Yeah I think those are around right. I think the last one would be pretty solid for both sides, that's probably what I'd shoot for with trying to get lower.
I think that's low for Schultz and a little high for Dumoulin, but the AAVs probably add up to what they'll actually end up making. I'd be surprised for Schultz to get below $4.75 million on a long term deal and surprised for Dumoulin to get above $3.5 million on any sort of deal.
I think Schultz could go 1 of 2 ways - he could really love Pittsburgh (which he said he does), and he leaves some money on the table to get some term and win some championships. I do agree with you that he could probably get 4.75 on the open market, but I don't see a contending team paying him that. He would have to go to a middle tier team, and I do believe his taste of success here will see him strike a middle ground. He could sign a long term deal for around 4m, or we could bridge him on a 3 year deal for 4.75.
I think Dumoulin is looking at what Maatta made every day of the week. 4m. I'm pretty convinced of that.
There is a huge part of me that feels that 3-4 year deals for everyone are the way to go. It keeps everyone hungry for their next deal, and deals of that term are typically easier to trade. That being said, I believe some guys could be solutions here for a really long time and I'd like to get them locked into good rates now.