Series Talk: (3) Boston v. (4) New York Islanders

Series outcome


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smithformeragent

Moderator
Sep 22, 2005
33,513
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Milford, NH
Here we go!

upload_2021-5-26_21-12-6.jpeg
 
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BruinsFanMike82

Registered User
Apr 15, 2009
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The Bruins are going to need to perform better in both the Offensive and Defensive High Danger areas than they did in the regular season against the Islanders.

Offensively, the Bruins scored only 6 High Danger Goals against the Islanders this season - worst in the division. They scored on only 9.38% of their High Danger shots. The Division average was 18.43%.

Defensively, the Bruins had a 77.97 High Danger Sv% versus the Isles - second worst in the Division. The Division average was 81.2%.
 

BruinsFanMike82

Registered User
Apr 15, 2009
7,646
11,491
MA
Some random head-to-head regular season stats...

The Bruins outscored the Islanders 9-4 in first periods.
The Islanders outscored the Bruins 10-4 in third periods.

All 3 of the Bruins wins vs the Islanders this season were in games in which they outshot the Isles.

There were 0 fights in the season series.
 
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McGarnagle

Yes.
Aug 5, 2017
29,218
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The early season head-to-head does not matter to me. Most of those games we had a ton of defensive injuries. Since Hall and Reilly came on board, we're 3-0 against them. The trade deadline changed everything 180 degrees. And they lost their captain and haven't been the same since, even with Palmieri.

I think we win this series without too much trouble.
 
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BruinsFanMike82

Registered User
Apr 15, 2009
7,646
11,491
MA
Last four seasons vs Isles
  • Tuukka Rask: 9-2-1 ; 1.28 GAA ; .950 Sv% ; 2 Shutouts
  • Brad Marchand: 9-9-18 ; +18 ; 1.06 points/game ; 18.4 Shooting %
  • Taylor Hall: 10-6-16 ; 1.00 p/g ; 18.2 Sh%
  • David Pastrnak: 3-13-16 ; 1.00 p/g
  • Mike Reilly: 0-6-6 ; +8 ; 0.75 p/g
  • Charlie McAvoy: 1-9-10 ; +10 ; 0.63 p/g
 

Mr. Make-Believe

The happy genius of my household
Can not get over-confident. This Islanders team was TB’s toughest challenge last season. They have players all through the lineup who can absolutely burn you. Their goaltending is very very good. Under Trotz, they are a well-oiled machine. They play hard but they also play clean and I have nothing but respect for them. They won’t shrivel like the Caps did.

I put a number on the last series. I don’t think I’m going to this time.
 

Mr. Make-Believe

The happy genius of my household
The Bruins are going to need to perform better in both the Offensive and Defensive High Danger areas than they did in the regular season against the Islanders.

Offensively, the Bruins scored only 6 High Danger Goals against the Islanders this season - worst in the division. They scored on only 9.38% of their High Danger shots. The Division average was 18.43%.

Defensively, the Bruins had a 77.97 High Danger Sv% versus the Isles - second worst in the Division. The Division average was 81.2%.
I love stats I can understand.

You’re right. That can’t happen if the Bruins want to win.
 
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BruinsFanMike82

Registered User
Apr 15, 2009
7,646
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Last four seasons vs Isles
  • Tuukka Rask: 9-2-1 ; 1.28 GAA ; .950 Sv% ; 2 Shutouts
  • Brad Marchand: 9-9-18 ; +18 ; 1.06 points/game ; 18.4 Shooting %
  • Taylor Hall: 10-6-16 ; 1.00 p/g ; 18.2 Sh%
  • David Pastrnak: 3-13-16 ; 1.00 p/g
  • Mike Reilly: 0-6-6 ; +8 ; 0.75 p/g
  • Charlie McAvoy: 1-9-10 ; +10 ; 0.63 p/g
Last four seasons vs Bruins
  • Ilya Sorokin: 0-1-1 ; 2.23 GAA ; .921 Sv%
  • Semyon Varlamov: 9-2-2 ; 2.16 GAA ; .930 Sv% ; 2 Shutouts
  • Mathew Barzal: 5-9-14 ; 0.82 p/g
  • J.G. Pageau: 7-4-11 ; 0.65 p/g
  • Kyle Palmieri: 7-1-8 ; 0.53 p/g
  • Jordan Eberle: 5-3-8 ; 0.47 p/g
  • Oliver Wahlstrom: 3-0-3 ; 0.43 p/g
  • Nick Leddy: 0-5-5 ; -7 ; 0.29 p/g
  • Anthony Beauvillier: 2-2-4 ; 0.27 p/g
  • Leo Komarov: 0-4-4 ; 0.27 p/g
  • Josh Bailey: 1-3-4 ; 0.25 p/g
  • Scott Mayfield: 1-3-4 ; 0.25 p/g
  • Brock Nelson: 1-3-4 ; 0.24 p/g

On paper, the Bruins certainly don't have as wide an advantage in goal as they did vs the Capitals. Rask and both Islanders goalies have performed very well head-to-head. Rask, in particular, has been exceptional.

As far as their recent histories against the Bruins, the Islanders "Second" line (Eberle-Barzal-Komarov/Pageau) has had a lot more success than their "First" line (Beauvillier-Nelson-Bailey). That "First" line has performed well below their career NHL averages when playing against the Bruins. Hopefully having home ice will allow the Bruins to get more advantageous matchups against the Barzal line. Oh, and Kyle Palmieri's no slouch on their Third line, either.
 

The National

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Feb 27, 2017
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Last four seasons vs Bruins
  • Ilya Sorokin: 0-1-1 ; 2.23 GAA ; .921 Sv%
  • Semyon Varlamov: 9-2-2 ; 2.16 GAA ; .930 Sv% ; 2 Shutouts
  • Mathew Barzal: 5-9-14 ; 0.82 p/g
  • J.G. Pageau: 7-4-11 ; 0.65 p/g
  • Kyle Palmieri: 7-1-8 ; 0.53 p/g
  • Jordan Eberle: 5-3-8 ; 0.47 p/g
  • Oliver Wahlstrom: 3-0-3 ; 0.43 p/g
  • Nick Leddy: 0-5-5 ; -7 ; 0.29 p/g
  • Anthony Beauvillier: 2-2-4 ; 0.27 p/g
  • Leo Komarov: 0-4-4 ; 0.27 p/g
  • Josh Bailey: 1-3-4 ; 0.25 p/g
  • Scott Mayfield: 1-3-4 ; 0.25 p/g
  • Brock Nelson: 1-3-4 ; 0.24 p/g

On paper, the Bruins certainly don't have as wide an advantage in goal as they did vs the Capitals. Rask and both Islanders goalies have performed very well head-to-head. Rask, in particular, has been exceptional.

As far as their recent histories against the Bruins, the Islanders "Second" line (Eberle-Barzal-Komarov/Pageau) has had a lot more success than their "First" line (Beauvillier-Nelson-Bailey). That "First" line has performed well below their career NHL averages when playing against the Bruins. Hopefully having home ice will allow the Bruins to get more advantageous matchups against the Barzal line. Oh, and Kyle Palmieri's no slouch on their Third line, either.
Palmieri has come to life a bit in the playoffs, not invisible like last time we played Isles in regular season. Barzal has had a tough playoffs but it seemed like he was just about to break through G7, he was doing everything but scoring. Beauvillier is buzzing right now, he looked incredible in G7. Pageau has been a pain for us since joining the Isle, I expect him to continue that.

Bruins in 6.
 
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Riverfront

Registered User
Jan 5, 2015
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it will not be an easy series. Pollock & Pelich are going to give bergeron, pastrnak, & marchand fits. They are very good at keeping
everything to the outside.
 
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veganbruin

Registered User
Sep 20, 2013
3,240
3,440
Boston, MA
Cautiously optimistic on this one. I feel better than I did about the Caps. My issue with the Isles is they can play like absolute garbage and still have the structure and goaltending to win games. I’m not excited to watch the Bruins dominate and potentially lose.

all that being said the Bruins have the best 4-5 players in this series. As much as everyone loves Barzal and I love JGP. Neither are better than Marchand, Bergeron, Pastrnak, Hall or Charlie McAvoy. And really no one else on that team is either. No matter how impressed you are with Pelech and Pulock.
 

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