2015-2016 Statistical And Underlying Metrics Thread

[garret9]

Fun work on the charts over at OtP. I know we have previously talked about Myers time in Buffalo hurting his numbers....

Graph has -2.7, +0.4, -1.6 for his weighted relCorsi numbers.
If we look his full time with Jets only: -2.9, 0.0, -1.3.

Graph has scoring 0.3, 0.2, 0.5.
Time as Jet 0.4, 0.3, 0.7.

Interesting stuff. Looks like the weighted values do a pretty good job.
(that and we use these statistics over raw Corsi, plus/minus, PPG, or scoring totals because they tend to persist more when changing teams)

 

[Mortimer Snerd]

Fun work on the charts over at OtP. I know we have previously talked about Myers time in Buffalo hurting his numbers....

Graph has -2.7, +0.4, -1.6 for his weighted relCorsi numbers.
If we look his full time with Jets only: -2.9, 0.0, -1.3.

Graph has scoring 0.3, 0.2, 0.5.
Time as Jet 0.4, 0.3, 0.7.

Interesting stuff. Looks like the weighted values do a pretty good job.
(that and we use these statistics over raw Corsi, plus/minus, PPG, or scoring totals because they tend to persist more when changing teams)

Compared to Bogo there are a few differences but all-in-all it looks like pretty near equal value between the two.

 

[Whileee]

A tale of two seasons...

Fun work on the charts over at OtP. I know we have previously talked about Myers time in Buffalo hurting his numbers....

Graph has -2.7, +0.4, -1.6 for his weighted relCorsi numbers.
If we look his full time with Jets only: -2.9, 0.0, -1.3.

Graph has scoring 0.3, 0.2, 0.5.
Time as Jet 0.4, 0.3, 0.7.

Interesting stuff. Looks like the weighted values do a pretty good job.
(that and we use these statistics over raw Corsi, plus/minus, PPG, or scoring totals because they tend to persist more when changing teams)

Very interesting....

I've remarked before about how I thought that Myers' play was improving over time with the Jets. He seemed to either be settling in with his partners / team-mates, or maybe settling into the Jets system.

Looking at the shot metrics, it certainly does seem that Myers' play has been on an improving trajectory since joining the Jets. It will be interesting to see how he performs coming into his second full season with the Jets and their system.

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[Weezeric]

Very interesting....

I've remarked before about how I thought that Myers' play was improving over time with the Jets. He seemed to either be settling in with his partners / team-mates, or maybe settling into the Jets system.

Looking at the shot metrics, it certainly does seem that Myers' play has been on an improving trajectory since joining the Jets. It will be interesting to see how he performs coming into his second full season with the Jets and their system.

View attachment 90241

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I wonder if that huge spike around January coincides with when he started playing with Toby

 

[garret9]

Very interesting....

I've remarked before about how I thought that Myers' play was improving over time with the Jets. He seemed to either be settling in with his partners / team-mates, or maybe settling into the Jets system.

Looking at the shot metrics, it certainly does seem that Myers' play has been on an improving trajectory since joining the Jets. It will be interesting to see how he performs coming into his second full season with the Jets and their system.

View attachment 90241

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By end of his contract he'll be a 80% Corsi player.

 

[Whileee]

By end of his contract he'll be a 80% Corsi player.

Beware the LS regression model.

Spline functions are your friend G, because s**t happens.

 

[Gil Fisher]

So it looks like his actual production is very good, but his predictive stats (shot rates) are poor. Is there a disconnect for Tyler? Has he always outperformed his corsi?

 

[truck]

Chiarot Stuart might have been the least effective pairing in Jets 2.0 history.

Corsi below 42% over 209 minutes - that's a lot of games. Benny was over 51% apart. Poor Benny.

 

[surixon]

Chiarot Stuart might have been the least effective pairing in Jets 2.0 history.

Corsi below 42% over 209 minutes - that's a lot of games. Benny was over 51% apart. Poor Benny.

Ben is the type of player who is ok if he's being carried by his partner, but can't seem to stand on his own. Granted I don't wish Stuart on anyone but ideally we have someone in the lineup who isn't reliant on his partner.

 

[Whileee]

Chiarot Stuart might have been the least effective pairing in Jets 2.0 history.

Corsi below 42% over 209 minutes - that's a lot of games. Benny was over 51% apart. Poor Benny.

Worse than Stuart-Harrison?

I almost blew a gasket two seasons ago when Maurice came up with that horrendous pairing.

Basically, any pairing of Stuart with a not fantastic partner is going to be a tire fire.

 

[truck]

Worse than Stuart-Harrison?

I almost blew a gasket two seasons ago when Maurice came up with that horrendous pairing.

Basically, any pairing of Stuart with a not fantastic partner is going to be a tire fire.

Good call. Harri-uart was below 37% - Keaton Ellerby was around 41. Stu + Benny happened more than the other two combined though.

 

[garret9]

Beware the LS regression model.

Spline functions are your friend G, because s**t happens.

Nope. All data must be one overly fit function at all times. No piecewise.

(for others: me = )

 

[Whileee]

Nope. All data must be one overly fit function at all times. No piecewise.

(for others: me = )

Have you been hanging around with Travis Yost again?

 

[mcpw]

Have you been hanging around with Travis Yost again?

 

[garret9]

#QuantitativeAnalysis

 

[surixon]

#QuantitativeAnalysis

Bhahahaha, I think the word the author is looking for is qualitative.

 

[garret9]

Bhahahaha, I think the word the author is looking for is qualitative.

It's a funny article from noted anti-blogger blogger Scott Burnside:
http://espn.go.com/blog/nhl/post/_/...an-in-mind-for-his-world-cup-of-hockey-roster

 

[Whileee]

#QuantitativeAnalysis

Sounds more like a social science, only without the theory and methods.

 

[Joe Hallenback]

Not sure if this has been discussed here or not but what are you thoughts on the following

https://public.tableau.com/profile/sean.tierney#!/vizhome/NZScores/Dashboard1

 

[Coach G]

Not sure if this has been discussed here or not but what are you thoughts on the following

https://public.tableau.com/profile/sean.tierney#!/vizhome/NZScores/Dashboard1

My thoughts are that Pittsburgh is crushing San Jose despite their D being not even close to as good, outside of Letang.
If you isolate just Pit and SJ on the graph, it tells you just about what you'd have expected to see before any of the game were played. To see that it HAS played out that way, and that SJ is still getting beat, makes me think that I don't know anything about what's important in winning hockey games.

 

[DRC]

http://www.tsn.ca/which-historical-statistics-best-predict-future-scoring-rates-1.557816 Wheeler at 2 and Scheif at 3. Yes please

 

[Aavco Cup]

Are any sites producing data for the WCH?

Is it time for a 2016/17 version of this thread?

 

[Aavco Cup]