Actually, Corrado has 18 games and 4 playoff games.
He's almost 2 full years younger than Vey, and defensemen typically take an extra year or two to progress compared to forwards.
Agree with this.
Corrado made exponential progression in 2 of the 3 years since he was selected by the Canucks.
Huh? Exponential progression?
In his draft year he scored 30 points in 67 games (nice for a 5th round pick). In his draft + 1 year he scored an underwhelming 26 points in 60 games. In his draft + 2 year he had a nice breakout and put up 45 points in 69 games in the OHL. That's pretty much exactly what you'd want to see from a Draft + 2 defenseman to suggest NHL potential -- almost no defensemen from the CHL will have meaningful NHL careers if they don't exceed .5PPG by their draft + 2 season. This season put Corrado on the map and included a nice little stint with the Canucks to end the season, for which he was overwhelmingly praised for basically sawing off pretty easy minutes.
Then last year he had an underwhelming turn in Utica to start the year, looked awful in the NHL, and reportedly had a nice end to the season down in the AHL. But he didn't produce a ton of offense and wasn't as good as Tanev was in his first AHL season (though Tanev was about a half year older).
I don't disagree that defensemen take longer and that Corrado is still a promising player who could follow a Chris Tanev like trajectory, but I think "exponential growth" in 2 of 3 seasons is a big stretch.
Linden Vey has made large statistical progression in 2 of the 5 years since he was drafted.
Again, I'm not sure where this is coming from?
His Draft + 1 season was statistically underwhelming after a strong draft season for a 4th rounder (he outproduced Virtanen and Horvat
). But it's worth mentioning that Vey no longer had Ennis on his team and actually led his club in scoring in his draft + 1 season. I would argue it was "small growth" but we can call it static.
His Draft + 2 season was a hallmark exponential growth season though. He jumped up to 116 points and led his team in scoring by 35 points. This is the type of Draft + 2 season you'd expect from a legit prospect playing their 4th full season in the CHL, and it would be hard to argue that Corrado has had a season as dominant at any level.
His first season in the AHL (Draft + 3) is a non-growth year in your books, I'd assume. His 43 points in 74 games isn't that impressive for a 20 year old in the AHL, but it's worth mentioning that he was third on his team in scoring: the leading player had 50 points in 63 games. I wouldn't call it a great season, but it wasn't a bad first year for a player thrust into a top three role immediately in the AHL. I'll give you static on this one.
His next season (Draft + 4) was a definite growth year. He put up 67 points in 74 games, lead the team in scoring by 10+ points, and was third on the club in goals. I assume you have this as a "growth" year?
His last season (Draft + 5) looks like a small growth year to me, as well. He jumped up to 1+ PPG production (48 in 43) and had the highest PPG of any player on the team other than Toffoli, who had 23 in 18 games before getting the call up to the Kings.
Statistically, Vey has progressed at a rate that would make me comfortable projecting him as a possible 2nd/3rd liner with decent offensive upside. His improvement is on a fairly linear upward swing that doesn't raise a lot of questions. At the very least, I'd argue it's probably 3/5 years of solid progression, if not 4/5.
On the merit of progression by age alone, I'm giving Corrado the edge. He doesn't have high end offensive tools, but like Tanev, he will be an excellent defenseman in terms of bang for the buck.
I just don't see this argument concerning "progression by age alone". Sure, Corrado was called up early, but that was mostly due to injuries and poor club management by Gillis and AV. It's not like he played so well that he demanded a call-up.
These guys don't get paid much because they don't put up a ton of points - but they're absolutely key to having a solid blueline. Playing a 2 on 1 properly, making well timed pinches, good breakout pass, clearing the crease, etc.
I'm by no means selling Vey short, but Corrado has shown more, if not the same despite being almost 2 years younger.
I don't disagree with your assessment that Corrado
could be that player, but I think he has more question marks about him. This is an important year for his development, and I'd hope he'd be in the AHL for at least the first half of the season, playing 24 minutes a night so that Benning can see what he has in Corrado before the trade deadline.
Again, it's early, but Corrado was absolutely terrible last year in a tough situation. I need to see more from him.