As a fellow Leaf fan I can say with confidence that Kaberle will never be a HHOFer. First of all for the first 10 years of his career he had a "no shoot" clause in his contract. I'd swear he did at least. Plus he doesn't have any year end all-star selections. Bryan McCabe was a 2nd team all-star in 2004 if you can believe it and I always thought that when the two were together that McCabe was the better d-man. It sounds ridiculous to induct McCabe right? Sure does, but worse to choose Kaberle.
Plus the poor defense doesn't help either.
Never say Never. The guy's just 32; what if he gets traded to a contender at the deadline, gets locked up for 6 years and makes a Gonchar-like contribution to two cups and another finals appearance, or something like that? I agree it's unlikely but there's no doubt playing the best years of his life on a terribly mismanaged Toronto team has hurt him.
He's got a terrible Norris voting record right now (13th, 11th) but honestly he deserved more votes the last 10 years than Gonchar got from 1995-2004. To say that McCabe was the better D-man while they were both in Toronto sounds a bit revisionist to me and a bit Don Cherry-ish, taking the tougher, Canadian player over the clearly more skilled and smarter European. No doubt he is soft in his end, but Kaberle was the one who did the intelligent work, lugging the puck out of the zone and running the PP, feeding McCabe's bomb of a point shot. Now McCabe was not bad in any area of the game (his defensive gaffes are overblown for sure) but compared to Kaberle he was very much a specialist of a player. he had a big bomb of a shot, could hit and fight occasionally, and had a real knack for taking minor penalties and then looking like everyone else in the world was responsible for it besides him.
As for entire careers, I think they are fairly close to even at this point, but Kaberle should have a good edge when all is said and done. The reason I say they are more even is McCabe does have a few years on him, and has been captain of two franchises.
I have been critical of Leaf Lander for continuing to take Kaberle in the all-time drafts and even made him promise he would let him fall this time, to see where someone other than LL would select him. He broke his promise and just couldn't help making him a #7 on his squad (pick 715). Kaberle would have likely fallen to the MLD and been selected based on merit and not homerism, as LL doesn't do the MLDs. I looked forward to this. McCabe was selected by me, 151 picks after Kaberle and comparing his career to the others in the MLD tells me McCabe would be a solid MLD #1. Kaberle probably would, too. Both should get taken around 750th by now, IMO.