Back-to-back is not the significant disadvantage some fans think and probably won't be a factor tonight. Caps coming off an easy 6-3 win at home, scoring four in the first period ahd having a three-goal lead after two, no rough stuff. Their No. 1 goalie, Lindgren, will start and has been great. They play a four-line, three-pair balanced usage lineup, much like Wings. Ovie coming off a scoreless minus-3 game will want to get back on track. Overall this season they are 6-3-2 in the second of back to back games, if I've counted all of them correctly, with all six wins on the road. All six B2B wins came in their first six games though, and they're winless in the last five.
Despite some key player losses Caps are generally playing better than expected and this is a huge game for them. Almost certainly will be a one-goal game in the third period and could go either way. So, having said that, it will probably be a blowout either way lol. Wings should play better though after that Chicago performance and they've been better than Caps on both special teams. It's a big mistake though IMO to think the Wings should have a relatively comfortable win or a wide edge in play. Overwhelming majority of their wins are close games and many wins even when out-chanced.