Ragamuffin Gunner
Lost in the Flood
I still think the Pens finish in WC1.
NYR - CAR, BUF, CBJ, TB, NYI, DET
NYI - CBJ, PIT, TB, WSH, NYR, BUF, PHI
PIT - NSH, NYI, PHIL, OTT, WSH, PHI
April 2nd looms large
TBH, WC1 is a better spot than M3
I still think the Pens finish in WC1.
NYR - CAR, BUF, CBJ, TB, NYI, DET
NYI - CBJ, PIT, TB, WSH, NYR, BUF, PHI
PIT - NSH, NYI, PHIL, OTT, WSH, PHI
April 2nd looms large
I still think the Pens finish in WC1.
NYR - CAR, BUF, CBJ, TB, NYI, DET
NYI - CBJ, PIT, TB, WSH, NYR, BUF, PHI
PIT - NSH, NYI, PHIL, OTT, WSH, PHI
April 2nd looms large
Playoffs matchups absolutely do matter. Saying that you have to beat anybody in order to win the Stanley Cup is cliche and it is a stupid cliche. No team would beat 29 teams in a playoffs series. You have to beat 4 particular teams that you will draw. Pens had the luck in their SC run when they faced the mediocre Carolina team instead of Boston. Carolina shocked boston in game7, then had no answers for the Penguins. Classic example of the playoffs matchup that did matter. There is a difference between facing.. let´s say.. Washington or Florida, Tampa or Florida, Rangers or Islanders etc..
I've taken a liking to sportsclubstats.com
They use season records to apply weighted probabilities to each game for each team from now to the end of the season. According to them:
Penguins Final Playoff Positions:
26% - 2nd in division
47% - 3rd in division
24% - 1st WC
3% - 2nd WC
<1% - Miss playoffs.
As far as 1st round opponent:
64.7% - NYR
12.4 - FLA
11.2 - Tampa
8.5 - NYI
2.9 - Wash
0.2 - Philly
We've got about an equal shot at getting home ice as we do of slipping into WC#1, but the good money is on playing game 1 at MSG.
http://http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL/Eastern/Metropolitan/Pittsburgh.html
Yeah I certainly don't have numbers to back this up. Just a gut feeling. I think the Pens are out of gas. They'll make the playoffs, but they need a rest.
After they clinch I think they'll reign it back a bit as well. All in all I'm beyond happy to be in this position considering 3 weeks ago this was some sort of fantasy.
No time to rest when Philly can overtake them and send them on the road to DC.