1 in 16 baby

[barrywpg]

we're #1??

Click to read more...

 

[ERYX]

I had to google this to figure out what you were talking about.

So as I understand it, the lottery drew a "placeholder" team that represents whoever ends up ranked lowest after the play-in? So if I understand correctly, whoever flames out the worst in the first round of the "playoffs" they get to draft #1 overall?

And if those playoffs never happen then I have no idea.

That's rather an inducement to purposely lose big time in the first round knowing you get to draft Lafreniere. Hopefully all players/teams have too much professional pride to pull such a stunt.

 

[Yukon Joe]

The placeholder will be selected randomly from the 8 teams that lose in the play-in round.

 

[robertocarlos]

we're #1??

Jets or the Habs I'm sure. It's Karma.

 

[Romang67]

I had to google this to figure out what you were talking about.

So as I understand it, the lottery drew a "placeholder" team that represents whoever ends up ranked lowest after the play-in? So if I understand correctly, whoever flames out the worst in the first round of the "playoffs" they get to draft #1 overall?

And if those playoffs never happen then I have no idea.

That's rather an inducement to purposely lose big time in the first round knowing you get to draft Lafreniere. Hopefully all players/teams have too much professional pride to pull such a stunt.

As much fun as it would be to see Hellebuyck not show up against the Flames, that's not quite right.

At this point, the play-in round will be played, after which the 8 losers will have a second lottery, equally weighted (so each team have a 12.5% chance of winning) to determine who picks #1.

 

[jetsv2]

His post may be referencing the fact that the placeholder that ended up winning the lottery started in 12th place, which based on points percentage would have been the jets spot when the season was paused. If there had been no plans to restart and they used points percentage to decide lottery odds we would have won the 1st overall pick today.

 

[GeorgeJETson]

I laughed when I heard that this year's #1 pick would be a placeholder team.

If the Jets get that spot, have to wonder what we're going to do with that many wingers

 

[Jets4Life]

I laughed when I heard that this year's #1 pick would be a placeholder team.

If the Jets get that spot, have to wonder what we're going to do with that many wingers

Trade one for a #1 RHD

 

[Mortimer Snerd]

I laughed when I heard that this year's #1 pick would be a placeholder team.

If the Jets get that spot, have to wonder what we're going to do with that many wingers

Trade 1 OA to Ottawa for 3 & 5, draft the best C in the draft + the best RHD.

 

[Whileee]

As much fun as it would be to see Hellebuyck not show up against the Flames, that's not quite right.

At this point, the play-in round will be played, after which the 8 losers will have a second lottery, equally weighted (so each team have a 12.5% chance of winning) to determine who picks #1.

Yup. And it's my understanding that's what will happen if there's no more games. There will be a second lottery involving the 8 "play-in" teams, with each having a 12.5% chance at the #1 pick.

I actually think there's a relatively high probability that Covid will cause the season to be scrapped. The resurgence in the US is looking pretty terrible.

 

[Daximus]

It's a double lotto. As far as I know. We aint shit till we win something.

 

[ps241]

As much fun as it would be to see Hellebuyck not show up against the Flames, that's not quite right.

At this point, the play-in round will be played, after which the 8 losers will have a second lottery, equally weighted (so each team have a 12.5% chance of winning) to determine who picks #1.

With the high probability of upsets it opens up the possibility of some pretty strong teams having a shot at 1st overall. Although Laf is really talented thank god this isn’t a McDavid year where a rival like the Preds or Wild could add a generational talent.

 

[Guffman]

If the season is scrapped, the Jets will have a 12.5% chance at the #1 pick.

If the play-in commences, the Jets will have a 12.5% chance at the #1 pick if they lose to the Flames. If they beat the Flames, they have no chance at the #1 pick.

I hope the season gets scrapped at this point. I’m not really invested in late summer playoffs at all.

 

[cheswick]

Yup. And it's my understanding that's what will happen if there's no more games. There will be a second lottery involving the 8 "play-in" teams, with each having a 12.5% chance at the #1 pick.

I actually think there's a relatively high probability that Covid will cause the season to be scrapped. The resurgence in the US is looking pretty terrible.

The second lottery is if the games are played. The 8 losers from the play in round get put in the lottery. Which will take place after the play in round is complete. No body knows what will happen if the games aren’t played. There are 16 play in teams.

 

[MrBoJangelz71]

Not sure if we will ever have better odds at the number 1 than 12.5%, rather the playofffs are scrapped and we spin that wheel.

 

[rt]

His post may be referencing the fact that the placeholder that ended up winning the lottery started in 12th place, which based on points percentage would have been the jets spot when the season was paused. If there had been no plans to restart and they used points percentage to decide lottery odds we would have won the 1st overall pick today.

Do you have a link?

 

[Whileee]

The second lottery is if the games are played. The 8 losers from the play in round get put in the lottery. Which will take place after the play in round is complete. No body knows what will happen if the games aren’t played. There are 16 play in teams.

Last night Friedman said on air that if the season is scrapped they'll proceed with the second lottery with the 8 placeholder teams being based on points percentage. So the Jets would be in the mix with a 12.5% chance of winning the second lottery.

 

[Teppo Numenor]

Tank?

 

[The Blue Baron]

Tank?

.. Lafie or Byfield. LOL...sweet. Could amazing.

Convert Wheeler back to center if we get Lafie. He was very good there!

what an amazing top 9 we would have!

 

[Whileee]

1 in 16 is the correct probability of a #1 pick if you assume that the playoffs proceed and the Jets have a 50% chance of getting knocked out by the Flames.

 

[rubikscube]

Correct me if I'm wrong:

It's possible that the Islanders won the pick. So if they get eliminated the pick is theirs (if they were the team that won)?

 

[drumzan]

Last night Friedman said on air that if the season is scrapped they'll proceed with the second lottery with the 8 placeholder teams being based on points percentage. So the Jets would be in the mix with a 12.5% chance of winning the second lottery.

I believe there’s an additional caveat that it’s 4 per conference. It is based on point percentage, but not necessarily the bottom 8 in league.

 

[Jets 31]

First time in my life i don't want to see hockey, especially Jets playoff hockey.

 

[SUX2BU]

Hey OP, it’s 1 in 8 baby ......

 

[DeepFrickinValue]

Jets or the Habs I'm sure. It's Karma.

Oilers haven't had a first overall in a few years now. My Oracle told me they are due.