What would be your suggestion for the Blues in this situation then? I feel like you're never in favor of any proposals brought up, so I'm curious to hear how you would improve the Blues with the pieces we currently have. It's likely that this current edition of the Blues will falter as usual in the playoffs.
This isn't mean to be an attack on you or anything, I'm just genuinely curious.
Well, I don't think most of these trade proposals do much to address the underlying problems of the team, which I think are more systematic/philosophical than personnel/talent based at this point. Personally, I think step number one is finding a new coach, and quite possibly a new GM.
The Blues have the talent on defense to be an elite transition team. Hitchcock has been struggling for years to get the most out of the Blues in that area, especially in the playoffs where teams are able to develop and implement opponent specific game plans more easily than during the regular season.
If you have an elite transition game, you're going to be a very competitive team. Our raw talent in that area is one reason why we've been such a good regular season team in recent years. Pietrangelo and Shattenkirk are both capable of single-handedly driving transition play even when the system is a mess, and they often do, but that becomes so much harder for them in the playoffs when teams are scheming specifically to take them away. I think the Blues need to find a coach who can maximize the team's potential in that area to really take the next step. It would be priority number one if I was in charge.
I'd like to see a defined philosophical shift towards focusing more on either possession or counter-attack play. If it's the former, we need to place more of an organizational emphasis on forwards with raw puck skills (in addition to the other qualities we value). If it's the latter, more on speed.
Either way, the Blues approach to drafting forwards outside of the first round needs a serious overhaul, IMO. Whichever route is chosen will help determine which players on our current roster are expendable, and what types of players we should be targeting to draft/acquire.
Short and long-term, I'd encourage our defensemen to be as active as possible (both in transition, and when set up in the zone). Not just aggressively pinching, but actively cycling down low and executing weak-side attacks. Chicago does this, and it creates a lot of offensive chances for them. We had a lot of success with it early in the year. We definitely have the talent on the back end to justify doing it (with more on the way in Dunn, etc.), but I think it grates against Hitchcock's conservative tendencies.
There are other things that I'd like to see as well, but those are some major ones.
Bottom line for me is that this team isn't a player swap away from fixing anything. Even if Johansen didn't have any question marks or concerns, what does trading Shattenkirk for him accomplish? We've just moved one really important player putting up a lot of points for another one at a different position. If we haven't increased the talent level of the team or fixed a bigger picture problem, we're basically just shuffling deck chairs.
Is that going to fix our transition game? Almost certainly not. It could actually make it worse, given how important Shattenkirk is to that. Is the team going to score more goals? Well, Johansen will score more than Shattenkirk, but there will also be an overall decrease in goals from the poorer transition play and less efficient power play. They'll also give up a few more than they would have otherwise given up due to the downgrade on defense. Personally, I think it's unlikely that there's a significant positive net effect on the team's GF/GA ratio.
Is it going to lead to post-season success? Almost certainly not. Shattenkirk's been a PPG player the last two playoffs. Even if Johansen replicates that production and plays relatively sound defense, we're still just basically treading water in terms of raw talent level. Unless you're upgrading the roster talent, this team's post-season success (or lack of it) will once again come down to getting the most out of the talent we have in terms of team play. Now we've circled back around to our coach.
Does it fill a long-term roster hole? Well, maybe. This is where all those concerns with Johansen come into play. I think Shattenkirk is more likely to stick around, and much more likely to be affordable, and less likely to be a headache in any other way. Since they are both impact players at premium positions, the choice is an easy one for me.
There's a distinct difference between moving Shattenkirk for a center who
might be the right center, and moving him for someone that we are confident is the right center. Shattenkirk is just too valuable to move for a maybe. If that trade is out there, then it should be explored...but if it doesn't exist, then you just have to find another way.