OttMorrow
Registered User
- Sep 18, 2003
- 3,721
- 1
All the more reason to not waste first round picks on them.
Bingo. The last goalie we drafted who supplanted our starting goalie (a starting goalie by the name of Belfour, who we also DID NOT draft), was named Marty Turco. We drafted Marty in 1994....IN THE 4TH Round.
While we did draft other goalies who turned into DECENT starters, like Smith, Ellis, and Fernandez, no one was a real game-changer for us or a true top tier starter elsewhere...and we've drafted A LOT of goalies in that time.
I am holding out hope for Oettinger to be our next Turco or Belfour, just like I did with Campbell, but the odds are low historically for us and statistically in general for drafted goalies.
The problem is, when you draft a goalie in the 1st they are either a starter or a relative waste of a 1st Round pick, as you would NEVER trade a 1st Round pick for a backup goalie straight up. Backup goalies also have relatively low trade value.
Comparatively, if you take someone like Dickinson/Faksa/Morrow or a Dman with a 1st Rounder and they turn into a 2nd or 3rd line Center or a #3 or #4 D, then while you didn't get your top line game -breaker that you were shooting for with your 1st Rounder, you still got an asset that can be used EVERY GAME, as opposed to a 15 game/backup who will get you very little trade value in return.
So basically, Oettinger is either THE GUY for us down the road, or he is relatively inconsequential. There is little to no middle ground. That's why I'd have preferred to go with Tolvanen or Kostin. Less bust risk, more options for their use, quicker ROI, likely more trade value if they are even decent as a forward.
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