You're counting on every defensemen to improve, and for CDH and Reinhart have great 1st/2nd years in the NHL in order for our D to be just "good".
I guess that's the difference between us. I have all the confidence in the world in both of those players. de Haan especially.
I dunno man, certainly our TEAM defense has to be better with halak, grabo and kule...but these are the same defenders from last year and as a group, they were pretty piss poor. Last year we expected Visnovsky and Donovan to play and be good. Epic failure. This year we are counting on Visnovsky and Reinhart to play and be good. We KNOW VIS is the new Martinek and once he's gone what does our D look like? Hamonic + a bunch of guys with less than 2 years experience in the NHL. I know deHaan walks on water, but this is only his 2nd season and Reinhart, expectations or not, will be a 20 year old rookie, he's bound to make mistakes...****, he might not even make the team.....
Its dangerous to expect a different result out of the same group of players. talent? maybe. experience? no. thats a problem no matter how you slice it.
Probably the worst part of our defense last year was MacDonald getting top minutes. You could clearly see the difference once he was replaced with de Haan. If you think that de Haan will have some kind of regression or sophomore slump, I guess we'll just agree to disagree.
With Reinhart, IMO it's not fair to point to Donovan as a reason why we shouldn't count on this guy. He's a completely different animal. Everything from his size, poise, IQ is on another level. IMO he proved it last year with his play in camp - he outplayed Donovan, but I'm guessing either Donovan's seniority or the fact that they wanted to replace Streit with a PMD was the reason why the Isles decided to go the other way with that decision.
If you want to look at rookies who we should be comparing him to, look to his draft peers - not Matt Donovan. Guys who were similarly rated prospects who are the same age and were taken around the same slot as Reinhart. Guys like Murray, Lindholm, Trouba, and even Maatta to a degree. These were all guys who played top-4 roles and above last season as rookies(and they obviously had less development then than Reinhart has now).
Obviously not every prospect is the same, so just because these guys had success doesn't mean Reinhart will, but at the same time just because Matt Donovan failed doesn't mean Reinhart will either. That said, he's about the safest prospect we've had in a long, long time, and based on his previous TC play and how hungry he appears to be to earn a spot, I'd call it a longshot for this guy not to deliver for us in September.
As far as the other guys go: as I said before, I have zero concern when it comes to the top pairing. I know that apparently 100% of our fanbase seems to think Visnovsky will go down next season, but I'm not sure why that's the case. Sure, he suffered a serious injury, but he's also had/will have ample time to recover from that injury. Last year was the first time since '08-09 that he wasn't able to play at least 70% of a season. As long as Visnovsky gives us the first couple of months of the year, we'll be fine. We have enough depth at the AHL level to get at least one NHL caliber player after two months of play(see Hamonic in 2010). That's IF he goes down.
After that, we're talking about our bottom pairing. A bottom pairing that consists of one guy who is arguably a #4 in Hickey. Maybe one of Brennan, Donovan, or Strait step up and prove worthy of being a #6. Maybe they don't. Either way, I doubt it will end up dictating how successful our defense becomes next season. At some point next season, I expect to see one of our young D's step into that spot anyway - whether it be Pulock, Pokka, Mayfield, Czuczman, Pelech, etc. We should end up with at least one NHLer by some time next year just from the sheer quantity of the prospects alone.
I know everyone is anticipating some kind of worst case scenario to play out, but I just don't see it. Our current NHL D is on another level from where it was at the start of last season, and the AHL depth is miles ahead.