Speculation: What top 4D could Anders Lee return?

Discussion in 'Trade Rumors and Free Agent Talk' started by CREW99AW, Apr 15, 2018 at 1:46 PM.

  1. AnishLoomba

    AnishLoomba Registered User

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    i want yamahato
     
  2. HockeyAnalystGenius

    HockeyAnalystGenius Registered User

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    Then add a 2ned...Anders Lee is NOT sustainability.
     
  3. AnishLoomba

    AnishLoomba Registered User

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    ok will do
     
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  4. HockeyAnalystGenius

    HockeyAnalystGenius Registered User

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    You are the only poster with a brain
     
  5. Magic Man

    Magic Man Registered User

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    Maybe put him beside Gards or Rielly and you need one more good dman for that top-4. If you remove Gards you're stuck with 2, one being very new to the league.
     
  6. Rangediddy

    Rangediddy The puck was in

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    His down seasons can be explained. Off ice distractions and a bad system to play in. Obviously we would be trading him at a lower value than what he's had a couple years ago, or will have once the personal issues are dealt with. The fact is he's a potential top 2 d man, solid #3 and is on the market.
     
  7. 72hockey guy

    72hockey guy Registered User

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    sid none of them are worth lee and you of all people know it, youre being disingenuous here, name the last current 40 goal scorer traded for a Scandella or Gardiner or Klefbom or Brodie. Ill wait for your reply

    and by current I meantraded off a 40 goal season for a defenseman of that caliber
     
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  8. Juxtaposer

    Juxtaposer Outro: Divina Comedia

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    Not sure. I didn’t get a chance to watch the Panthers much this season but his stats look good. What’s the scoop with him?
     
  9. EastonBlues22

    EastonBlues22 Administrator

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    I "compared" him to everyone who has ever played the game of hockey since 1967, and also to all current active players. If you think that Lee is the only active player who has successfully played the style of game that he plays, or that he plays it better than anyone in modern history has ever played it before, then you are simply wrong. I've already named one guy who mastered the art in Tkachuk, who is going to easily eclipse Lee in terms of peak and almost certainly in terms of career, which you're conveniently ignoring.

    Nothing about what I said "discredits" what he's done. It's simply a cautionary tale about what's likely to happen moving forward. If you can't see the sense in what's been said, or at least digest it enough to have a decent conversation about it, that's on you...but don't project your insecurities and hangups onto my motivations.
     
  10. CodeE

    CodeE Registered User

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    Your argument was picked apart directly after you posted it:

    You're comparing Lee's shooting percentage to everyone else in the NHL, specifically a lot to Stamkos. Stamkos is a far more offensively gifted player than Lee - players like him, Crosby, McDavid, Barzal, etc etc are many times the main focus of attack when their line is in the offensive zone.

    Lee is a complimentary player, albeit a very good one who is very good at the hockey equivalent of "offensive rebounds". So to compare his game to "all current active players", or even other 40+ goal scorers, is deliberately only telling a fraction of the story and ignoring the full picture. Like if I were to trash Colton Parayko because he doesn't put up offensive numbers like Erik Karlsson - you'd want to defend Parayko by pointing out he plays an entirely different game than Karlsson. I sure wouldn't then accuse you of being insecure and projecting hangups for daring to defend your player.
     
  11. EastonBlues22

    EastonBlues22 Administrator

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    Yeah, I'm intimately familiar with his game, but thanks.

    Tip-ins and rebounds are still subject to the whims of variability, which should not be a surprise since you are literally talking about events that depend on the puck bouncing off things. Tip-ins and rebounds don't defy age, either. Tkachuk was a master of the art, and only 10 of his 18 NHL seasons were over 14%...with 6 of those coming in the first 6 seasons after his rookie year, and only 4 coming in his last 11 seasons. He played until he was 37, and generally played well through almost all of that, but his career still peaked and declined like anyone else's.

    If you don't want to believe it, that's fine. I'm not here to convert anyone who doesn't want to hear it. We can agree to disagree and time will ultimately show the truth of it.
     
  12. EastonBlues22

    EastonBlues22 Administrator

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    You're still not getting it.

    Stamkos' name came up, yes, but my post was not a direct comparison between the two players in any way. If you don't think Tkachuk had a heat map like the one Lee has, or that no other active players (or players going back to 1967) do as well, I don't know what to tell you. Lee's simply not as unique as you are making him out to be. There are a lot of NHL players who make their living in front of the net, since most goals are scored within 10' of the net, yet there is no player like Lee who has ever sustained that sort of shooting percentage over the long haul...at least not while putting up the sort of goal totals that Lee is currently putting up. Lee hasn't even done it himself.

    The last two years represents a 67% increase in shooting percentage over what he did the first 180 games of his career through age 25. If you're comfortable saying that's his new baseline, then fine. I disagree, and we can leave it at that.
     
  13. 72hockey guy

    72hockey guy Registered User

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    you cant say that "Tkachuk, who is going to easily eclipse Lee in terms of peak" because he hasnt done it yet, unless you have the crystal ball Crew keeps accusing you of using. its the same as when sabres fans said eichel was better than tavares, when is that supposed to start exactly. and if youre referring to keith and not his sons, he was traded for 2 1sts a 2nd,3rd and Glen Metropolit hardly the trash offered for Lee in this thread

    if someone offered the islanders 2 1sts a 2nd and a 3rd and an nhl player im sure the isles would consider it, just like the blues did with Keith YOURE THE ONE NOT GETTING IT

    HE IS WHAT HE IS NOW, in this nhl. its not the gretzky NHL ANYMORE
     
    Last edited by a moderator: Apr 16, 2018 at 8:47 PM
  14. CodeE

    CodeE Registered User

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    And honestly, that's what annoys me. Instead of being impressed that Lee has 163 combined games (hardly a small sample size) performing with a high shooting percentage, you look for ways to discredit it. To call it "unsustainable", and inform us Islander fans there's no way he's keeping up this level of performance.

    Again, if I marched into a Colton Parayko thread looking to negatively discredit his game with flimsy "he's not good enough to put up the numbers he's putting up" arguments, I'm sure you and all the other Blues fans would shoot down my crap as well. Not sure why you want to cling so strongly to the notion that Anders Lee absolutely has to get worse starting right now.
     
  15. Kevin27nyi

    Kevin27nyi HoSanity

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    Parayko is the type of dman I'd trade him for, Brodie too OEL too and maybe Brodin. You can't trade him for a guy that doesn't headline a second pairing at least, because than you'd might as well re-sign de Haan.
     
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  16. Shwabeal

    Shwabeal Registered User

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    I know you said "Parayko type of dman" and not actually Parayko, but the Blues can't afford to move him for a LW. Lee's net front presence and goal scoring would be welcome but the Blues have to find a center for the 2nd line first or his scoring would take a pretty big hit because they'd have no one that could get him the puck. If he was a RH RW, it wouldn't be the worst idea, but even then it would probably be a no. I wish the Blues had a guy like Lee. (But with a more sustainable SH% :sarcasm:)
     
  17. Kevin27nyi

    Kevin27nyi HoSanity

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    Lmao I actually looked at the roster to see if there was a fit, noticed that LW was not a need and was disappointed... value wise I liked it.
     
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  18. EastonBlues22

    EastonBlues22 Administrator

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    Tkachuk had 294 goals (including two 50+ goal seasons, two 40+ goal seasons, and a 30+ goal season) by the time he was Lee's age...with 98, 86, 81, 68, and 66 point seasons already in the bag.

    Lee's peak thus far consists of a exactly two seasons: a 40 goal/62 point season and a 34 goal/52 point effort.

    It's, frankly, not even close at this point, and age 27 is generally established to be towards the end of a forward's production peak. Lee's going to have to pull some serious stuff out of his butt the next couple of years to even make it a conversation. Saying Tkachuk is a better player than Lee is not exactly controversial for anyone who has seen the two play through their primes.

    I have no idea what your trade rantings are about. I'm not here to waste my time with trade proposals, but whatever Lee does next year, he's hardly a risk to be a bad value at only $3.75 million. That's mid-to-low end 3rd liner money, and Lee's rental value should absolutely reflect that lack of downside (and correspondingly huge upside) if he's actually shopped.

    My interest here is pretty much limited to his next contract. Assuming he doesn't fall apart next year, he's going to be able to command quite a lot based upon his recent goal scoring numbers. Would you be comfortable with the Islanders re-signing him to a contract worth $6+ million AAV over 5+ years? Backes (another sand-paper, net-front, two-way, leadership/intangibles guy) just commanded that at age 32, and his goal scoring didn't peak as high as Lee's (though he does get more assists).

    I wouldn't be comfortable with that.
     
  19. EastonBlues22

    EastonBlues22 Administrator

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    You're putting words in my mouth.

    Who said I'm not impressed? I enjoy watching the Islanders play, and I don't particularly care if they lose, so I watch them a decent amount and generally enjoy those games since they play an entertaining style. Watching Lee play is part of that. He's a good player.

    I also never said "he absolutely has to get worse," and certainly not "right now." In fact, I've gone out of my way on multiple occasions to say that he could be the exception...I just think the odds are stacked against him, and I've pointed out why.

    Variance is a thing. So are outliers. You can't talk in absolutes when you're talking about those things, and I certainly haven't been using that sort of language, so once again you're reading into my post something that simply isn't there.
     
  20. 72hockey guy

    72hockey guy Registered User

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    ONCE AGAIN THIS IS NOT GRETZKYS NHL

    YOU KEEP INSISTING IT IS

    SO I GUESS TARASENKO IS TRASH TOO

    I WOULDNT BE COMFORTABLE WITH TRYING TO SAY THAT THE THE GAME HASNT CHANGE SIGNIFICANTLY SINCE THEN

    DURING KEITH HEY DAY THEIR WERE 19 100 POINT SCORERS IN THE NHL (1985) IN 2018 THERE WERE 3

    YOUR ENTIRE ARGUMENT IS **** AND YOU KNOW IT YOURE COMPARING APPLES TO ORANGES..... YOU NEED TO EQUALIZE THE DATA FOR IT TO BE RELEVANT
     
    Last edited by a moderator: Apr 16, 2018 at 10:46 PM
  21. Colt55

    Colt55 Registered User

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    We are not trading parayko for another lwer.
     
  22. 72hockey guy

    72hockey guy Registered User

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    Colt im not saying you should, im just pointing out that easton is making a bogus argumentw hich he knows is false on its face. he's way too intelligent to think he can get away with that. I know the man ive read his posts for ten years so i know hes better than that

    put it this way.... if you did need defense. I agree you truly dont but if you did, would YOU trade Tarasenko for the likes of Scandella, Gardiner, klefbom or Brodie?

    you dont need to answer, i read your posts too, Youd say "hell no" and wouldnt even think twice and thats true even if you have great prospects like Thomas and Kyrou who could possibly replace Tarasenko

    if you were trading Tarasenko or in this case Lee, youd expect more or you wouldnt trade him and no bogus argument changes that

    Tarasenko and Lee are every bit as good as Keith Tkatchuk when you adjust for the changes in he game over the last 20-25 years

    put it this way in 1985 there were 34 ppg players in 2018 there are 20

    the 34th highest scorer was your own brayden Schenn at 70 points, that was good for 60th in the NHL in 1985

    SO only an idiot would try to pass that off as equivalent and trust me Easton Blues is about as far from an idiot as ive ever known, he's just as smart as any poster here including myself, so i wasnt going to let him get away with a lazy argument... I respect him too much to do so
     
    Last edited: Apr 16, 2018 at 10:39 PM
  23. AnishLoomba

    AnishLoomba Registered User

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    That makes two of us :)
     
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  24. AnishLoomba

    AnishLoomba Registered User

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    Then trade him for a rwer. Nylander
     
  25. Colt55

    Colt55 Registered User

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    Tarasenko is legit player, his sh% is a Lil more normal, on top of that tarasenko is a tier or two above lee and 1 year younger. He is also signed for 5 more years where lee is signed for 1. You can't compare the two. On top of that parayko is a teir above the defensemen you mentioned and signed for a long time.

    I'm pretty sure easton wouldn't want me to back him up cause I'm more of an in your face type. But he is right. You are over valuing your player who happens to have one if the best centers in the league centering him.
     

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