DaNaultinus
The Human Fund Donor
- Mar 25, 2013
- 641
- 109
Any chance Lowry would be available?
Most likely the Jets are only going to move vets.
The exception is moving players in areas of depth strength for depth weakness.
This is likely guys like Lowry, Dano, Petan, Armia, et al. being available for packages for a young and capable left shot defender.
So, unlikely moved but not untouchable.
Most likely the Jets are only going to move vets.
The exception is moving players in areas of depth strength for depth weakness.
This is likely guys like Lowry, Dano, Petan, Armia, et al. being available for packages for a young and capable left shot defender.
So, unlikely moved but not untouchable.
Would Beaulieu be something interesting at all?
Not so much before the expansion draft, because the Jets already have 4 D to be protected (Buff, Enstrom, Trouba, Myers). Maybe after the expansion draft, depending on the cost.
But first Beaulieu needs to go through Garret's "value machine" (TM).
You think the Jets are going 4/4/2?
Not so much before the expansion draft, because the Jets already have 4 D to be protected (Buff, Enstrom, Trouba, Myers). Maybe after the expansion draft, depending on the cost.
But first Beaulieu needs to go through Garret's "value machine" (TM).
You think the Jets are going 4/4/2?
You mean 4+4+1 I think. Yes, until something is done/happens to change the situation.
I have no idea what that means lol. And up front I'm assuming protecting Scheifele, Wheeler, Little and either Perrault/Lowry?
I have no idea what that means lol. And up front I'm assuming protecting Scheifele, Wheeler, Little and either Perrault/Lowry?
That is likely.
For an explanation of that graph try browsing through this thread.
http://hfboards.mandatory.com/showthread.php?t=2191821&page=2
WAR is Wins Above Replacement, taken from baseball. It's an estimate of a player's overall contributions when you combine all their statistics together.
DTM's WAR is combination of two statistics: XPM and BPM.
XPM looks at a player's impact on team shot quantity and shot quality both offensively and defensively. XPM adjusts every event in play-by-play by considering the nine players on the ice, and other usage stuff such as schedule, both coaches, zone starts, score, etc.
BPM looks at a player's boxscore stats: scoring, giveaways, takeaways, blocks, etc. BPM is adjusted by linemates only.
The graph shows Beaulieu's WAR last season and the season prior. The lines are the minimal thresholds for a bonafide player of that depth. So the top 30 WAR defenders tend to be above the first line. The next 30 tend to be between the first and second line. Etc.
WAR catches more than just simply trying to combine a player's Corsi and scoring. Take for example Shea Weber:
Thanks for the link. I checked it out but theres not really a good explanation of the stat. Just a whole bunch of graphs. Also Barberio has a higher rank than Beaulieu??
Nevermind, helpful post above
IMO, it's still looking like 7/3/1....almost guaranteed.
Protecting 4 D-men is wishful thinking at this point. Time will tell.
Assuming Myers is healthy he is worth more than the player we will lose instead if he is left unprotected. That's the whole thing. You can disagree with that assessment but I don't see how you can reasonably guarantee that Chevy will agree with you. Its still a long way away and very up in the air.
I don't disagree that he would be perceived as worth more....But honestly I think dano is ACTUALLY the most valuable save Perrault. Looking at garrets other charts of WAR and GS
Even when accounting for position. Dano performs a whole 2 steps above Meyers.
The D discrepancy isn't worth that for me.
Mind you, Meyers was having a great season up until his injury, but I'm more inclined to believe those twenty games and his rookie year were the mirage not the likely
I don't disagree that he would be perceived as worth more....But honestly I think dano is ACTUALLY the most valuable save Perrault. Looking at garrets other charts of WAR and GS
Even when accounting for position. Dano performs a whole 2 steps above Meyers.
The D discrepancy isn't worth that for me.
Mind you, Meyers was having a great season up until his injury, but I'm more inclined to believe those twenty games and his rookie year were the mirage not the likely