NHLers signed for under 1M this offseason
Marchessault: 30G, 51P for 0.95M
Eaves: 32G, 51P for 1M
Gagner: 18G, 50P for 0.65M
Versteeg: 15G, 37P for 0.95M
Sceviour: 9G, 24P for 0.85M
Connolly: 15G, 23P for 0.85M
Korpikoski: 8G, 20P for 1M
White: 9G, 16P for 1M
Couldn't have signed one of those guys? Why isn't a budget team looking at adding cheap NHL talent for free?
OK there, Captain Hindsight, let's go through these one by one:
1) Marchessault was a 25 year old with less than 50 NHL games of experience, and turned down a similar offer from the Lightning to go to Florida,
because the Panthers promised him a chance for a spot in their top 6. They aggressively went after him, and made promises that most other teams weren't prepared to give, and he specifically chose the Panthers DESPITE Tampa allegedly offering more than Florida did because it offered him the best position to advance his career, and he sacrificed money in 2016-17 for a chance to put himself in as good a position as he could for when he hits UFA next year. But I'm sure WE were going to offer a completely unproven 25 year old a spot in OUR top-6, right? Sure thing.
2) Eaves hadn't played a 60-game season in 6 years (only two 70-game seasons in his entire career), and has scored only 33 goals
SINCE 2011.
Total. Obviously we were supposed to know that this was the year he would not only actually stay healthy during the regular season, but also score as many goals in one year as he has
in every year, combined, since the first Obama Administration put together? Right? And we knew that Eaves was going to stay healthy all year and not get hurt in the playo... oh wait, Eaves missed almost the entire playoffs due to injury. Who could have guessed?!? But we knew this guy was going to have a career regular season as a 33 year old? Ok, great.
3) Gagner is the only legit guy on this list, by the way, as far as guys where maybe it made sense to sign them during the 2016 offseason - guys who didn't either have tons of warts or specifically would never have chosen us because they signed in places where they were guaranteed to get more ice time, and take less money in order to put themselves in as good a position as they could for their next contract. Gagner was a great contract for a guy who only really had one down year with Philly.
4) Versteeg bailed on the Swiss League... no wait, that's not correct -
Versteeg couldn't get health insurance in Switzerland to play in the Swiss League. Which threw up huge red flags about him and his future. And then he goes to Oilers camp, but bails on them to sign with the Flames sight-unseen because they had literally zero depth on their wings and they promised him legit ice time... but yeah, I'm sure WE would have offered an injured, defensively inept 15 goal scorer prime ice time too over our kids, right? Worked out great for the Flames in hindsight, but come on.
5) Colton Sceviour is ****ing terrible. I don't want him on the team at any point next year, let alone this past season. Putting up 24 points on that Panthers team while getting legit top-6 minutes for decent stretches during the season (when the Panthers were super-injured) while being undersized and defensibly questionable is bad.
6) Brett Connolly has been one of the biggest draft busts in the past decade, but he scored 15 goals for the Caps this year while being ULTRA sheltered on a team that is loaded with offensive stars, while being defensively DEPLORABLE, so we should have signed him too, right? We should have known that if we give this guy 10 mins a night with a diet of one-sided offensive-zone starts, we too could have another healthy scratch in the playoffs (like Connolly was this year). Great!
7) Lauri Korpikoski? Really?
Really? Have you followed the career of Lauri Korpikoski over the past 5 years?
8) I'm not even going to acknowledge Ryan White, outside of this one sentence. You should be ashamed that you put him on that list.
It's not as easy as looking at stats in hindsight and making a list of guys we should have signed. If it was, these guys would have gone for more than their contracts. If everyone knew Marchessault was going to score 30 goals, he'd have been a $5mil player. Players go to teams for more reasons than money. Marchessault and Versteeg went to Forida and Calgary specifically because they were promised ice time and an opportunity that we couldn't give them here in Ottawa. If you knew in July of last year that Dorion had promised Marchessault a top-6 opportunity, based on what he had done in his career at that point, or Versteeg, based on his medical history at the time, you'd have been asking for his head. BUT LET'S JUST IGNORE ALL OF THE CONTEXT THAT WAS INVOLVED IN ALL OF THESE DECISIONS AT THE TIME THEY WERE MADE, AND PLAY FANTASY GM IN A WORLD WHERE WE CAN JUST CHERRY PICK THE BEST BARGAINS AND IGNORE THE ONES WHO DIDN'T PAN OUT, AND SAY "
WE SHOULD HAVE DONE THAT". I mean, that's
WAY easier, right? Who wants to mess around with all of that messy "real life context"? Forget that, this is a video game, and we can just reset when things go wrong, and go back to an earlier save point when we know how the future plays out, right? Right.
Plus, you are disregarding that in bringing in guys like Burrows and Stalberg, they were brought in to fill specific holes in Guy Boucher's system. Does anyone on your list, who we would have had a realistic shot at signing, provide the high-end penalty-killing and regular-strength shut-down role on the wing that Stalberg did when he got here, that we desperately needed? Would Colton Sceviour had really filled that hole? Come on.
Gagner is the only legit "missed opportunity" you can make a case for without the benefit of a huge, IHOP-sized serving of hindsight. Marchessault might not have even scored 15 goals with us, let alone 30, because he would have never had the same opportunity here as he did in Florida (due both to a lack of depth on the Panthers wings as well as Injury). Same for Versteeg, who would have been a mainstay on the 4th line with us and completely forgettable. Eaves could have been hurt, like he always is, and miss the playoff run with injuries, like he always does (this year included). Sceviour is a healthy scratch on this team. Korpikoski is the most forgettable depth winger in the league. Connolly would have never in a million years been given a chance on a Guy Boucher coached team. And Ryan White is Ryan White (damnit, you made me mention him again).
You need to only look at Chris Kelly to see how some sub-$1mil contracts can pan out in a bad way instead of a good one. Maybe we made the wrong gamble with Kelly over a guy like Gagner (not even sure if we had an opportunity to sign Gagner, even), if you want to make the argument that "we signed the wrong Sub-$1mil guy", then fine, I guess. That has legs. There were flags about Kelly that were pretty obvious, but we took the plunge anyways and he didn't play any meaningful hockey for us in the last 30 games of the season, so clearly not a great signing in retrospect. We can debate that... but to say we were foolish because "this list of sub-$1mil surprises exists" is the height of revisionist thinking.
Let's just throw 1-way contracts at 3-4 guys with SERIOUS question marks ever year, because sometimes they pay off, right? What happens when they don't?