Ntdp
i am still missing your point here. i dont know why you keep talking about rounds 2 - 4, as there is a big difference from round 2 to 4 and above. arguing that is completely silly. you do realise that this program usually runs for two years depending on the kid, and the chl has up to 5 years to mold their players. this is a development program, hence the name. you keep trying to compare the competition they play against, but that is completely out of their hands. you neednt look any further then fowler, etem, morin, and ryan and how they all doing in the chl...they are tearing it up right now. but how could they do it after playing against such inferior competition for the usndp?
if the season ended now, all those names i previously mentioned (merrill,forbort, tinordi, faulk, johns, zucker, clare, arnold, moffatt, campbell ) would be top 2 rounds, and nowhere near round 4. and yes that matters, especially for what this program was created for...getting kids drafted high and getting them prepared for the nhl. this will be a monster draft for the usndp and i really do not see your argument.
I agree it's silly, but I'm having fun and I appreciate your indulgence. The point of my argument is that I thought we began talking about where players are ranked (according to legitimate scouts), and I believe only one or two NTDP defensemen should be ranked in the top 30 of this very deep draft year because they play a weaker schedule (which I agree is obviously no fault of their own). I think that teams who take players in the first round are hopeful they'll be able to make their team and play in the NHL the following season. That expectation diminishes with later rounds, though. I think almost all of the U18s have the potential to make it to the NHL eventually, but this thread is only about the 2010 draft. Our exchange has been about the order and even more specifically about who deserves to be in the first round. The length of a program is inconsequential for the sake of our discussion. They all get drafted at 18.
Fowler - ok, and I'd be even more impressed if he put up the same numbers on a team that wasn't the reigning Memorial Cup champion with obscene talent on every line. How can you not have be a plus 25 when you play every other shift on a team that rolls three lines of the top scorers in a league (unless you suck)? But, yes, he looks great.
Etem - the NTDP can't legitimately take credit for him. He played with them for one year and left for precisely the reasons I'm arguing. The NTDP didn't develop him, and the CHL will have more to do with why he'll be drafted high.
Morin - who? You mean the '91 playing for Kitchener who didn't get drafted last year? Was he with the NTDP last year? If so, you're making my point.
Ryan - not exactly "tearing it up" as you put it. He's not embarrassing himself, but he's one of many reasons that make my point. He's on the greatest team in Junior hockey and he's sitting at 15 points in 21 games. Even the great Cam Fowler can't help him outshine the likes of forwards Hall, Henrique, Nemisz and Watson. No shame in his game, Ryan's doing an impressive job after stepping up to an accelerated level of play, but it hasn't been automatic and instant adjustment for him.
I just disagree with your claim that the NTDP develops players for the NHL. I don't think the NTDP even makes that claim. I'm pretty sure they say they develop players for the NCAA. In my opinion, they just skim the cream of the 15-year-old crop and give them some excellent exposure. Merrill's great because he's Merrill and works hard, not because the NTDP made him. He was the best before he got there and they get credit for not screwing him up (yet). If he'd played in the OHL for a year, he might even be ahead of Fowler by now.
The NTDP is important for one reason - it's free hockey for 40 kids who have proven they're among the best midgets in the USA and it's a logical and much needed bridge to Div I NCAA. That's about it. Wanna take bets on how many bail from next year's class to major junior for these reasons? I'd say 4 or more.