Interesting leap.
Yet worse than their sub $1M replacements.......
Wait, I'm the guy making the leap?
Zertonine was saying:
1) Career SPCT was a meaningful comparison despite the fact that over the last 3 years Campbell has been pretty consistent & Murray has been consistently 0.899 which is 11 points BELOW his own career average.
2) He then implied that said career averages (0.911 vs 0.916) are ~equivalent. It's simply not true.
0.911 x ~30 shots/game x 10 games = 27 goals against
0.916 x ~30 shots/game x 10 games = 25 goals against
Over a 60 start season, that's going to be a 12 goal difference between the two... it's meaningful.
And that's if we even accept that Murray can even play to 0.911 career average which he hasn't done in 4 years. I personally think he can, but it's a big risk. If we take his SPCT in Ottawa (0.899) and Campbells SPCT in Toronto (still 0.916), then we are talking about 182 vs 151 goals against over 60 games. That's 31 goals HUGE in goal differential. Go look at teams with a 30 goal differential spread and tell me if they are the same.
Now I'm not saying that the immediate past performance in Ottawa is a fair representation for Murray, but he also lost his role in Pittsburgh because of an AHL quality 0.899 season as well. His recent performance over the last three years says that he's a .899 SPCT guy on two different teams, which is terrible.
To suggest that these two guys have been in the same sphere recently is crazy... that's the only LEAP around here.