ijuka
Registered User
- May 14, 2016
- 22,538
- 15,214
I guess with the line shuffling it's good to look at xGF%(expected goals %) for all the lines that have played at least 10 minutes together. Yeah, that's a low number, but there's been so much line shuffling that otherwise there'd be just a few lines. This is for 5v5.
Ehlers-Scheifele-Wheeler - 39.82%
Perreault-Little-Laine - 57.45%
Matthias-Lowry-Tanev - 62.34%
Matthias-Copp-Tanev - 56.52%
Matthias-Lowry-Petan - 38.33%
Ehlers-Little-Laine - 64.63%
Well, only the first two have a decent amount of ice time(66 and 45 minutes respectively). But we can still see a couple of signals - For example, Ehlers-Scheifele-Wheeler doesn't work at all. When it comes to goals for and against, Laine and Little combine for 5 for 1 against which is the best by far. All the third lines have zero goal actions for or against and in fact, while the GF%s are good the actual expected goals are REALLY low. Real low event stuff going on with these versions of the third line.
Wheeler-Scheifele-Ehlers are at 3 goals for 4 against.
So if we were to assume that the third line variations don't have enough of a sample size, it might at least be good to recognize that something would need to be done to Ehlers-Scheifele-Wheeler, which they are. So that's a good start.
Ehlers-Scheifele-Wheeler - 39.82%
Perreault-Little-Laine - 57.45%
Matthias-Lowry-Tanev - 62.34%
Matthias-Copp-Tanev - 56.52%
Matthias-Lowry-Petan - 38.33%
Ehlers-Little-Laine - 64.63%
Well, only the first two have a decent amount of ice time(66 and 45 minutes respectively). But we can still see a couple of signals - For example, Ehlers-Scheifele-Wheeler doesn't work at all. When it comes to goals for and against, Laine and Little combine for 5 for 1 against which is the best by far. All the third lines have zero goal actions for or against and in fact, while the GF%s are good the actual expected goals are REALLY low. Real low event stuff going on with these versions of the third line.
Wheeler-Scheifele-Ehlers are at 3 goals for 4 against.
So if we were to assume that the third line variations don't have enough of a sample size, it might at least be good to recognize that something would need to be done to Ehlers-Scheifele-Wheeler, which they are. So that's a good start.