doesnt make sense for Carolina to be favored over Washington
Yeah that’s weird. The graphic has Caps favored over Carolina but Carolina more likely to win the Cup. They like the Caps 2-1 lead with home ice, but must be weighting Corsi pretty heavily into the algorithm for the Canes to be getting that %.
I’d give the Caps 65% to close out the Canes up 2-1, 55% to beat NYI, and 50% in the next two series. Which would equate to about a 9% chance for the Cup.
Also they’re giving Vegas a 61/39, 65/35, and 63/37 edge in R2, WCF, SCF respectively. That’s absurdly high.