I don't think it's a given that Erne will be cut. I'd put it at about 90% that he gets cut, mind you, but I read somewhere that the team was surprisingly close to giving him 9 games last year before the suspension. So I think there's a very outside chance they let him play an NHL game.
That said, part of this comes down to asset management, and you don't just let a guy like Connolly walk for nothing. He worked with Gary Roberts last summer, which shows his dedication. While his future with the organization is obviously in jeopardy, we can't just give him away in order to put a guy like Erne on the team. Because the truth is, neither of those kids is likely to make a huge impact on how far we go this year. But losing Connolly for nothing takes a bite out of our prospect pool.
That said, I wouldn't mind giving Connolly the Cory Conacher treatment. But he'll have to put up some points in order to make that work.