talkinaway
Registered User
Say one bruin tests positive 3 games in - he's out for 2 weeks. Does the rest of the team self isolate and till when? What if 4-8 guys test positive . . .
Maybe I missed it - what are their policies for testing and treatment?
My recollection is that someone in the NHL (Bettman himself? dunno) said that 1 or 2 sick players aren't going to cancel the tourney, but a large number will. I don't think they've issued a hard-and-fast cutoff between "1 or 2" and "a large number" yet. It's probably like what the Supreme Court said about porn - they'll know it when they see it.
Doing some paper-napkin estimates, my town has had about 18 total new cases of a population of 28,000 over the past 25 days. Shrinking that down to about 1,000 people per site (about 80 people per team, including arena workers and hotel staff - really an order-of-magnitude estimate), that would mean you would expect about 0.65 new cases over the course of 25 days. Obviously, this is a completely flawed analysis - we're bringing people in from multiple places (Nordy's in Sweden as of last week, for example), and they will NOT be social distancing.
What if a team has to withdraw because they have 10 or 11 COVID players, but there are no symptomatic players on any other teams? Do you eliminate just them? Just their opponents from that round and hope for the best? Eliminate the entire hub city and let the other teams play for the Cup? When you get into that, I think you start putting an asterisk on the COVID Cup. Keeping COVID out is possible if you do it right and you're fastidious about it. We can only hope that the myriad of 20 year-old players are responsible enough to do so.
The real question is how much work the NHL will have to put in to making the tournament actually happen, particularly with getting all players isolated for a sufficient amount of time. I think workouts start tomorrow, but all it takes is for one player's kid to touch the wrong surface on a flight on the way home to cause a setback.