The only thing preventing our pool from being average is a future top 6 center. I see Checkovich and Sasha as middle six wings, Ferraro, Merkeley, and Kniazev as middle pairing dman, and we’re loaded with potentials NHL depth. We’re no rangers, but I wouldn’t be surprised if 5-7 years from now, a re-ranking places the sharks around 16-20. SJ is so much better at development than pretty much everyone.
Do we need a future #1 C and top 6 wing to compliment Meier, Kane, and Labanc? Absolutely! That said for the next four years, we need to sign Labanc and a Dillon replacement. Aside from Burns, every one of our core players is 30 or younger. A reckoning is coming four years from now, but if we can get a cup during the Burns-EK-Couture-Hertl-Meier era, I really don’t care.
I feel like there are 2 potential breaking points. In 3 years, can we resign Hertl, and for how much. And in 5 years, how is Couture playing.
On defense, yes Burns is aging, but that clearly is not affecting his play, and we have enough prospects that someone should step up, and be able to make up for his aging on an ELC, or first bridge deal as we transition from Burns-EK-Vlasic to EK-Merkley-Ferraro or Knyazev, Roy, DeSimone or whoever.
If the Hertl contract doesn't hurt too much, then you are dealing with Meier's $10M QO or extension, and what can be done to replace Couture on that budget.
In terms of age, at forward, Kane's contract goes to 34, which shouldn't be an issue, and 8 year extensions for Hertl and Meier take them to 36 and 34, which is fine. Obviously Hertl goes for the next 11 years, with maybe a year or two more than you would like, but he wouldn't be a burden for a long time, and it wouldn't be outrageous to give him full length.
Basically, my point is, if Burns continues to contribute at his current pace or resisting aging, and Hertl gets resigned, the only potential disaster point is Couture's contract, which should be good for at least 5 years, and he is coming off a career year.
I realize I didn't address Vlasic directly, but similarly to Burns, we have young guys to patch in as he ages, and his game is not speed game.