So by the same token wouldn't good goaltending invalidate a bad Corsi?
Teams wouldn't do that. In general, teams attempt to outscore their opponents, and the way to do that is to outpossess and outchance their opponent.
It's similar to a goaltender's goal - is the goaltender's goal to win games or to stop pucks directed at him? Clearly, it's to win games. How does he best accomplish that? By stopping pucks directed at him.
I agree that they will likely not repeat this season in wins/pts, but as to the rest of your post, you are assuming they make no roster moves in the off season and their core does not improve.There is a 100% chance of the Avs regressing - they will not hit 112 points next season. I'd expect them to land right around 95-100 points next season, comfortably in the playoffs but not competing for the top record in the West like they did this year. They were extraordinarily lucky by almost any advanced metric. It finally caught up the Toronto late in the year, it will probably bite Colorado next season.
Worse luck, better advanced stats, regression from this past season. And if they have to play Chicago or STL in round 1 then they probably will be knocked out in round 1.
you guys are going to look so stupid when Colorado runs the table next season.
Tell that to Luongo-Schneider or Hiller-Andersen/Fasth/Gibson
Ward-Khudobin, Crawford- Raanta..etc etc
Did I say the split would be 50-50? A tandem doesn't have to be.
And just because they pay him more, that doesn't give him absolute job security. If Varlymov slumps the job is Berra's to take.
IF Varlymov posts average numbers instead of his Vezina numbers that 5.9 cap hit is going to look terrible.
Massive goalie deals always look bad in the end.
If the Av's Corsi/Fenwick numbers get better but their point total decreases, is that still regressing?
I agree that they will likely not repeat this season in wins/pts, but as to the rest of your post, you are assuming they make no roster moves in the off season and their core does not improve.
Most posters predicting a big regression are also making these assumptions.
Tell that to Luongo-Schneider or Hiller-Andersen/Fasth/Gibson
Ward-Khudobin, Crawford- Raanta..etc etc
Did I say the split would be 50-50? A tandem doesn't have to be.
And just because they pay him more, that doesn't give him absolute job security. If Varlymov slumps the job is Berra's to take.
IF Varlymov posts average numbers instead of his Vezina numbers that 5.9 cap hit is going to look terrible.
Massive goalie deals always look bad in the end.
Henrik Lundqvist $59.5 over seven years. Good luck with that!
You literally quoted me saying that massive goalie deals always look bad in the end. There are maybe 2-3 goalies in the NHL that I would be ok with paying 6+mil a year for a long term deal.
There is a 100% chance of the Avs regressing - they will not hit 112 points next season. I'd expect them to land right around 95-100 points next season, comfortably in the playoffs but not competing for the top record in the West like they did this year. They were extraordinarily lucky by almost any advanced metric. It finally caught up the Toronto late in the year, it will probably bite Colorado next season.
Worse luck, better advanced stats, regression from this past season. And if they have to play Chicago or STL in round 1 then they probably will be knocked out in round 1.
It's not uncommon for first year coaches to capture the lightning in a bottle and go on and run.
but it IS uncommon for them to keep it. The players never buy in like they did that first year, and opponents never really got a chance to pick you apart. It gets harder every year after that.
However he is following Sacco and a rudderless front office. Look at what the Hawks did after Wirtz died.It's not uncommon for first year coaches to capture the lightning in a bottle and go on and run.
but it IS uncommon for them to keep it. The players never buy in like they did that first year, and opponents never really got a chance to pick you apart. It gets harder every year after that. I'm sure Colorado fans will take it as a slight against their team or some individual players, but it's more a reality of coaching than anything.