GDT: 2016 PLAYOFF PUSH|'The Fight' to be Formidable Playoffs Foes|Pittsburgh Penguins

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DesertPenguin

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Apr 22, 2015
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I still think the Pens finish in WC1.

NYR - CAR, BUF, CBJ, TB, NYI, DET

NYI - CBJ, PIT, TB, WSH, NYR, BUF, PHI

PIT - NSH, NYI, PHIL, OTT, WSH, PHI


April 2nd looms large

I've taken a liking to sportsclubstats.com

They use season records to apply weighted probabilities to each game for each team from now to the end of the season. According to them:

Penguins Final Playoff Positions:
26% - 2nd in division
47% - 3rd in division
24% - 1st WC
3% - 2nd WC
<1% - Miss playoffs.

As far as 1st round opponent:
64.7% - NYR
12.4 - FLA
11.2 - Tampa
8.5 - NYI
2.9 - Wash
0.2 - Philly

We've got about an equal shot at getting home ice as we do of slipping into WC#1, but the good money is on playing game 1 at MSG.

http://http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL/Eastern/Metropolitan/Pittsburgh.html
 

metalan2

Registered User
May 30, 2008
9,545
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Playoffs matchups absolutely do matter. Saying that you have to beat anybody in order to win the Stanley Cup is cliche and it is a stupid cliche. No team would beat 29 teams in a playoffs series. You have to beat 4 particular teams that you will draw. Pens had the luck in their SC run when they faced the mediocre Carolina team instead of Boston. Carolina shocked boston in game7, then had no answers for the Penguins. Classic example of the playoffs matchup that did matter. There is a difference between facing.. let´s say.. Washington or Florida, Tampa or Florida, Rangers or Islanders etc..

Yes..but we went through the gauntlet before Carolina facing the two best teams in the East.

That could easily happen again this year, face two best teams in the metro then somehow get an Atlantic team that is not close to their strength.
 

IcedCapp

Registered User
Aug 7, 2009
35,933
11,544
I've taken a liking to sportsclubstats.com

They use season records to apply weighted probabilities to each game for each team from now to the end of the season. According to them:

Penguins Final Playoff Positions:
26% - 2nd in division
47% - 3rd in division
24% - 1st WC
3% - 2nd WC
<1% - Miss playoffs.

As far as 1st round opponent:
64.7% - NYR
12.4 - FLA
11.2 - Tampa
8.5 - NYI
2.9 - Wash
0.2 - Philly

We've got about an equal shot at getting home ice as we do of slipping into WC#1, but the good money is on playing game 1 at MSG.

http://http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL/Eastern/Metropolitan/Pittsburgh.html

Yeah I certainly don't have numbers to back this up. Just a gut feeling. I think the Pens are out of gas. They'll make the playoffs, but they need a rest.
 

metalan2

Registered User
May 30, 2008
9,545
3,040
Yeah I certainly don't have numbers to back this up. Just a gut feeling. I think the Pens are out of gas. They'll make the playoffs, but they need a rest.

After they clinch I think they'll reign it back a bit as well. All in all I'm beyond happy to be in this position considering 3 weeks ago this was some sort of fantasy.
 

Jaded-Fan

Registered User
Mar 18, 2004
52,636
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Pittsburgh
After they clinch I think they'll reign it back a bit as well. All in all I'm beyond happy to be in this position considering 3 weeks ago this was some sort of fantasy.

That would be my hope.

In fact I would like them to do it now anyways.

They have a 99.99 percent chance of making it according to those sites that figure out those percentages.

So they have already clinched.

Rest up boys and enter the playoffs healthy.
 

IcedCapp

Registered User
Aug 7, 2009
35,933
11,544
No time to rest when Philly can overtake them and send them on the road to DC.

This is what I was saying. You can't simultaneously lock up 2/3 and get rest.

Well, maybe you could, but without Geno, Wilson, Rust, Maatta, and Dumoulin and with Fehr and Bennett looking iffy, I don't think you will.
 
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