Teams overpay to fill holes when they think they can contend.
Lafreniere-Zibanejad-Buchnevich
Panarin-Chytil-Kakko
Kreider-Goodrow-Kravtsov
Barron-Rooney-Blackwell/Gauthier
Miller-Fox
Lindgren-Trouba
xxx-Lundkvist
Shestyorkin
I mean...this team is good. That's insane depth up front if you get solid development from the young players, the Norris winner, a great second pair, a top 10 goalie, potentially an explosive third pair with Lundkvist and just that one hole. They just got a pretty f***ing good coach.
This team is young and, don't get me wrong, I see a lot of places where it goes wrong. That being said, they're also not necessarily that far away. When Laf/Kakko/Fox get their adult contracts, the Rangers are going to be in transition/retooling at that point anyway. I think they're gonna take a couple of cracks at winning before that happens and they might as f***ing well.
By 24-25, they'll be phasing most of the vet players here out anyway. The Rangers have nothing to lose going for it before then.
Worst case scenario, they suck. Then you just let Zibanejad and Buchnevich go at the deadline which saves you a bunch of salary and you keep the rebuild moving right on down the tracks.
The only long-term harm the Rangers could do is overestimate themselves, lock up ZIbanejad and Buchnevich, and then not win the Cup/not contend with those players. Goodrow isn't moving that needle.
The Rangers are not building towards one big window. They might have a chance to win with Laf/Kakko/Fox on ELC's, they're gonna dip when all those players sign, and then there's hopefully a second window when those three players are their late 20's. That second window hits when Kreider, Trouba, and Goodrow are long gone. Not spending on Goodrow wasn't preventing that dip. That's why I think this doesn't really matter.