67Blues
Got it for Bobby
I posted this over on the trade board in response to @Bluesnatic27 but I thought I'd copy it over here for discussion. This was talking about dumping Allen and Bozak to make room. I'm open to any corrections or comments on how the Blues go forward over the next two seasons.
It could work (dumping Allen and Bozak at $9m), but a log of things have to fall in place for the next two years to work out.
Right now, for 2020, the Blues have $51,377,499 tied up in 14 forwards with Brouwer as a UFA and DLR as an RFA. On defense, they have $18,400,000 tied up in 5 players with Petro a UFA and Dunn an RFA. Both goalies are locked in at $8,750,000. Total committed salary for 21 players is $78,527,499 or $$2,972,501 cap space.
If you can move Allen and Bozak for $9m, you drop down to roughly $11,972,501 free space. You will have to replace Allen with either Husso or an outside goalie, and I'll assume Husso at $750K hit, so you now have $11,222,501 free. Petro will eat up probably $8.5-9.0m, but I'll split the difference at $8.75m. Now you have $2,472,501 to sign Dunn and keep DLR or use an ELC to replace him. I don't think you'll get Dunn that cheap, let alone afford DLR as he will take a modest increase, from $900k to probably $1.5m. He probably becomes a casualty in all of this and isn't offered a contract, but that isn't a big loss. He can be replaced by Stevens at $700K.
Then things get really tricky because 2021-2022 looms large. For that season, they have 7 forwards under contract at $30,650,00 and (if we include Dunn and Petro at a total of $12m) 7 defensemen (assuming Mikola $787,500 is here) at a cost of $29,287,500. Husso is the only signed goalie at $750,000. So our committed cap at this point is $60,687,500 with $20,812,500 free.
Schwartz will be a UFA and will probably command salary similar to Schenn's $6,500,000. Our RFAs include Sanford (currently at $1,500,000), Barbashev (currently at $1,4750,000), Thomas (a big raise coming), and Kyrou (maybe not so big unless he breaks out this season). Also looming large is Binnington (currently at $4,400,000) as a UFA and I don't know if he has much loyalty to the organization to not dip his toe into the UFA pool and I would assume that he'll want to be paid like a top 5 goalie in the league if he continues his play level next year.
It will take some creative moves from Army to keep the team together going forward. The entire apple cart could be upset if Petro decides he's worth $9.5+m/year in free agent bidding, Dunn gets and offer sheet for $4+m/year, or we have to retain on an Allen or Bozak traded contract. Hopefully Army has a Plan C because Plan A will always fail and Plan B will have some unforeseen circumstances.
It could work (dumping Allen and Bozak at $9m), but a log of things have to fall in place for the next two years to work out.
Right now, for 2020, the Blues have $51,377,499 tied up in 14 forwards with Brouwer as a UFA and DLR as an RFA. On defense, they have $18,400,000 tied up in 5 players with Petro a UFA and Dunn an RFA. Both goalies are locked in at $8,750,000. Total committed salary for 21 players is $78,527,499 or $$2,972,501 cap space.
If you can move Allen and Bozak for $9m, you drop down to roughly $11,972,501 free space. You will have to replace Allen with either Husso or an outside goalie, and I'll assume Husso at $750K hit, so you now have $11,222,501 free. Petro will eat up probably $8.5-9.0m, but I'll split the difference at $8.75m. Now you have $2,472,501 to sign Dunn and keep DLR or use an ELC to replace him. I don't think you'll get Dunn that cheap, let alone afford DLR as he will take a modest increase, from $900k to probably $1.5m. He probably becomes a casualty in all of this and isn't offered a contract, but that isn't a big loss. He can be replaced by Stevens at $700K.
Then things get really tricky because 2021-2022 looms large. For that season, they have 7 forwards under contract at $30,650,00 and (if we include Dunn and Petro at a total of $12m) 7 defensemen (assuming Mikola $787,500 is here) at a cost of $29,287,500. Husso is the only signed goalie at $750,000. So our committed cap at this point is $60,687,500 with $20,812,500 free.
Schwartz will be a UFA and will probably command salary similar to Schenn's $6,500,000. Our RFAs include Sanford (currently at $1,500,000), Barbashev (currently at $1,4750,000), Thomas (a big raise coming), and Kyrou (maybe not so big unless he breaks out this season). Also looming large is Binnington (currently at $4,400,000) as a UFA and I don't know if he has much loyalty to the organization to not dip his toe into the UFA pool and I would assume that he'll want to be paid like a top 5 goalie in the league if he continues his play level next year.
It will take some creative moves from Army to keep the team together going forward. The entire apple cart could be upset if Petro decides he's worth $9.5+m/year in free agent bidding, Dunn gets and offer sheet for $4+m/year, or we have to retain on an Allen or Bozak traded contract. Hopefully Army has a Plan C because Plan A will always fail and Plan B will have some unforeseen circumstances.