker room to boot. The Bruins did something similar here, IMO, when it comes to taking Beecher over Kaliyev or Hoglander. At the top of their game, those two project to be solid point producers and a potential high-end scorer in Kaliyev.
But what do they offer your team when the puck isn't on their stick, checking is tight (playoffs) and you need to survive the last 10 minutes of a third-period with the game on the line? Probably not as much of a Beecher type.
Though this does speak to the larger issue of some of us (not saying you) not placing proper value into metrics aside from points. Points are a weird thing anyways because a secondary assist and primary assist, depending on how it's generated, isn't nearly as impressive or valuable as a straight up goal is. So if Beecher had 12 more secondary assists this year, we would all be arbitrarily looking at the production and saying "Wow, he's doing SO well" even though that might not even be the case.
Those points could have come because he was just letting his line do the heavy lifting and moving the puck quickly to them in his own zone before they go off to the races by themselves, you know?
Transition, zone-entry and possession metrics are more valuable in my eyes than stat checking for how many points someone in Beecher's situation is racking up as he was never going to be a big-time point producer from day one.