Proposal: 2014/15 Season Trade Rumours and Proposals vol. V

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Do Make Say Think

& Yet & Yet
Jun 26, 2007
51,167
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Again, as I said in the post you quoted

I watched a lot of Lazar's Cup run with the Oil Kings

Haven't seen a ton out of Paul no, but he's a big winger, what you want to see out of a big winger and what you want to see out of a centre are very different things

In order to be offensively effective the winger doesn't need to do as much as the centre
 

Super Cake

Registered User
Jun 24, 2013
31,010
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Again, as I said in the post you quoted



Haven't seen a ton out of Paul no, but he's a big winger, what you want to see out of a big winger and what you want to see out of a centre are very different things

In order to be offensively effective the winger doesn't need to do as much as the centre

I still think you are giving way too much hype to Paul.
 

Agent Zub

Registered User
Jan 2, 2015
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Lazar seems to lack offensive creativity. He's a great piece, but I doubt he ever cracks more than 60 points.
 

Do Make Say Think

& Yet & Yet
Jun 26, 2007
51,167
9,909
I still think you are giving way too much hype to Paul.

So by that you mean you think there's no way Paul becomes a 2nd line winger because that's I think the absolute best case scenario right now

Lazar seems to lack offensive creativity. He's a great piece, but I doubt he ever cracks more than 60 points.

60 points would be wicked! That means he'd be a better Turris

It's possible but I think it's unlikely, he's still young but I've never been impressed by his offensive game in what I've seen of him
 

Super Cake

Registered User
Jun 24, 2013
31,010
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So by that you mean you think there's no way Paul becomes a 2nd line winger because that's I think the best case scenario right now

He could be, but it is still way too early to say something like that just like saying that Lazar might just be only a 3rd liner.
 

BigRig4

Registered User
Feb 22, 2014
3,054
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Gonna try the fancy formatting, my first time though so hopefully it works or this is gonna be a mess.

So it's irrelevant that he is the lowest in the league in ES scoring when he gets some of the lowest opportunities in the league to be put in scoring positions? You don't think there's any correlation between those two stats? To quote a poster earlier in this thread: "do you even math"?

I would never deny that there's a correlation because there definitely is, however there's no excuse for production that low no matter what. MacArthur gets 48.5% offensive zone starts. He scores goals at a 700% better rate at EV than Milo. Is 10% zone starts really the difference between them? You're clearly forgetting Michalek had many chances in the top 6 early in the season and couldn't get anything going. He was on the second line for a while at the start and got demoted, there's no other way around it... He sealed his own fate. So yeah, I'll ask again... Do you even math?

Eh, it's not like I never said Michalek wasn't slumping, or that I somehow disagreed with this statement in earlier posts when it was brought up. Now who is putting words into other posters mouths? Eh? Yes?

"So wait... you're saying you want to replace the guy who is being exclusively used defensivelybecause he's good at it with a guy who is now so slow that he is a defensive liability every time he takes a shift, because the bad defensive guy might score the same number of goals as the good defensive guy, while being a tenth as good defensively?"

This is the post I was referring to. After the bolded literally none of that is my opinion... all that tenth as good crap is just more of your hyperbole. What I actually said in my original post was that Bertuzzi could replace the offensive production and someone like Condra could play the defensive role. We need guys that can pot goals, defensive guys are dime a dozen. If you can't see that I don't know what to say.

This board has existed for a long time before you got here, How is it weird that I point out an irony? Just because you're too new to "get it", it means it's weird?

Also, if you're going to be that way, then I guess I do not give a rat's arse who you are either. I'm glad this friendship is getting off on the right foot.

Yeah, it was really cringey that you tried to pull rank on an internet message board. Maybe I can carry your equipment to the rink? You know, some rookie hazing or something since you're one of the grizzled vets of the message board? I only addressed it cause you were the first person to bring it up. Don't get upset when I call you out on being weird.

It was a comparison, chief. You said that a player who is among the leaders in neutral & defensive zone starts "wasn't being used defensively". I countered that it was like saying that a guy with a bunch of goals "wasn't a goal scorer", and that a goalie who stopped a bunch of pucks "wasn't a puck stopper". How is that hyperbole?

I pointed out why it's hyperbole. Because I pointed out a guy getting 3/8 of his starts in the offensive zone isn't being used "exclusively defensively". You compared that to saying a goal scorer having to be "goal per game" or a goalie having to be ".980% save" to be a goal stopper. If you can't see why that's hyperbole you're a lost cause.

Regression affects more than offensive numbers. Bertuzzi was basically only a PP weapon, because he can't get up and down the ice anymore. Want to talk about being bad at even strength? Bert was one of the worst defensive players in the league last year. I mean, for example, the guy had the 8th worst on ice Sv% when he was on the ice of all full-time (40+ games) players, and that's just one metric we have.

He had a 12 goal pace last year while getting the 3rd most PP time amongst forwards on the Red Wings, and being defensively incompetent. How is that a good pace? You want your 1st unit PP winger to score 12 a year as an offensive specialist? How is that even moderately impressive?

I'll repeat this once again since you're still ignoring it. The guy is gonna be able to at least match Michalek's production for 1/4 of the price on a zero risk contract. How is this not a win-win?

If Grant gets called up this season, assuming Michalek is still on the roster, I'll leave a $100 standing bet with you that Michalek out-produces him at ES. Easy money, I'm betting on a guy who is statistically due for an upswing, and you're betting on a guy to come in and basically have a career stretch of games.

Any time you want to take me up on this bet, just let me know.

I'm super glad you pointed this out. Cause yeah, based on Grant's production last season he would be doubling Michalek's EV p/60 this year as well. Keep ignoring the facts though it's worked out well for you this far!

YOU should tell me what I said THAT doesn't MAKE sense, so I CAN clarify it FOR you, at least WITHIN the CONTEXT that it makes sense TO me.

So witty! Top banter!

So I'm going to say this one more time, in big old BOLD LETTERS followed by some italics, just so we're clear, because I think there are people who think that I'm some way condoning that Michalek has been worth the money we're paying him this year so far:
1) I am NOT saying Michalek is worth $4mil/ year
2) I am NOT saying Michalek's current offensive production is acceptable
3) I am NOT saying that he is in any way so valuable that he should be exempt from the trading

Then what's the argument? Those three things are more than reason enough to support my stance. I'm not even sure, after accepting those three points that you can have any other conclusion on Michalek unless you're arguing for the sake of arguing.
 

Do Make Say Think

& Yet & Yet
Jun 26, 2007
51,167
9,909
Things change, players sometime have major breakouts

It's possible, but I don't see a ton of offensive upside to Lazar: I think he tops out as an elite third liner, 45 point, leadership, defensively responsible kind of player

Very useful player to have, the kind you win with
 

Agent Zub

Registered User
Jan 2, 2015
14,540
11,800
So by that you mean you think there's no way Paul becomes a 2nd line winger because that's I think the absolute best case scenario right now



60 points would be wicked! That means he'd be a better Turris

It's possible but I think it's unlikely, he's still young but I've never been impressed by his offensive game in what I've seen of him

I'm thinking he ends up a 25-20 player, much like Mike Fisher. Which really isn't a bad thing at all.
 

Do Make Say Think

& Yet & Yet
Jun 26, 2007
51,167
9,909
Maybe? Puempel put up 30 in the AHL last year. I would say he is second.

Agreed, I'd rank Puempel over Paul for sure

I'm thinking he ends up a 25-20 player, much like Mike Fisher. Which really isn't a bad thing at all.

Pretty much

But ideally Mike Fisher is your third line centre, that's when you have a super solid team. He can do as a second line centre, but if you want to win you need more out of your second line middleman
 

God Says No

Registered User
Mar 16, 2012
8,531
1,900
Then what's the argument? Those three things are more than reason enough to support my stance. I'm not even sure, after accepting those three points that you can have any other conclusion on Michalek unless you're arguing for the sake of arguing.

He's basically saying your assessment that Bertuzzi can replace Michalek is wrong. Which I agree. That is a ridiculous statement.
 

Do Make Say Think

& Yet & Yet
Jun 26, 2007
51,167
9,909
He's basically saying your assessment that Bertuzzi can replace Michalek is wrong. Which I agree. That is a ridiculous statement.

It's rather impressive that it took that many epic posts to get that

A 30 year old Michalek > a 40 year old Bertuzzi

I'm a rocket surgeon
 

YouGotAStuGoing

Registered User
Mar 26, 2010
19,355
4,932
Ottawa, Ontario
Also worth mentioning: replacing Michalek with two players (Bertuzzi + Condra) results in one less roster spot to do the exact same thing — IF the first premise of your argument is accepted.
 

BigRig4

Registered User
Feb 22, 2014
3,054
1,082
Also worth mentioning: replacing Michalek with two players (Bertuzzi + Condra) results in one less roster spot to do the exact same thing — IF the first premise of your argument is accepted.

Why would it matter if you split duties between two players again?
 

Vesa Awesaka

#KeepTheSenate
Jul 4, 2013
18,236
25
Didnt Lazar produce as much as many other top 6 prospects? I think he will become a top 6 forward myself.

I'm curious to what people think Lazar's best asset currently is at the nhl level and dont say two way play because generally younger players are bad defensively and Lazar has been sheltered. It's hard to point to one quality and i think that makes it hard for people to pin point what he is going to be.
 

BonkTastic

ಠ_ಠ
Nov 9, 2010
30,901
10,092
Parts Unknown
Gonna try the fancy formatting, my first time though so hopefully it works or this is gonna be a mess.



I would never deny that there's a correlation because there definitely is, however there's no excuse for production that low no matter what. MacArthur gets 48.5% offensive zone starts. He scores goals at a 700% better rate at EV than Milo. Is 10% zone starts really the difference between them? You're clearly forgetting Michalek had many chances in the top 6 early in the season and couldn't get anything going. He was on the second line for a while at the start and got demoted, there's no other way around it... He sealed his own fate. So yeah, I'll ask again... Do you even math?



"So wait... you're saying you want to replace the guy who is being exclusively used defensivelybecause he's good at it with a guy who is now so slow that he is a defensive liability every time he takes a shift, because the bad defensive guy might score the same number of goals as the good defensive guy, while being a tenth as good defensively?"

This is the post I was referring to. After the bolded literally none of that is my opinion... all that tenth as good crap is just more of your hyperbole. What I actually said in my original post was that Bertuzzi could replace the offensive production and someone like Condra could play the defensive role. We need guys that can pot goals, defensive guys are dime a dozen. If you can't see that I don't know what to say.



Yeah, it was really cringey that you tried to pull rank on an internet message board. Maybe I can carry your equipment to the rink? You know, some rookie hazing or something since you're one of the grizzled vets of the message board? I only addressed it cause you were the first person to bring it up. Don't get upset when I call you out on being weird.



I pointed out why it's hyperbole. Because I pointed out a guy getting 3/8 of his starts in the offensive zone isn't being used "exclusively defensively". You compared that to saying a goal scorer having to be "goal per game" or a goalie having to be ".980% save" to be a goal stopper. If you can't see why that's hyperbole you're a lost cause.



I'll repeat this once again since you're still ignoring it. The guy is gonna be able to at least match Michalek's production for 1/4 of the price on a zero risk contract. How is this not a win-win?



I'm super glad you pointed this out. Cause yeah, based on Grant's production last season he would be doubling Michalek's EV p/60 this year as well. Keep ignoring the facts though it's worked out well for you this far!



So witty! Top banter!



Then what's the argument? Those three things are more than reason enough to support my stance. I'm not even sure, after accepting those three points that you can have any other conclusion on Michalek unless you're arguing for the sake of arguing.

Well, if there are two points I can draw from all of this, it's

1) we're going to have to agree to disagree, obviously, because it's obvious that neither one is seeing the other's poin of view, and
2) this is definitely not the blossoming of a new internet romance. Enjoy your time on these boards.
 

Do Make Say Think

& Yet & Yet
Jun 26, 2007
51,167
9,909
Lazar has been completely invisible in the NHL as far as I'm concerned

Which is ok, he's not losing us games. But if he's the "prized prospect" or "the kid who will turn into the man who will lead us to the promised land of Stanleyus Cupus!" then it's not good enough to get me excited

I have no idea how anyone can say they see top 6 potential in his play.
I can see how anyone would be skeptical about it, I can see how someone could say "he's 19, plenty of time for him to break out", I can see how someone might "he got lots of points in Junior but he was never what I'd call offensively gifted" though
To me anyone who says "he has top 6 potential" is basing it on management raving about him and his pedigree which is definitely considerable. However none of those can make up for offensive skill which I see very little of.

Again though, he's 19, players have major breakouts; they happen. But until they do, they don't.
 

Super Cake

Registered User
Jun 24, 2013
31,010
6,438
Lazar has been completely invisible in the NHL as far as I'm concerned

Which is ok, he's not losing us games. But if he's the "prized prospect" or "the kid who will turn into the man who will lead us to the promised land of Stanleyus Cupus!" then it's not good enough to get me excited

I have no idea how anyone can say they see top 6 potential in his play.
I can see how anyone would be skeptical about it, I can see how someone could say "he's 19, plenty of time for him to break out", I can see how someone might "he got lots of points in Junior but he was never what I'd call offensively gifted" though

He is a 19 year old that was brought right from juniors to the nhl. He is most likely not the type of player that can make such a quick jump and be able to adapt quickly to the nhl.

Lazar needs to be in the ahl.
 

DrunkUncleDenis

Condra Fan
Mar 27, 2012
11,820
1,682
Lazar seems to lack offensive creativity. He's a great piece, but I doubt he ever cracks more than 60 points.

I'm okay with this.

Judging by your tone I don't think you're showing enough respect to 60 point guys

Indeed. He'd be a leading scorer for us. I see that the poster means crack 60 once or twice. I'd be extremely happy with Lazar hitting 45-50 points consistently. No one expects him to light is up at 80 points or anything.

It's rather impressive that it took that many epic posts to get that

A 30 year old Michalek > a 40 year old Bertuzzi

I'm a rocket surgeon

I'm a bit sad that all went down on the last few pages of this thread before it's buried. Because I thoroughly enjoyed reading the exchanges.

Didnt Lazar produce as much as many other top 6 prospects? I think he will become a top 6 forward myself.

I'm curious to what people think Lazar's best asset currently is at the nhl level and dont say two way play because generally younger players are bad defensively and Lazar has been sheltered. It's hard to point to one quality and i think that makes it hard for people to pin point what he is going to be.

It's all about the "intangibles". He has them a plenty.
 

Burrowsaurus

Registered User
Mar 20, 2013
42,443
16,057
I don't feel like going through quotes. But the whole Derek grant vs milan Michalek thing. Grant can't replace him totally. But he could probably match his even strength production. I mean. I think anyone can match michaleks even strength production
 
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