Video Nasty
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- Mar 12, 2017
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With his hat trick tonight, he also tied the record for most consecutive 30+ goal seasons with 15 (shares with Gartner and Jagr). He has played 15 seasons.
Ovechkin just keeps making me believe. He's been my favorite player since Foppa's prime.
I think he gets 50 this year, or just about, maybe 48. Either way, unless injury occurs, or he just REALLY lets himself go, he has the power and offensive IQ to keep playing until he is 40-42. You have to think he'll still have the shot, but will his hands drop off (even more)? Will his accuracy? His confidence or drive? Again, will he get injured? And if so will it affect him after recovery, will he still be having fun?
If his career stays simple, I think he really challenges Wayne for top all time. I think having Kuzy, Vrana, Wilson, around him helps, and Backstrom is the type of player that his hands are what they are- he will play for some time too. He may slow, but his IQ is incredible and his hands and passing will stay with him I think for a long time. All these factors help Ovechkin. They have some talent in the system too.
IF I DID THE MATH right at this hour, Ovechkin may have 708 goals if he gets 50 this year.
That leaves him with 186 goals to tie Wayne.
If he plays at season ages 35, 36, 37, 38, 39, 40, that is 6 seasons. He needs to average 31 goals a season then to tie the record. If he has a 50 and 40 goal season in him, then the next four seasons average drops to 24 a season until his age 40 season to tie Wayne. If he can score 50, and then 45, and then 40, it gets even easier. (708+50+45+40 = 843). I think that is going to be very hard.
Why? Because if you have watched Ovechkin this season, you start to notice little things that are dropping off. He has lost speed over the past 3 seasons (on top of the speed he has already lost). His puck handling is really dropping off. He seems mildly uninterested in the first half of the season. He isn't so passionate anymore. Now, I don't fault him for a single one of these things. But, it's the truth.
He can't dangle anymore. He may get lucky on a few poor defenseman, but his footspeed and hands have dropped off since he was in his 20's, which they do for everyone. Every year becomes more 'coverable' as player. That said, he is still scoring. So, I give him all the praise, and he is still scoring 5v5 too. But he's losing his hockey skills by simple aging. Lucky for him, his shot hasn't gone almost anywhere. He can't shoot quite like he could when he was 24- I remember some wristers of his from far out were impossibly fast. But his slapper is still deadly, albeit not 'quite' as fast- still faster than the human goalie eye can track.
It'll be really, really hard. But Ovechkin is also really, really good at scoring goals.
Like Mulder said, I want to believe.
I personally never thought that Gretzky is the best goal-scorer ever. His goal-scoring prime was short compared to other all-time great goal-scorers - he won his last goal-scoring title at 26 and only finished top5/top10 in goals once since then.
In my view, the mantle of the best goal-scorer belonged to Bobby Hull for good 50 years - he has twice as many top3 finishes in goals as Gretzky, 2 more goal-scoring titles, and he finished top5 in goals for 13 years straight (well, there was one lapse when he finished 6th).
The only thing one can bring up against Bobby Hull is that he won his last goal-scoring title at 30 and his NHL career ended at 33 (he went to play in WHA). If those things bother you when compared to Richard's, Howe's, and Ovechkin's longevity, then Howe is your champion - he has as many goal-scoring titles as Gretzky (the last one came at the age of 34), but he has 12 top3 finishes in goals (to Gretzky's 5) and 19 top10 finishes, which is absolutely insane even in a 6-team league.
But somewhere around last season I got convinced that Ovechkin had surpassed both Howe and Bobby Hull - with his record-setting 8th goal-scoring title won at the age of 33, two more top3 finishes, and better margins of victory outside of peak three years. Again, if you are really into longevity, you might hold out a year or two to push Ovechkin past Howe as a goal-scorer, but I am past that tipping point.
I really hope he'll break it next year just to add a little bit more to his already legendary legacy.With his hat trick tonight, he also tied the record for most consecutive 30+ goal seasons with 15 (shares with Gartner and Jagr). He has played 15 seasons.
Gretzky's not the greatest goal-scorer of all-time.
The record books say otherwise.
Congrats from hat-trick.
700 is really big achievemant. (not far away)
Highly doubtfull thou that he ever reaches the next mark, 800.
He is super exceptional Russian born player, but he'll be 35 when the next season starts
and 35 has been very influental age for Russian born NHL:ers so far. For example,
Sergei Fedorov was still awesome at 34, but affter turning 35, not so much.
Even Fetisov dropped after 34, thou due to a lock out shortened season, he rejuvinated for (or two) one season
at 37 (38) in the NHL. (but he played 15 years in Russia prior to NHL, for obvious reasons)
Pavel Datsyuk started to decline after 35
Alexei Kovalev was still great 35, but dropped after that
Alexander Mogilny's game dropped at 34
Slava Kozlov's game dropped at 33
Pavel Bure retired at 32 (not the same situation thou)
Alexei Yashin retired at 32 (not the same situation thou)
The record books say otherwise.
I think a better comparison would be Selanne. Lets say Ovie plays until age 39, and he puts up the same goal totals as Selanne did from age 35 to 39. Selanne put up 40,48,12,27,27 (154)To put Gretzky's record in perspective: Let's say Ovi scores 48 goals this season, he finishes the season with 706 goals.
Marleau from his aged 35-39 year old seasons, scored 114 goals. 114+706 = 820.
Marleau isn't even in the same stratosphere as Ovechkin in goalscoring, so why couldn't Ovechkin score ~40% more than Marleau and play another season or 2? Nothing is guaranteed, but just a thought.
It's a puzzle why a player whose game is so predictable, has nonetheless been able to dominate for so long. Since 2010, his overall game has really shriveled. But he still has that great shot, even if he doesn't drive play as he once did, and as long as NHL assistant coaches (mostly a dumb lot) never figure out how to take away his one-timer from the left face-off circle, he'll keep scoring goals while being a boat anchor and a minus player. Sadly, I could see him being rated ahead of Crosby in the future because of the raw totals, but anyone who has watched both men a couple hundred times knows that Crosby is the greater player - even if he lacks that one, singular, outlier talent that Ovechkin possesses (his shot).
But it is a devastating singular talent, and don't be shocked if he surpasses Gretzky. I could definitely see him threatening the 50-goal barrier a couple more times after this year, too. It will ultimately come down to this: does he have a stubborn decline, or will he fall off a cliff? Right now, I think it will be relatively stubborn, and even 35-goal seasons at this juncture are going to make the Wayner start to sweat - especially if Ovechkin decides to play into his 40s a la Joe Thornton.
53, 69, 51, 68, 64, 60, 51, 58, 61,( 38 in 63 games)
Bossy played 10 years. Go ahead you can even cherry pick Ovechkin's best 10.
Ovi best there has ever been AINEC
I personally never thought that Gretzky is the best goal-scorer ever. His goal-scoring prime was short compared to other all-time great goal-scorers - he won his last goal-scoring title at 26 and only finished top5/top10 in goals once since then.
In my view, the mantle of the best goal-scorer belonged to Bobby Hull for good 50 years - he has twice as many top3 finishes in goals as Gretzky, 2 more goal-scoring titles, and he finished top5 in goals for 13 years straight (well, there was one lapse when he finished 6th).
The only thing one can bring up against Bobby Hull is that he won his last goal-scoring title at 30 and his NHL career ended at 33 (he went to play in WHA). If those things bother you when compared to Richard's, Howe's, and Ovechkin's longevity, then Howe is your champion - he has as many goal-scoring titles as Gretzky (the last one came at the age of 34), but he has 12 top3 finishes in goals (to Gretzky's 5) and 19 top10 finishes, which is absolutely insane even in a 6-team league.
But somewhere around last season I got convinced that Ovechkin had surpassed both Howe and Bobby Hull - with his record-setting 8th goal-scoring title won at the age of 33, two more top3 finishes, and better margins of victory outside of peak three years. Again, if you are really into longevity, you might hold out a year or two to push Ovechkin past Howe as a goal-scorer, but I am past that tipping point.
Is that good or?With his hat trick tonight, he also tied the record for most consecutive 30+ goal seasons with 15 (shares with Gartner and Jagr). He has played 15 seasons.
8 goals in his last 3 games? Is that right?
8 goals in his last 3 games? Is that right?
1. It's not apples and oranges. Remove Gretzky and all the people he assisted, and goalscoring is not all that different.Have you ever seen an 80s NHL game? Apples and oranges to today's game. Ovi stands above his peers as a goal-scorer in a way Gretzky didn't. Gretzky was the best goal-scorer in a season 5x in his career; Ovi's already at 8 (the most by anyone in NHL history), and it doesn't look like he's done yet.
1. It's not apples and oranges. Remove Gretzky and all the people he assisted, and goalscoring is not all that different.
2. Gretzky had FOUR 70+ goal seasons. Ovechkin -- none.
That's exactly how it "works." You don't have to "replace" anybody. It's not a set-in-stone criteria. You made it up... and so did I.1. thats not how it works... u have to replace him (probably with average firstline goal scorers) instead of removing if u want to make any claim that the gpg in his era was heavily tied to him.
Glad to see you acknowledge it.2. thats very impressive...
1. It's not apples and oranges. Remove Gretzky and all the people he assisted, and goalscoring is not all that different.
2. Gretzky had FOUR 70+ goal seasons. Ovechkin -- ZERO.
1. It's not apples and oranges. Remove Gretzky and all the people he assisted, and goalscoring is not all that different.
2. Gretzky had FOUR 70+ goal seasons. Ovechkin -- ZERO.
That's exactly how it "works." You don't have to "replace" anybody. It's not a set-in-stone criteria. You made it up... and so did I.