It may just be semantics but I see it more as we don't see many teams trade down because it's not worth it. There are far more teams looking to trade up than to trade down. It's like having tickets to Game 7 of the Stanley Cup Finals. The problem isn't that there are no buyers or buyers willing to pay a good price. The problem is you want to go to the game too. It's like the 2012 draft. Apparently, the Islanders were willing to give Columbus their entire draft to move up and select Murray. That's "worth it" to any team that thinks they can draft an equal/better/comparable player at #4.
Actually its a bit of both the price and teams willing to pay the price. Of course there are cases (i.e. McDavid), where you can pretty much offer the farm and the other team will not make the trade. But then there are times when you shop around and realistically there just isn't any buyers because the cost to move up a few spots is often not worth it. Take the 2010 trade an example (since pretty much every top pick in that trade has been moved and that trade is actually comparable in some ways to this trade).
There were 2 players that were considered to be possible #1 (Hall and Seguin). Hall ended up #1 but Seguin realistically seems to be the better player (arguable). But if you drop down to #3, you'll see from #3 - #14, there are pretty much equal number of good players and bust (including #3 Gudbranson as a bust while #12 Fowler or #14 Schwartz being great value at their spots). Note the best player in the draft actually happened to be @ #16 as well.
Teams that are looking to or trying to move up from these positions often won't actually give up the price the seller wants... that and not many teams are willing to give up future 1st unless they have a good idea that first isn't in the top 10 the next year. And teams that aren't drafting in the top 10 next year likely are drafting pretty late this year that the "selling" team don't want to drop that many spots. I.e. again using the 2010 draft, how many teams want to end up losing the #2 overall pick like the Leafs did because they traded away that 1st early? You rarely see teams willing to give up their 1st round pick until they are into the season (and in most cases they only give up their 1st if they figure they'll be in the playoff).
Take a look at the trades done last year (after the top 10)
#11 for #12 + #80
#16 + cap dump 7.5mil for #20 + #53
#18 + 79 for #22 + #36
#26 for #28 + #87
Which basically implies that dropping a few spots in the top 10 will cost a 1st in the future draft. Or for top 5, the cost might even be higher (since the higher you go, the more value the pick has). Its not an exact science but NFL actually has a rough value table for draft spots (of course it doesn't translate to the NHL given NFL players are generally ready to contribute right away, but the idea is similar).
Right, but I can't see a deal worth trading down from the top 2 spots in this year's draft. For one thing, there's almost no way the Canucks are coming out of this draft without at least a high mid first round pick (I don't think trading out of this draft is an option or fits into management's MO). And in order for for them to even think of moving down past the middle of the top 10, teams will have to offer a very significant prospect. Teams rarely take a future pick as a big part of the deal due to the uncertainty and I can't see this management team essentially trading out of the first 2 spots because they feel they will get better value unless there are guys they really like that they are confident they can get by trading down.
It depends on the value. If we are @ the top 2 spot, then the only way i would trade down would be if i get at least a 2018 1st+. The 2018 draft is deeper than this draft and if the team is likely to miss the playoff, then getting an additional first is worth it (in my opinion at least). And even in that case, the trade down would have to be pretty much within the top 10 (which realistically means that pick will likely be a lottery pick too). Also note the farther the drop, the higher the cost (so #1 to #10 would be likely be 2017 - 2019 1st + 2017 2nd and possibly more...).
Keep in mind that while there are still good players to be had they aren't valued as high as maybe in past years. So if you move down and draft a Baertschi or Logan Brown type prospect and whatever you get such as a prospect or 1st round pick is it worth trading down from the top 2 spots? I would say no unless I really don't like the two guys up at the top and or really don't see much of a difference and there are several guys I like that I know I can get with a later pick.
I would say this draft has about 12 or so very good prospects then it drops a bit. One of the reasons i used Petterson as an example since he's ranked in the 10-12 range right now (plus being on the same team as Dahlen is a plus for both chemistry and for fans keeping track...
)
Basically would have 2/3 of a 2nd line developing in the SHL together and could possibly take over for the Sedins when they retire/leave.