I'm not sure Oleksiak's hockey sense and decision making skills are completely lacking. If you just saw his NHL callups, you might say that. But at AHL level you see flashes of some outstanding defensive and offensive plays. Followed of course by some horrid mistake. That would tell me it's more of a consistency issue, developing his ability to stay mentally switched on throughout the 60 mins. Some of the posters who watch more AHL games could probably shed more light on this part of his game.Oleksiak is a guy whose hockey sense and decision making skills have always been lacking, and he hasn't really shown any signs of improvement in that regard. I don't see him as a future core member of the team. He'll be a guy that will look useful as a veteran. I wouldn't even put him in my top 10, though I'm sure just about all of you will disagree. Still, 10th in this pool could be as good as 2 or 3 on some other teams so he could still easily exceed my expectations.
I don't know about that. Lindback and Rynnas could both be quite good in their own right.
Klingberg. I think people here overrate Campbell, he has only had one really good season but he was injured therefore created a very small sample size. He is definitely not top 3 IMO.
So we can ignore Campbell's 18 year old season but Desrosier's 19 year old season is admissible to evidence? Check. Ignore year he lead US to Gold in the U20 and U18 same season. That must have been a mediocre season. No need to fact check or accurately state Desrosiers had a good 2nd half ... painfully mediocre start to the season. Ignoring outlandish claims like that and nickel and diming any prospect ...
I agree he's no lock to be a stud starting goaltender, but I'd say outside of Ritchie at this point ... no one else really sticks out as a lock for NHL glory either. He's a guy that every year when you watch him he addresses his issues and corrects them. When he was win gold medals ... he scrambled like crazy and made fantastical saves and allowed awful goals. He's as come as Kari in net most nights now ... at a much lower level of competition.
He was mentally weak in the OHL, and more often than not he's focuses and unfazed by the game. Goal is the most difficult position to play, and instead of crumbling when he's been insufficient in areas he's done everything possible to make himself better. As much as I appreciate that Glennie salvaged his career because of a hard ass coach, it's more impressive that a guy like Campbell is a driven individual who fights to be the best possible and to this point hasn't failed at advancing his game when needed.
His career trajectory and the talent he has for sure have him moving well towards a solid NHL career as a starter. Since none of the other forwards are clear cut first liners and none of the D are locks for top pair D ... he's easily in the conversation with those prospects. I don't think there's much of gap from this point to probably around 10 give or take a few.
To expand on Klockis' post, I've noticed some goalpost shifting as the years have gone on too. It used to be that Campbell's ceiling was expected to be an elite, All-Star level starter. Is that still the case? I see people talking about his potential as simply a starter being enough to justify this ranking. That's not good enough to me. Look at it this way: If Dickinson, for example, reaches his ceiling (as I see it) and turns out to be a 60-70 point center, are you gonna trade that player for a starting goalie? I don't think so. If everything goes right for Oleksiak and he turns into a dynamic #2 defender, are you going to trade him for a starting goalie? IMO you need to work your way down the list comparing ceilings until you get to someone that you'd say, "Yes, I would trade this theoretically developed player for a starting goalie".
For me that means he's behind Ritchie, Dickinson, Shore, Honka, Oleksiak and basically in a dead-heat with Klingberg.
To expand on Klockis' post, I've noticed some goalpost shifting as the years have gone on too. It used to be that Campbell's ceiling was expected to be an elite, All-Star level starter. Is that still the case? I see people talking about his potential as simply a starter being enough to justify this ranking. That's not good enough to me. Look at it this way: If Dickinson, for example, reaches his ceiling (as I see it) and turns out to be a 60-70 point center, are you gonna trade that player for a starting goalie? I don't think so. If everything goes right for Oleksiak and he turns into a dynamic #2 defender, are you going to trade him for a starting goalie? IMO you need to work your way down the list comparing ceilings until you get to someone that you'd say, "Yes, I would trade this theoretically developed player for a starting goalie".
For me that means he's behind Ritchie, Dickinson, Shore, Honka, Oleksiak and basically in a dead-heat with Klingberg.
I'm probably not going to sway you because it's not something I feel strongly about, like I do about Campbell's placement. Dickinson and Shore are neck and neck as far as I'm concerned. I am very high on Shore as well, he's someone I wanted the Stars to draft and was thrilled when they did and his development since then has done nothing to dampen that enthusiasm. He's my #3 prospect. I give the nod to Dickinson due to slightly better pedigree and the fact that I'm naturally a little skeptical of NCAA prospects. Dickinson being on such a good OHL team in Guelph and thriving against the best the CHL has to offer throughout the playoffs is a plus in my book. Being a year younger doesn't hurt either.Sort of exhausted the Campbell discussion and with the way the vote is going I'm most interested piqued in why you went with Dickinson over Shore. I'm actually waffling a bit even though I'm leaning towards Shore, and I wondered if you might sway me. I know you have been high on Shore for a while as well.
Other than his age which I don't see as part of the equation for me ... NCAA vs. CHL is the thing I'm struggling with the most.
It's obvious most talent and many top NHLers are ex-CHL, and many of your top NCAA players usually end up as 4th line or Top 9 guys in the long run.
I just hate to use the NCAA against him because he is so good, but it's a reasonable knock. Even I realize it's a stretch that the tougher physical competition of the NCAA is a bit of a stretch.
If anything, I do agree with Glove that what Klingberg and more specifically Bystrom have done in a pro league is more impressive. Bystrom at 19 being even more impressive than Klingberg who is 2 years older. I think Bystrom is proving to be further along in his development, and he could prove to have a greater ceiling.
Where do you slide in a guy like Oleksiak who is proving to be maybe more of a complimentary player like Bouwmeester over a Chara type?
It's a tough call IMO, but you did pull me back towards Dickinson a bit. Maybe you do have to discount the NCAA competition for now.
I came into this year not knowing what to expect from Jason Dickinson. We drafted him with a high pick so surely the was some upside, but a lot of the scouting sites questioned his upside after a rough draft. It didn't take long for any doubt in my mind to be erased. Every time he was on the ice something happened for Guelph. He can play in so many styles because he has so many tools in a great toolbox. Carry the puck with blazing speed, shoot the puck with velocity, or make deft passes. He is the motor for his line and the Guelph offence (which was one of the strongest teams in OHL history).
And to give all this praise isn't covering the better half of his game. At this point he is the best defensive forward in the OHL. At the beginning of the season there was a discussion on the Knights board discussing the leagues best defensive players, and he was a consensus top 5. That was done before the leaps and bounds in his game that he made over the year.
If the 2013 draft was to happen again, I would choose him over Bo Horvat. He's better at every part of the game other than face offs.
I came into this year not knowing what to expect from Jason Dickinson. We drafted him with a high pick so surely the was some upside, but a lot of the scouting sites questioned his upside after a rough draft. It didn't take long for any doubt in my mind to be erased. Every time he was on the ice something happened for Guelph. He can play in so many styles because he has so many tools in a great toolbox. Carry the puck with blazing speed, shoot the puck with velocity, or make deft passes. He is the motor for his line and the Guelph offence (which was one of the strongest teams in OHL history).
And to give all this praise isn't covering the better half of his game. At this point he is the best defensive forward in the OHL. At the beginning of the season there was a discussion on the Knights board discussing the leagues best defensive players, and he was a consensus top 5. That was done before the leaps and bounds in his game that he made over the year.
If the 2013 draft was to happen again, I would choose him over Bo Horvat. He's better at every part of the game other than face offs.
Can you explain to me why you are more impressed with Bystrom than Klinger?
4. Ludwig Bystrom – 6’0”, 194 lbs. – 2013-14 Season: Farjestad
Drafted in the second round (43rd overall) in 2012 by the Dallas Stars
Somewhat surprisingly left off this past winter’s WJC club, the bulky Dallas Stars' prospect is coming off a very productive year. After having finished his second season of pro action in 2012-13, where Bystrom collected three goals and six points in 30 games for hometown MODO, he signed a contract with Farjestad and saw his game and responsibility take flight. There, the smooth-skating puck-mover was slowly but surely worked into a role that saw him gain special teams play in addition to his full-strength duties. Obviously possessing some solid offensive instincts, he quietly put up three goals, 11 points, 24 penalty minutes and a +10 rating in 51 league games. Things tailed off in the playoffs, where he was held pointless and had a -3 rating in 10 games.
Solid in all three zones, but lacking the flash and dash that some other Swedish defensemen tend to be living off of nowadays, Bystrom’s SHL season was so solid that the Stars decided to bring him over to hang around with their AHL affiliate and get a feel for life in North America this spring. His in-game intelligence and the ability he’s shown to develop on-the-run could be his fast track to North America next season, although it would be hard to argue with the thought that another season of SHL play could see him in an increased offensive role for a Farjestad team that is used to contending.
To expand on Klockis' post, I've noticed some goalpost shifting as the years have gone on too. It used to be that Campbell's ceiling was expected to be an elite, All-Star level starter. Is that still the case? I see people talking about his potential as simply a starter being enough to justify this ranking.
Wow. Didn't know he was THAT good. Can you expand on the Horvat comment? Would be interesting to hear why you are higher on Dickinson as a Knights fan. Just looking at stats Horvat seems like the superior player.
This is a pretty good encapsulation of why I'm so bullish on Dickinson. I probably spent too much time taking down Campbell rather than building up Jason. He's one of those prospects where you don't worry for a second whether he'll be a good NHLer, he just will be. He can start out anywhere and succeed and then climb the lineup. Size, skill, skating, hockey IQ, defense, offense, what else do you want?I came into this year not knowing what to expect from Jason Dickinson. We drafted him with a high pick so surely the was some upside, but a lot of the scouting sites questioned his upside after a rough draft. It didn't take long for any doubt in my mind to be erased. Every time he was on the ice something happened for Guelph. He can play in so many styles because he has so many tools in a great toolbox. Carry the puck with blazing speed, shoot the puck with velocity, or make deft passes. He is the motor for his line and the Guelph offence (which was one of the strongest teams in OHL history).
And to give all this praise isn't covering the better half of his game. At this point he is the best defensive forward in the OHL. At the beginning of the season there was a discussion on the Knights board discussing the leagues best defensive players, and he was a consensus top 5. That was done before the leaps and bounds in his game that he made over the year.
If the 2013 draft was to happen again, I would choose him over Bo Horvat. He's better at every part of the game other than face offs.
You can throw out Klingberg's past, it's irrelevant at this point. His difficulty bouncing around leagues is well documented but the guy who borderline dominated the SHL isn't the same as the guy who struggled with Finnish hockey. Klingberg's game has accelerated far past what most thought he was on track for. I don't see any justification for ranking Bystrom over him when you consider Klingberg's current status and proximity to the NHL. Development curves are fine, but not everyone moves at the same speed along the curve.Development curve. If you're comparing their seasons to one another last season you're not doing an apples to apples comparison.
Before he's even turned 20 years old, Bystrom has 102 games of SHL experience. At 19, Klingberg was failing in Finland, and he'd only played 42 SHL games (+20 in the Liiga).
6 defenders total appear on the Top 100 list for U20 players in the SHL. 4 of them played in the 70's or 80's. The other two are Victor Hedman with 21 points as an 18 year old, and Tim Erixon with 24 points as a 19 year old. The list ends at 100 and 17 points, but Larsson would be tied for 17 points as a 17 year old.
So that's 7 D with 17 or more points as a U20 in the history of the league. Bystrom had 11 this year. That's not elite or anything, but he's more than on track for where he should be. With Farjestad losing Nyberg and Belle, Bystrom has an even better chance to take another big step forward.
I'm very happy with Klingberg, but Bystrom's 17, 18, and 19 year old seasons have been significantly better.
If you're going to vote on NHL readiness, Klingberg is closer, but Bystrom's upside is just as exciting. He was a high 2nd round pick for good reason after all.
You can throw out Klingberg's past, it's irrelevant at this point. His difficulty bouncing around leagues is well documented but the guy who borderline dominated the SHL isn't the same as the guy who struggled with Finnish hockey. Klingberg's game has accelerated far past what most thought he was on track for. I don't see any justification for ranking Bystrom over him when you consider Klingberg's current status and proximity to the NHL. Development curves are fine, but not everyone moves at the same speed along the curve.