Out of curiosity what would an overpayment for Barrie be? $8M? $9M?
I say this because it's easy to say (not directing this towards you) the Avalanche shouldn't trade Barrie, without saying whether they'd be willing to sign him for say $8.5M x 8 or $9M x 8 with a NMC.
Or without saying whether the Avs should pass up high value trade offers say a year out from UFA, when Barrie and Newport are asking for X amount and not budging from it. I find that's how a lot of these conversations go.
I have absolutely no idea in terms of $$$ what an overpayment for Barrie would be.
He's still 2 years from free agency. It's impossible to say what market value for a high end 3D with elite offensive skills will be in 2 years from now. I'd venture to guess 8-9M(Considering OEL was offered 8.25M this summer) is about what he will be worth but I dont actually know for sure. Meaning over-payment probably starts when you enter the 9-10M territory.
I'm talking purely in trade value because(Once again) worrying about or speculating about what Barrie is going to be worth in 2 summers from now is a bit ridiculous when we have no idea what the cap will be, what Karlsson and Doughty contracts will look like, if there's a lockout coming, a 32nd team coming, etc. etc. All significant factors that have to play out between now and when Barrie is a UFA that could massively influence the type of contract he's worth.
In terms of trade value. If Edmonton offered up Klefbom + #10 right now for Barrie, you make that trade. That's the kind of overpayment I'm talking about. If we dont get that kind of value for Barrie we happily keep him for another year and re-evaluate the situation next summer. Perhaps going the same route Arizona is going where we give Barrie a fair offer around June 2019, if he accepts then that's awesome we have possibly our most valuable Dman signed long term. If he doesn't accept, hold a bidding war at the draft and trade him for the absolute best package we can get(Which I have little doubts would be something like a ~15th overall pick + A level prospect + maybe something else if multiple teams are interested in his services).