I generally agree with your thoughts. In my currently-forming rankings, it's unlikely he slots into my top 30 though. I just don't like enough about his game to warrant using a high pick on. If you have an extra 1, ok, you can take the home run sniper type...we're talking 12? No dice for me. I can do better high and take a similar project later on. Maybe not with as much pedigree. Maybe can't score from 35 feet, but maybe 30, 32 though. I'm confident I can duplicate Meier down the line. But that's me, everyone has their own eyes and can make their own call certainly...
That's all fine and dandy but you still haven't given us your choice at #12