I really don't like prospects like Vail. He doesn't have any dominant physical traits and doesn't play with much of an edge at all. This type of prospect almost never makes it to the NHL. He looks like a decent player at the CHL level with a decent all around skill set but that just won't cut it at the next level without a strong compete level and a willingness to get dirty.
Players like this provide a lot of false hope for fans as they always try to project them as future 3rd liners in the NHL. The fact is that most NHL 3rd liners were pretty good scorers in junior/college and almost all of them have an edge to their game.
Vail is a vanilla prospect who looks more like a career minor leaguer. The pick was understandable as his physical tools were projectable but he hasn't improved them and remains way too passive on the ice. It will take a personal revelation on his part to completely change the way he approaches the game to give him any shot at making it to the NHL.
Pick was really understandable as you always work with prospects and go with their development and ceiling. Vail had enough tangibles to project him as a NHL'er. Still has. But everything is about development. Same goes with Thrower. Thrower looked better this week that I've seen him lately so that's good news but it need to translate into a very good season this year as a 20 yo. If not, he's gone.
But it's easy to pick on a guy who's probably at the lowest end of his career. Cut by USA, only draftee cut by his NHL team....can only go up after that.
Totally true that most 3rd liners were big time scorers with their respective team. Yet, it's not all black and white and you do have late bloomers. Vail could be it. Not the time to give up on him unless.....there's a minor prospect deal you can do that would answer a need. Vail still has some "value" as nobody should give up on a kid like that with nice size and nice overall awareness. Yet, not sure WE should give up on him just yet. But true, that he makes it harder for us to be excited by him. This is why it's fun to say immediately after a draft who wins and who doesn't, 2012 looked incredible just after we finished that day, everybody was so excited, we had a whole lot of names in there.....but it's entirely possible than when all is said and done, that the mid picks in Thrower, Bozon and Vail do not fulfill their expectations. Hudon...well I'm still not convinced but not based on talent...based on injuries. And Nystrom...we'll see. That draft could change dramatically....and then....they still could all do it and be one of the draft since a long time. Nothing is done. Far from it.