Morgoth Bauglir
Master Of The Fates Of Arda
So was Lemieux's?
Yeah, I was going to say: For the first 7-8 years of his career Lemieux was facing goaltenders in those same horsehair stuffed pads
So was Lemieux's?
During Gretzky's prime, goaltenders still had their pads stuffed with horsehair
So was Lemieux's?
Yeah, I was going to say: For the first 7-8 years of his career Lemieux was facing goaltenders in those same horsehair stuffed pads
I've noticed this, too. Get some perspective, people!Some people act like Gretzky was playing in the 30's or something
Ya, I always wonder about those kinds of arguments. Some people act like Gretzky was playing in the 30's or something; him and Lemieux overlapped for most of their careers. They faced the same goalies, in the same era, in the same gear. I know Lemieux was bigger and stronger and looks way cooler on youtube, but Gretzky simply had more heart, a better work ethic, and was far better at bringing out the best in his teammates and making them better.
I'm sure in a game of 1 on 1, Lemieux would probably be the better player. But hockey isn't a game of 1 on 1, and Gretzky was far better at everything that actually mattered. Including staying healthy.
I agree with our overall point, but you really do yourself a disservice by saying Gretzky was "far better" at everything that matter. I think Gretzky was decisively better, but at his best, Mario was definitely close. Okay, Gretzky was far better at staying healthy, but that isn't everything.
Yeah, you have a point. It is fun to think about different scenarios and there is nothing wrong with that. I was being bit too aggressive. Sorry for that.
I just don't find a lot of merit in a comparison where we need to fix a large number of conditions in advance. Mainly cause it creates so much variables that the outcome becomes nothing more than a crap shoot.
The idea you have that Lemieux might have outscored, or at least matched Gretzky had he had the same opportunities is not likely. We saw both guys going for the insane numbers without much support from team- mates. We know that Gretzky can score 210+ points without the hall of fame cast around him. (Well those guys were around, but they were not hall of famers at that point). We saw that Lemieux could make a run for 200+ points with little help.
The thing with Mario is, that he was wildly inconsistent. I know it doesn't seem that way, since he was so far ahead of his competition. But his offensive consistency was lacking. So, in order for us to think that Lemieux might have outscored Gretzky, we would have to not only give Lemieux perfect health. We would have to assume that he picks up his scoring pace from the partial seasons he had. Which is really, really stretching it.
Let's compare the what "what really happened" and try to find out what would need to happen for Lemieux to outscore Gretzky in his prime.
Gretzky's prime started at his 2nd season in the league. It lasted until his 11th season. This is strictly based on PPG. In order for Lemieux to tie/edge Gretzky in his prime, Lemieux will need as long prime as Gretzky had. I will include Lemieux and Gretzky in their first 9 seasons and their first 11 seasons in the league. Mario did not play a single game in the 94-95 season so his first 11 seasons he was one year older in the last season. That is also the reason for a cutoff like that. Also, to be noted is that this include's Lemieux's season where he sat out back-to-back games.
Name|Games|Goals|Assists|Points|G/G|A/G|P/G
Lemieux first 9|562|451|660|1111|.86|1.25|2.11
Gretzky first 9|695|586|1114|1700|.84|1.60|2.45
Lemieux first 11|672|570|824|1394|.85|1.23|2.07
Gretzky first 11|846|667|1338|2005|.79|1.58|2.37
Now, I know and everyone else knows that the difference on scoring levels was starting to show at the tail-end of Lemieux prime. So, those numbers need context. But I am just doing this purely on statistical standpoint so that we could get a grip on the actual difference there was between these two.
These calculations are based on 80 games/season.
From purely statistical standpoint. Difference on 9 first seasons:
-Gretzky averaged 65 more points per season
-Gretzky averaged 15 more games per season
-Gretzky had .34 edge on PPG
If we give Lemieux perfect health, he would then play all the possible games:
Healthy Lemieux first 9|720|619|900|1519
This magically healthy Lemieux is still 181 points behind prime Gretzky. More than 20 points/season.
So, in order for Lemieux to tie Gretzky in scoring he would need to up his per season production by 20. That is an awful big assumption, especially after we gave Lemieux perfect health.
Difference on 11 first seasons:
-Gretzky averaged 55 more points per season
-Gretzky averaged 16 more games per season
-Gretzky had .3 edge on PPG
Again:
Healthy Lemieux first 11|880|742|1082|1821
This magically healthy Lemieux is still 184 points behind prime Gretzky. Almost the exact same difference we saw in the first 9.
Now, the scoring levels wen't down for Lemieux. So, even if you stated yourself that you don't believe in context in that matter I do. The difference is probably not that big. But one main thing here is, that we don't assume Gretzky stays perfectly healthy. Give #99 the same benefit of a doubt and this is what happens:
Name|Games|Goals|Assists|Points
Healthy Lemieux first 9|720|619|900|1519
Healthy Gretzky first 9|720|605|1152|1764
Healthy Lemieux first 11|880|742|1082|1821
Healthy Gretzky first 11|880|695|1390|2085
So, healthy Gretzky is 250 points ahead of healthy Lemieux. Now, I would like to see where those 250 points are coming from. Some of them will come for the league wide scoring levels. But I have hard time believing the difference would be that big.
This is all done in a way that heavily favors Lemieux and penalizes Gretzky. Sorry, but in my mind there is no such parallel universe where Lemieux would be considered as good as Gretzky. For short period of time, sure. But not for prime nor career.
I agree with our overall point, but you really do yourself a disservice by saying Gretzky was "far better" at everything that matter. I think Gretzky was decisively better, but at his best, Mario was definitely close. Okay, Gretzky was far better at staying healthy, but that isn't everything.
Ok, "far better" at everything was not literally what I meant. But my point was that Gretzky was better at making everyone around him better. And considering Lemieux's best season for assists is tied with Gretzky's 8th best season, I think "far better" is a valid choice of words for the point I was making. People can't even use the team excuse, because Gretzky had seasons with the Kings where he had more assists than Lemieux ever had.
Gretzky took the Kings from 4th worst to 4th best in 1 season; despite gaudy personal stats Lemieux's Pens continually missed the playoffs (5 of his first 6 seasons). Lemieux simply didn't elevate people the way Gretzky did, and in a team sport that's one of the most important characteristics a player can display.
And, as we both agree, he was far better at staying healthy.
Team accomplishments have no place in this discussion...
Ya, I always wonder about those kinds of arguments. Some people act like Gretzky was playing in the 30's or something; him and Lemieux overlapped for most of their careers.
Team accomplishments have no place in this discussion...
EDIT: In '89, Lemieux tied Gretzky for the league lead in assists with 114, despite playing in 2 less games
Rob Brown was 2nd on the Penguins in scoring that year with 49 goals/115 points in 68 games
During Gretzky's prime, goaltenders still had their pads stuffed with horsehair
Yeah, I was going to say: For the first 7-8 years of his career Lemieux was facing goaltenders in those same horsehair stuffed pads
Gretzky was far better at scoring at even strength.
Year | Team | Player | GP | ESG | ESA | ESP | ESG/G | ESA/G | ESPPG
'81-'82 | EDM | Gretzky | 80 | 68 | 79 | 147 | 0.85 | 0.99 | 1.84
'84-'85 | EDM | Gretzky | 80 | 54 | 92 | 146 | 0.68 | 1.15 | 1.83
'85-'86 | EDM | Gretzky | 80 | 38 | 105 | 143 | 0.48 | 1.31 | 1.79
'83-'84 | EDM | Gretzky | 74 | 55 | 80 | 135 | 0.74 | 1.08 | 1.82
'82-'83 | EDM | Gretzky | 80 | 47 | 85 | 132 | 0.59 | 1.06 | 1.65
'86-'87 | EDM | Gretzky | 79 | 42 | 82 | 124 | 0.53 | 1.04 | 1.57
'80-'81 | EDM | Gretzky | 80 | 36 | 68 | 104 | 0.45 | 0.85 | 1.30
'90-'91 | LA | Gretzky | 78 | 33 | 70 | 103 | 0.42 | 0.90 | 1.32
'88-'89 | PIT | Lemieux | 76 | 41 | 61 | 102 | 0.54 | 0.80 | 1.34
'88-'89 | LA | Gretzky | 78 | 38 | 62 | 100 | 0.49 | 0.79 | 1.28
'79-'80 | EDM | Gretzky | 79 | 37 | 63 | 100 | 0.47 | 0.80 | 1.27
'92-'93 | PIT | Lemieux | 60 | 47 | 49 | 96 | 0.78 | 0.82 | 1.60
'89-'90 | LA | Gretzky | 73 | 26 | 70 | 96 | 0.36 | 0.96 | 1.32
'87-'88 | EDM | Gretzky | 64 | 26 | 65 | 91 | 0.41 | 1.02 | 1.42
'96-'97 | PIT | Lemieux | 76 | 32 | 47 | 79 | 0.42 | 0.62 | 1.04
'85-'86 | PIT | Lemieux | 79 | 31 | 44 | 75 | 0.39 | 0.56 | 0.95
'91-'92 | PIT | Lemieux | 64 | 28 | 46 | 74 | 0.44 | 0.72 | 1.16
'87-'88 | PIT | Lemieux | 77 | 38 | 36 | 74 | 0.49 | 0.47 | 0.96
'95-'96 | PIT | Lemieux | 70 | 30 | 43 | 73 | 0.43 | 0.61 | 1.04
'89-'90 | PIT | Lemieux | 59 | 28 | 43 | 71 | 0.47 | 0.73 | 1.20
'86-'87 | PIT | Lemieux | 63 | 35 | 34 | 69 | 0.56 | 0.54 | 1.10
'84-'85 | PIT | Lemieux | 73 | 32 | 35 | 67 | 0.44 | 0.48 | 0.92
'96-'97 | NYR | Gretzky | 82 | 19 | 46 | 65 | 0.23 | 0.56 | 0.79
'91-'92 | LA | Gretzky | 74 | 17 | 46 | 63 | 0.23 | 0.62 | 0.85
'93-'94 | LA | Gretzky | 81 | 20 | 42 | 62 | 0.25 | 0.52 | 0.77
'97-'98 | NYR | Gretzky | 82 | 17 | 43 | 60 | 0.21 | 0.52 | 0.73
'02-'03 | PIT | Lemieux | 67 | 14 | 32 | 46 | 0.21 | 0.48 | 0.69
'95-'96 | LA | Gretzky | 62 | 10 | 34 | 44 | 0.16 | 0.55 | 0.71
'00-'01 | PIT | Lemieux | 43 | 18 | 25 | 43 | 0.42 | 0.58 | 1.00
'92-'93 | LA | Gretzky | 45 | 14 | 24 | 38 | 0.31 | 0.53 | 0.84
'98-'99 | NYR | Gretzky | 70 | 6 | 26 | 32 | 0.09 | 0.37 | 0.46
'90-'91 | PIT | Lemieux | 26 | 12 | 19 | 31 | 0.46 | 0.73 | 1.19
'94-'95 | LA | Gretzky | 48 | 8 | 15 | 23 | 0.17 | 0.31 | 0.48
'93-'94 | PIT | Lemieux | 22 | 10 | 12 | 22 | 0.45 | 0.55 | 1.00
'01-'02 | PIT | Lemieux | 24 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 0.17 | 0.54 | 0.71
'95-'96 | STL | Gretzky | 18 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 0.33 | 0.22 | 0.56
'05-'06 | PIT | Lemieux | 26 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 0.15 | 0.12 | 0.27
'03-'04 | PIT | Lemieux | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0.10 | 0.40 | 0.50
Lemieux was far better at playing for a team that had a historic number of PPO in historic PPO seasons (87-88, 88-89, 92-93, 95-96).
Rk | Season | PPO
1 | 2005-06 | 5.85
2 | 1987-88 | 5.46
3 | 1992-93 | 5.28
4 | 1995-96 | 5.04
5 | 1988-89 | 5.04
Yikes, that really puts things in perspective doesn't it. Is it possible though that the reason Pittsburgh had so many powerplays during Lemieux's prime years was because Lemieux himself was responsible for drawing a lot of penalties, and then making teams pay for it?
Not quite the same as a power play, is it?Before the rule change, how many of Gretzky's even strength goals were scored during 4 on 4?
Yikes, that really puts things in perspective doesn't it. Is it possible though that the reason Pittsburgh had so many powerplays during Lemieux's prime years was because Lemieux himself was responsible for drawing a lot of penalties, and then making teams pay for it?
Yikes, that really puts things in perspective doesn't it. Is it possible though that the reason Pittsburgh had so many powerplays during Lemieux's prime years was because Lemieux himself was responsible for drawing a lot of penalties, and then making teams pay for it?
Not really, it was league wide.
League average per team per game:
79-80 3.5
80-81 4.3
81-82 4.0
82-83 3.9
83-84 4.2
84-85 4.0
85-86 4.6
86-87 4.3
87-88 5.5
88-89 5.0
89-90 4.6
90-91 4.6
91-92 5.0
92-93 5.3
Something else to consider.....
Lemieux 5 best seasons for plus-minus were as follows:
92-93 +55
88-89 +41
91-92 +27
96-97 +27
87-88 +23
Compare that to Gretzky's 5 best plus-minus seasons:
84-85 +98
81-82 +81
83-84 +76
85-86 +71
86-87 +70
Neither of these great players was renowned for his defensive play. That being said, this is a pretty lopsided difference.
I would argue that each was the other's equal offensively. Lemieux did it on pure physical skill and a style where players knew where he was at all times and still couldn't stop him. Gretzky was also skilled, but he was cerebral; he skated like a swooping hawk where players couldn't figure out where he was going, and you were left scratching your head as to how he saw to make the plays he made.
But this stat illustrates, IMO, that while they were each other's equal offensively, the nod goes to Gretzky in other areas of the game.
Gretzky was minus 5 during his career with the Kings (539 games)
Yikes, that really puts things in perspective doesn't it. Is it possible though that the reason Pittsburgh had so many powerplays during Lemieux's prime years was because Lemieux himself was responsible for drawing a lot of penalties, and then making teams pay for it?
I think that's part of the reason, yes. Gretzky avoided contact; Mario played through it, which resulted in getting fouled.
That is the often offered postulation but it isn't the case.
Season|Pittsburgh PPO|Average Team PPO|Difference|Notes
83-84|357|336|+21|Year before Lemieux
84-85|311|322|-11|Lemieux rookie season
96-97|339|335|+4|Lemieux retires
97-98|407|380|+27|No Lemieux
Looking at some consecutive seasons where he played more and less games:
Season|Pittsburgh PPO|Average Team|Difference|Notes
88-89|491|403|+88|Lemieux 199 season
89-90|403|367|+36|Lemieux 59 games
90-91|388|366|+22|Lemieux 26 games
91-92|423|401|+22|Lemieux 64 games
92-93|440|443|-3|Lemieux 60 games
93-94|404|409|-5|Lemieux 22 games
95-96|420|413|+7|Lemieux 70 games
96-97|339|336|+6|Lemieux 76 games
I don't see a lot of impact on the PPO from Lemieux playing or not playing there.