Speculation: 6 In 5 Thread 2017/18 (& Playoff Prediction)

[CorgisPer60]

Have we ever been 14 games over .500?

We finished up the 14-15 season with 17 games above fake .500, though we were only 4 games above true .500.

 

[TheJadePipe]

Wonder/Hoping , Ace Burpee does a new version of Jets Anthem song for us making playoffs this year

 

[Neuf]

Game 44 / BUF / W

Points Last 5 Games	9​
Avg Points / 5 Games	6.7​
Points Above 6 in 5	+6.2​
Total Points	59​
Pace / 82 Games	109​
Record Last 5 Games	4-0-1​

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

 

[YWGinYYZ]

17-17-4 to finish the season gets us to 97pts, or just over the 6 in 5 line. That's a 97.9% chance of making the playoffs.

 

[Tom ServoMST3K]

17-17-4 to finish the season gets us to 97pts, or just over the 6 in 5 line. That's a 97.9% chance of making the playoffs.

Let's put this in perspective.

Last year we finished 40-35-7. That's a better points percentage than we need to get to 97. If only count up to the last game before we finally cracked the 3 wins in a row streak, we would have exactly 35-35-7.

I think it might be time to stop looking at the playoff line, and start looking at what it would take to get home ice in the first round.

 

[Festinator]

Let's put this in perspective.

Last year we finished 40-35-7. That's a better points percentage than we need to get to 97. If only count up to the last game before we finally cracked the 3 wins in a row streak, we would have exactly 35-35-7.

I think it might be time to stop looking at the playoff line, and start looking at what it would take to get home ice in the first round.

I... I don't know how to do that...

 

[Gnova]

Let's put this in perspective.

Last year we finished 40-35-7. That's a better points percentage than we need to get to 97. If only count up to the last game before we finally cracked the 3 wins in a row streak, we would have exactly 35-35-7.

I think it might be time to stop looking at the playoff line, and start looking at what it would take to get home ice in the first round.

What is the line to finishing 4th in the central?
I wouldnt mind that at all.

 

[Maukkis]

91% chance to make it in, according to McCurdy.

 

[Aavco Cup]

98% in sportsclubstats

 

[Aavco Cup]

I believe this is the first time the McCurdy model has us over 100 points

 

[Neuf]

Game 45 / CHI / L

Points Last 5 Games	7​
Avg Points / 5 Games	6.6​
Points Above 6 in 5	+5.0​
Total Points	59​
Pace / 82 Games	107​
Record Last 5 Games	3-1-1​

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

Game 46 / MIN/ L

Points Last 5 Games	6
Avg Points / 5 Games	6.4
Points Above 6 in 5	+3.8
Total Points	59
Pace / 82 Games	105
Record Last 5 Games	3-2-0

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

 

[Gurilla]

Moneypuck has us at 96%

 

[Neuf]

Game 47 / CGY / W

Points Last 5 Games	6​
Avg Points / 5 Games	6.5​
Points Above 6 in 5	+4.6​
Total Points	61​
Pace / 82 Games	106​
Record Last 5 Games	3-2-0​

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

 

[Aavco Cup]

Jets play a rested team when tired three times. Tired teams play a rested Jets team seven times. Today's game is two tired teams.

 

[warrenm]

True. Under the current division system, the highest amount of points for a non-playoff team was Boston's 96 in 14-15. What made that year so special was four teams finishing with under 70 points, and Carolina only beating that by one point. It would probably take half of the playoff teams finishing with under 70 points to render the 6 in 5 rule useless, and with the parity of today, I can't see that happening.

 

[warrenm]

Dallas had 91 and made the playoffs in 2013-2014

 

[YWGinYYZ]

96pts has usually been enough to make the playoffs. No team that has finished with 98pts has ever missed.

 

[Aavco Cup]

96pts has usually been enough to make the playoffs. No team that has finished with 98pts has ever missed.

Boston missed recently at 96 points. Only one time that I can find. A few have finished with 95 and missed. 95 points is safe the majority of the time. Nobody has missed finishing with 97 points or higher.

 

[YWGinYYZ]

From sportsclubstats.com:

I'm liking where we're sitting right now. 15-15-4 should be pretty doable.

 

[Gabe Kupari]

From sportsclubstats.com:

View attachment 93657

I'm liking where we're sitting right now. 15-15-4 should be pretty doable.

Lots of home games left... 17 3 1.

Think 15 15 4 would be disappointing

 

[YWGinYYZ]

Lots of home games left... 17 3 1.

Think 15 15 4 would be disappointing

Of course that would be disappointing, but it should also be ridiculously easy to best that record as well.

Which means ... post season is looking pretty likely.

 

[Festinator]

Boston missed recently at 96 points. Only one time that I can find. A few have finished with 95 and missed. 95 points is safe the majority of the time. Nobody has missed finishing with 97 points or higher.

96pts has usually been enough to make the playoffs. No team that has finished with 98pts has ever missed.

Yeah but all you have to do is look at our division and know that it's not gonna be anywhere near as safe this season. If central keeps up like this, you never know. What are the other teams in the division on pace for?

 

[Aavco Cup]

Yeah but all you have to do is look at our division and know that it's not gonna be anywhere near as safe this season. If central keeps up like this, you never know. What are the other teams in the division on pace for?

Eventually the central teams play each other and then the losses come. The probabilities are exactly what they are probabilities are. Every central team would have to pretty much go undefeated the rest of the way against every non division game for 103 points to somehow miss the playoffs.

 

[YWGinYYZ]

Yeah but all you have to do is look at our division and know that it's not gonna be anywhere near as safe this season.

98pts? It'll be safe. Has to do with points distribution as well.

 

[Festinator]

98pts? It'll be safe. Has to do with points distribution as well.

Ahh okay I see