I feel like in recent years, we have seen a number of good Canadian prospects (ie. Savoie, Power, Fantilli, Sillinger, Celebrini) decide to play in the USA rather than in the Canadian major junior system. While I understand COVID may have played some part in this, I fail to see how a prospect (especially a top end prospect) would benefit from playing in the States.
Any insight on this would be greatful!
The biggest benefit is that you get to pick your spot. They are specifically opting for the Chicago Steel/University of Michigan, for instance. They're not opting for "USHL as a whole and NCAA hockey as a whole".
The Major Junior route forces kids to go play for whatever team drafts them. When you're Adam Fantilli and you're the best player in your region as a Minor player, that means you're going to the worst team, who may just be going through a rebuild or it may be a gongshow that you don't trust for your development.
College hockey is an appealing option with very high-level competition (players are as old as 24) and the USHL isn't some rinky-dink league like it may have been perceived 20 years ago prior that.
And that's for the Ontario kids. When you go over to Western Canada, the WHL has an absolutely brutal travel schedule because the league's footprint covers such a large geographic region. Look at the Championship this year, you have a team in Winnipeg, MB going up against a team in Kent, WA. A kid can get drafted to a place that's like a 12 hour drive from home, and I'm not sure how easily accessible and often flights are for their family to come out and see them considering a lot of these Junior hockey cities are pretty small. The BCHL is a high-end league and they can go play NCAA hockey afterwards. The AJHL is a bit below but a good league as well. Certainly better than any other Junior A leagues in Canada. So kids from those regions may look at the lighter travel schedule as a big appeal, and then again, get to pick their spot for college hockey.
The Major Junior leagues probably won't change their approach because it's what they've done since who knows how long and many kids will still opt for those leagues. They are very protective of making sure all the teams remain viable and able to get good as opposed to the same few teams in the championship every year (hard to sell season tickets for a junior team that is never going to be any good).. But times are definitely changing, as they're no longer the only place around for where you go if you want to make the NHL.