I consider trading and UFA signings something completely different to drafting. You know the players and you can watch just as much about him and every other player in the league to get your own informed opinion about him. You see the whole picture and you're able to compare what was given away or paid for what he offers to the team and did in the recent past.
But drafting is totally different. You scout a player for maybe a year or even longer, you speak to him and try to figure out his personality. Even for professionels it's very hard to make the right decision and to see the whole picture - every comparable player on the same level, not only hockey skills but also character and what is going on in the players mind. And after all: Is he even motivated to play for your franchise or will he leave the city at the first opportunity?
How can you say your opinion or information, based on let's say 10 drafting reports, following the scoring race in CHL leagues and watching some games of your favorite prospects once in a while is better than that of people doing nothing else for their living? Because let's be honest, 80-90% of people don't have a bigger picture about the kid they say "know so well". Even if they do, they probably lack a looooot of informations about other players. And other players could be way better than that one player you know so much about but you can't know that your player isn't the best because you don't have enough information about the others.
That's exactly what happened with the Scheifele and Morrissey pick. That's the reason why so many people are like "WUAAASTTATATATTTTTT?????????" at the first place.
In Europe, scouting younger players is totally different and I don't think it's even a fair comparison. As an Arsenal fan, I know what I'm talking about. We are one of the most successful teams regarding young players at the age of 16-18, coming to our academy and play their way up to the first squad.
When a prospect is brought to our academy at age of 15-18, NO ONE, I swear to you, NO ONE would ever think about going all loony and saying that "management don't know nothing about what they are doing because they should have taking player XY instead of this guy". Why should we? We have never spoken with the player nor have seen him play in a bigger sample size. Maybe you did at the U-20 World Cup or something (equivalent of WJC) but that's probably it.
As I said, the two systems are not thaat good of a comparison because youth leagues aren't broadcasted on TV in Europe (not like CHL or NCAA) and it's not the same "you have choices X and Y, pick whoever you want left on the table" situation but my point is that so many people around here on HF (and I assume it's the same going to a local pub talking about picks? I remember the draft day party where people left angry because we picked Trouba instead of Forsberg?
) just assume that their guess is as good as Chevys guess. Which is hilarious, IMO
And it's the same with other franchises too, of course.