The more one looks at the Canucks situation—the more one realizes that the right thing for the team to do is wait until the 2022 off-season to make any major changes. Consider the following:
- They are returning to the Pacific division next year, where the only guaranteed playoff teams are Vegas and Edmonton.
- They will have a healthy Pettersson next year, and an upgrade on their depth with Podkolzin and Rathbone playing full seasons.
- They are better off not buying-out any players this off-season so they can maximize their cap-space in 2022.
- They are better off not trading away 1st/2nd round draft picks as they will need more players on ELCs so they can have affordable impact players during their 2023-2027 competitive window.
- They are better off not trading mid-to-late round picks as they will need that draft capital at future trade deadlines.
- That means in 2021 simply burying the likes of Eriksson, Roussel, Beagle, and Holtby—or retaining salary to trade them away. Take your medicine in 2021 and gear up for 2022.
They could have an ultra conservative off-season, re-sign Sutter/Hamonic/Edler to one year deals, and likely be a Pacific playoff contender. Maybe seek one more top-nine forward on a one-year show-me deal (eg like the STL Hoffman deal) so they can slide Miller to 3C.
Keeping it cool in 2021 would allow them to re-sign their core and give them over $20mm in cap space in the 2022 off-season. They could use that to go after a proper RD1 or even aggressively pursue a player like Barkov if he makes it to UFA. Next year gives them the opportunity to make a transformational move. This year only offers half-measures that could tie their hands further for years to come.