I'm expecting 50-55 points and good two-way play for the first two years of the contract, then a long, painful decline over the final 4 years as he becomes a complete albatross.
Why?
Why are you expecting a long painful decline?
What factors are you using to come to this conclusion?
When a player suffers a long painful decline, if you look hard enough, there are ALWAYS specific reasons why they decline with injuries being #1.
- 6 time nominee of the Lady Byng Trophy.
Six times he was nominated to be a gentleman.... IN THE GAME OF HOCKEY.
- Penalties: doesn't take em
Loui Eriksson - 146 PMS / 10 season = 14.6 PMS / season
Daniel Sedin - 474 PIMs / 15 seasons = 31.6 PIMS / season
Henrik Sedin - 622 PIMS / 15 seasons = 41.47 PIMS / season
Daniel Alfredsson - 500 PIM / 17 seasons = 29.41 PIMS / season
Henrik Zetterberg - 355 PM / 13 seasons = 27.31 PIMS / season
Sergei Fedorov - 839 PIM / 20 season = 41.95 PIMS / season
It's actually quite impressive how few penalties this guy takes.
PPG Tap-in, PPG tip-in, PPG rebound, 3 on 2 give and go, PPG deflection, middling seeing eye slapper from the left faceoff dot, off of Connolly's stick, PPG whack the goal in a front of the goal scramble, 2 on 1 give and go, PPG finish... etc etc.
Point being, there is nothing fancy about Eriksson's production
but yet he produces. He doesn't rely on speed nor does he rely on strength.... sort of like.. oh.. I dunno.. the 36 year old Sedins?
Another point, all those PPGs.... so delicious.
Last 5 years:
82 (max),
48 (max),
61 (
concussion from Orpik hit &
concussion from John Scott hit),
81,
82 (max).
Eriksson had a down season the following season after his concussion riddled 2013-14 season. Not surprising. But YET, he still managed to play 81 games and then improved his point total again last season while playing ALL 82 games.
Eriksson is probably one of the most healthiest 31 year old top 6 hockey players in the league!!! (sort of like the Sedins before Torts got his grubby hands on them)
----
I don't mind this signing one bit. Management still has a responsibility to put an entertaining product on the ice, we needed a top 3 winger and we got one that plays a smart / non-aggressive game that looks to be a good complement to the Sedins.
Is Eriksson the final piece to the SC puzzle? After consulting the magic 8-ball, all signs point to no.
Will Eriksson make watching regular season games more bearable until the Juolevi's, Virtanens, Boesers and Demkos start growing pubic hair? Considering the Sedins look like they have an endless supply of gas in their tanks and it looks like BaeBo might actually be something; I, the fan, would say yes.
edit.
Eriksson also doesn't block a lot of shots nor does he throw a lot of hits but yet, he is lauded for his defensive play. Two more reasons why there shouldn't be an expectation for him to decline as he gets closer to 35.