Discussion in 'NCAA, U Sports, and other college' started by UNB Bruins Fan, May 24, 2018.
Montpetit will steal them some games this season.
Here are my 2018-2019 AUS Predictions:
1) UNB (24-2-4 last season, 1st place) - Like I say ever year, they are the top regular season team until proven otherwise. While I think they are more skilled and talented this season (at least on paper), I don't see them quite hitting the 24-2-4 record they had last year. The key for them this year will be the goaltending (like usual) and the power play (need to be better than 18.6%, which was well below ACA/X/SMU).
The next 3 teams are so close that I could see it going any which way, but here is how I predict it...
2) SMU (18-10-2, 4th place) - I was tempted to put X here just because of Marchand, but I like the rest of SMU's roster a lot better than St. FX this year. The Huskies may have finished 10 points out of 2nd place last year, but their goal differential was +32 compared to +34 for X so the two were probably more even than the standings suggest.
3) St. FX (22-4-4, 2nd place) - I'm not sure they replaced enough of the scoring they lost with Clarke/Kontos, but Marchand will keep them in almost every game. They will probably play quite a few close games but I don't see them going 6-0-4 in one goal games again. That record in close games tells me they were a bit fortunate at times last season. They also had a ridiculous 26% power play + 91% penalty kill, two numbers that will be hard to replicate. I see them slipping this season down to 3rd.
4) Acadia (18-10-2, 3rd place) - A bumper crop of recruits to help offset the loss of a number of their top players. The future should be bright but I think we see enough growing pains/struggles at times to keep them out of the top three this season.
5) UPEI (11-18-1, 5th place) - Losing Powers and MacKinnon are obviously massive blows, but I can't see them giving up 136 goals again. They are usually good for a couple wins against the top teams every season which will put them comfortably in no-mans land at 5th. Not good enough to break into the top-4, but shouldn't have much issue being better than the two teams below them
6) Moncton (3-24-3, 7th place) - Probably the team that has best positioned itself to be the most improved with the addition of blue-chippers Montpetit and St-Cyr + another much-needed solid recruit in defenceman Lanoue. A 3-0-0 pre-season is reason for optimism, but getting out-shot by an average of 11 shots per game isn't a recipe for sustained success. Keep in mind that they did finish 10 points behind Dal last year, which isn't an insignificant number, but in their five head to head games they picked up only 3 points (1-3-1) to 8 (4-1-0) for the Tigers. If they are able to flip that this season that alone would tie the two teams. I think Montpetit can steal enough points in the other games to bring them out of the basement.
7) Dalhousie (9-20-1, 6th place) - I don't think I need to remind anyone how important Corbin Boes was to what little success they did have. He was the great equalizer many nights. Simply put, they just don't look as talented as the other teams this season. I see them falling back to their familiar position of 7th place.
Glenn MacDonald of the Chronicle Herald previews the four AUS teams..
AUS MEN'S HOCKEY PREVIEW: Welsh at home with Huskies | The Chronicle Herald
Axemen hockey season preview
Panthers looking to use increased speed, grit to its advantage | The Guardian
Wow - I wouldn't have picket those winners or scores on the first night. Both winning teams were outshot (Dal by 27, 24 to 41). Could be a crazy year.
All four starting goalies were rookies (Thibadeau swapped in half way through for UdeM)
Hopefully Montpetit isn’t out too long...that would be a devestating blow for Moncton.
Surprised by the Dal - Acadia score. The Tigers rookie goaltender does have good stats from the Q though.
Witnessed a bit of a punch up in the DAL vs SMU game last night. Frustrating as a SMU student witnessing a guy like Mike Evelyn go out there and goon it up in a 5-1 game dropping the gloves with guys who don't want to fight which is probably gonna result in a suspension or two.
As for the actual hockey, DAL really could not handle SMU at all, they were absolutely awful defensively with terrible coverage. Only bright spot on DAL at all was their goalie who had a relatively good game despite having zero help from his team.
On SMU's side, freshman Nick Welsh had an excellent game offensively. Ran the PP really well, had a goal on a slapper from the point and also a sweet pass to someone right in front of the net for an easy tap in
UPEI’s upcoming schedule is insane. Three consecutive NCAA exhibition games in three different states. Quinipiac(Connecticut) RPI (New York) then all the way back up to Maine for a game Monday. To top it all off they play Moncton two nights latter.
Moncton over X 3-2. Safe to say they are better than last season.
So... who would have predicted that 4 games in the top scorers in the league would include 2 from UPEI and 2 from U de M. (I know UNB has only played 2 games though).
Safe to say, even though I didn't see the UNB game that we played the worst 1st period of any one in the league so far last night. It looked like we were the ones who had played 3 games in the states on the weekend.
I think you guys will make the playoffs this year. I'll know more after I see the Dal game next week.
What’s the story with Holden Cook? I notice he isn’t playing again tonight.
Weird not seeing Brace out there tonight. Don't think that he is injured, and Dubeau still must not be 100%, but I thought that Parenteau played well.
So Dal and SMU play for the 3rd time already tomorrow night...I know the teams going south last week limited the possible match-ups but that is ridiculous.
The schedule has been pretty bad the last couple years IMO with all the repeat matchups on back to back weekends.
It is a bit ridiculous... as of next Friday (the 26th) we'll have played 8 regular season games. Including 3 against StFX and none against SMU or ACA.
Matter of fact, by the time we play SMU or ACA we'll have played 12 games, 3 each against StFX, UNB and UPEI (all 3 of those on the road).
Then we get SMU & ACA twice in back-to-back weeks and then the same thing with DAL & StFX (hell, I just realised we're doing the same thing this week and next). The heck.
Back-2-back weekends has been the norm for UNB for the past few years with the NS schools. This week it's ACD/SMU on the road followed by ACD/SMU at home. In Mid-November we have DAL/SFX twice followed by ACD/SMU again twice.
You're mid-week games vs NS schools is the wrench - we have to play those games on the weekend.
I see you have a Sunday AFTERNOON game on November 11th vs Acadia on the road - that's brutal (even if Monday is a holiday).
I watched the Dal game Wed night. I like the team speed of UdeM and their goal-tending.
Good road win by UPEI tonight over SMU in a gritty road game. SMU was unable to get much traction as UPEI did a good job on the physical side of the game. Hofley was solid in goal making 41 saves.
Three one goal games last night. There seems to be more parity in the AUS this year than there has been in a while. The notable exception being Dal.
Dal will miss the playoffs this year.
UPEI with a weekend sweep against two “top four teams”. Can’t remember that ever happening before.
All three games tonight were decided by one goal if you exclude empty netters.
Watched SFX-DAL game last night. DAL was able to hang in for most of the game until SFX scored 3 in the last 4 minutes. As hard as they work, DAL just doesn't have it. They will lose more than they win. Over the past few seasons I was hopeful that they may improve and they have. But, others have also.
UPEI will host SMU and Acadia this weekend. It will be interesting to see if they can duplicate last weekends success, a sweep of the same two teams. Acadia with only 4 pts, should be a desperate team this weekend.
SMU 2-1 over UNB in ot.
The two best teams in the AUS went back at it for the second time in a week.
Fast paced game, featuring lots of skill. SMU impressed me, matching UNB's pace for most of the game.
They also played without Repaci, who is another a big part of their offence.
Acadia, second straight weekend without a point, can't see them getting into the top 3.
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