Which franchises wouldn't suffer attendance issues under these conditions?

IceAce

Strait Trippin'
Jun 9, 2010
5,166
10
Philadelphia
Over the last several years, Tampa Bay, Carolina, and Dallas have won Stanley Cups. Florida made the Cup final against Colorado.

Despite that, Tampa (18th), Carolina (20th), Dallas (23rd), and Florida (22nd), all fall in the bottom half or third of league attendance.

.

C'mon now, The Panthers Cup run was almost 15 years ago and they were still playing in the Miami Arena at the time (< 14k for hockey), not suburban Sunrise (> 17K). .
 

MoreOrr

B4
Jun 20, 2006
24,427
442
Mexico
I thought this thread was about which teams wouldn't suffer attendence issues with on-ice failure??? :dunno:

Or the reverse, how many teams would suffer... going on the assumption that a great many would, which was the opinion of several of the early posters. But now, again unfortunately, it's turned into an attack on certain teams in the League.
 

headsigh

leave at once!
Oct 5, 2008
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Yeah....I'm aware of the discrepancy of seating capacity amongst different arenas in the league, which is why in my last post I opted to use statistics based on % of average seating capacity attained. I also know that on ice success directly ties to attendance. But it's interesting that someone has to win the division in the Southeast every year, guaranteeing that one of Atlanta, TB, Florida, Carolina, or Washington achieves some level of success...and they're still relatively light draws.

True, though I wouldn't consider Washington a light draw with something like a 95% compacity. Carolina had a hot streak for a long time and did fill the barn expectedly, and Tampa Bay derped by having to wait through a lockout to cash in on their Stanley Cup hype- and they averaged 20k in 05-06. Attendance did horrifically drop because of poor management but there seems to be an upward trend going. Not that I'm giving them any credit, because **** the lightning. :rant:

I think it's a similar case to the Central when Detroit when on that enormous tear with all the other teams just being... there. Carolina was our detroit from 2002-2007, now it seems to be the Caps, but obviously both divisions are strengthening.
 

y2kcanucks

Le Sex God
Aug 3, 2006
71,229
10,319
Surrey, BC
But you're looking at it in a vacuum.

The Panthers last made the playoffs at the turn of the decade and haven't one a playoff game in years. The one year they did contend for the playoffs (and didn't make it because Montreal got in on tiebreakers), they finally drew 15k in an arena that for a long time only held 17k.

I've mentioned Carolina, Nashville's and the Stars' woes already.

You mean 08-09 when the Panthers still only averaged 81% capacity?
http://espn.go.com/nhl/attendance/_/year/2009/sort/homePct

What about a team like the Lightning? They drew really well when they won the Stanley Cup, but merely 2 years later their attendance was back in the toilet...
 

Lux Aurumque*

Guest
Leafs, Habs, Canucks, Oilers, Flames, Sens, Rangers, Red Wings, Bruins, and I don't really know much about attendance figures of other teams, however, I can firmly say that none would be as bad as Atlanta, despite how good that team was in the first half, and the last half of last season.

Also, Jets, Nords, Whalers, Hamilton and Toronto #2 would do great.
 

headsigh

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Oct 5, 2008
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You mean 08-09 when the Panthers still only averaged 81% capacity?
http://espn.go.com/nhl/attendance/_/year/2009/sort/homePct

What about a team like the Lightning? They drew really well when they won the Stanley Cup, but merely 2 years later their attendance was back in the toilet...

After they won the cup they averaged 20k in 05-06, 19k the next (95.7%), 91.5 the one after that at 18k, then finally dropping to 90% in 08-09. It took them multiple years of sucking to lower interest in it, and even in their worst standings-wise year post-lockout they had 90% attendance.
 

headsigh

leave at once!
Oct 5, 2008
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Atlanta
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Leafs, Habs, Canucks, Oilers, Flames, Sens, Rangers, Red Wings, Bruins, and I don't really know much about attendance figures of other teams, however, I can firmly say that none would be as bad as Atlanta, despite how good that team was in the first half, and the last half of last season.

Also, Jets, Nords, Whalers, Hamilton and Toronto #2 would do great.

weren't they 13th in the league in 03-04? ESPN doesn't have pct stats for pre-lockout years though.

I vaguely recall them drawing only around 10391 in like 93-94, but I don't remember much about their arena information. Or if it's accurate. I had to go to a different website for that, which claimed it was really rough in the 90s but disputes the 03-04 rating.
 

y2kcanucks

Le Sex God
Aug 3, 2006
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No organization can claim that they have had a worse start than the Ottawa Senators, who were the absolute laughing stock of the league for almost a decade since inception, which included an appauling 24 point season (in 82 games) in 1992-93, yet they still had solid crowds and didn't dip to the levels that we're seeing some teams dip to right now.
 

y2kcanucks

Le Sex God
Aug 3, 2006
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Surrey, BC
weren't they 13th in the league in 03-04? ESPN doesn't have pct stats for pre-lockout years though.

I vaguely recall them drawing only around 10391 in like 93-94, but I don't remember much about their arena information. Or if it's accurate. I had to go to a different website for that, which claimed it was really rough in the 90s but disputes the 03-04 rating.

Capacity at the old Ottawa Civic Centre was around 10,000.
 

Alan Jackson

Registered User
Nov 3, 2005
5,197
59
Langley, BC
Again, I want to emphasize that there may be too much focus on attendance. We should be examining local TV ratings, too.

I one thing if you don't want to pay money attend the games. It's quite another if you can't even be bothered to turn on the television. Anemic TV ratings are far more telling, IMHO, of a market that's struggling.
 

tarheelhockey

Offside Review Specialist
Feb 12, 2010
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Leafs, Habs, Canucks, Oilers, Flames, Sens, Rangers, Red Wings, Bruins, and I don't really know much about attendance figures of other teams, however, I can firmly say that none would be as bad as Atlanta, despite how good that team was in the first half, and the last half of last season.

Bruins
2006-07 14,764

Flames
1999-00 15,322

Sens
2009-10 18,269 (good, but down over 1.5k from two years ago)

Oilers
1995-96 12,335
2000-01 15,612

Canucks
1999-00 14,642

To varying degrees, all of these teams have shown that their attendance rises and falls in correlatiion with team performance and off-ice issues. Ottawa's numbers are still strong right now but I'm willing to bet that they get down into the 16ks if they have to do a true multi-year rebuild.

Also, Jets, Nords, Whalers, Hamilton and Toronto #2 would do great.

There is no reason to believe the Whalers would be immune to attendance slumps. They never were before.
 

headsigh

leave at once!
Oct 5, 2008
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Atlanta
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No organization can claim that they have had a worse start than the Ottawa Senators, who were the absolute laughing stock of the league for almost a decade since inception, which included an appauling 24 point season (in 82 games) in 1992-93, yet they still had solid crowds and didn't dip to the levels that we're seeing some teams dip to right now.

That's true, though Atlanta was no chopped liver either.

-It took them half of a decade to place higher than 3rd in the division. The following season they ended up dropping back to 3rd.

-The whole Dany Heatley thing.

And they were still around 8/10ths of the arena filled until 2008-09.
 

y2kcanucks

Le Sex God
Aug 3, 2006
71,229
10,319
Surrey, BC
Again, I want to emphasize that there may be too much focus on attendance. We should be examining local TV ratings, too.

I one thing if you don't want to pay money attend the games. It's quite another if you can't even be bothered to turn on the television. Anemic TV ratings are far more telling, IMHO, of a market that's struggling.

I don't have all the stats, but according to Neilsen's ratings, the top 10 US teams in 2010 were as follows:

Pittsburgh
Buffalo
Detroit
Chicago
Boston
St. Louis
Philadelphia
Minnesota
Washington
Colorado

in that order.
 

y2kcanucks

Le Sex God
Aug 3, 2006
71,229
10,319
Surrey, BC
Bruins
2006-07 14,764

Flames
1999-00 15,322

Sens
2009-10 18,269 (good, but down over 1.5k from two years ago)

Oilers
1995-96 12,335
2000-01 15,612

Canucks
1999-00 14,642

To varying degrees, all of these teams have shown that their attendance rises and falls in correlatiion with team performance and off-ice issues. Ottawa's numbers are still strong right now but I'm willing to bet that they get down into the 16ks if they have to do a true multi-year rebuild.



There is no reason to believe the Whalers would be immune to attendance slumps. They never were before.

Funny how you can really only pick out 1 or 2 seasons, none back to back either, where attendance figures were low for these teams.
 

Mit Yarrum

HoF Turd Shiner
Apr 1, 2010
5,747
112
From % of capacity, the RBC center averages an 87.9% draw, ranking them 22nd out of 30 teams. So regardless of the size of their arena, and disregarding the actual attendance figures, the number of people the draw relative to what the building is capable of supporting....they're still on the bottom third league-wide from a capacity stand point.

I''m not saying it's not bad considering it's hockey in North Carolina...but it's not overly strong relative to the remainder of the league. The same holds true for most of the southern locations.

For reference....

http://espn.go.com/nhl/attendance/_/sort/allPct

Maybe I'm reading that wrong, but shouldn't you be focusing on the first set of columns instead of the overall which seems to include road games?

http://espn.go.com/nhl/attendance/_/sort/homePct

Sort it by home percentage instead of overall.
 

tarheelhockey

Offside Review Specialist
Feb 12, 2010
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Funny how you can really only pick out 1 or 2 seasons, none back to back either, where attendance figures were low for these teams.

I picked out a low season for each of them. Seemed fair enough, as I was only pointing out that those markets are not "automatic" and not trying to spell out their entire attendance history.

If you prefer:

Edmonton Oilers
1992-93 14,797
1993-94 13,478
1994-95 13,124
1995-96 12,335
1996-97 16,044
1997-98 16,245
1998-99 16,251
1999-00 15,802
2000-01 15,612
 

Dado

Guest
What do you mean by "suffering noticeably"?

Fewer ticket sales?
Fewer actual people in the seats?
Having to lower ticket prices to maintain attendance?
Having to lower ticket prices to get any attendance at all?
Forcing an ownership change?
Forcing an ownership change AND relocation?
 

Finlandia WOAT

js7.4x8fnmcf5070124
May 23, 2010
24,192
23,871
No one is immune.

But some fanbases suffer much less than others. Toronto and the Sens have lost about 1k in actual attendance.

Versus the Thrashers, who have suffered greatly.


Also, it really didn't take long for the blatant trolling to begin. :laugh:
 

y2kcanucks

Le Sex God
Aug 3, 2006
71,229
10,319
Surrey, BC
I picked out a low season for each of them. Seemed fair enough, as I was only pointing out that those markets are not "automatic" and not trying to spell out their entire attendance history.

If you prefer:

Edmonton Oilers
1992-93 14,797
1993-94 13,478
1994-95 13,124
1995-96 12,335
1996-97 16,044
1997-98 16,245
1998-99 16,251
1999-00 15,802
2000-01 15,612

And percent of capacity? The Oilers arena only holds about 16,000 seats, and during 94 or 95 it underwent renovations which could explain the huge dip in 95...
 

danishh

Registered User
Dec 9, 2006
33,018
53
YOW
i think ottawa could sustain it.

the senators would lose money, but the SSAE business is set up very well to cusion sustained losses.

one large factor is that when melnyk came in he kicked ticketmaster out of town. Most sporting events, shows, concerts, etc, use capitaltickets now, a ticket distribution company set up by melnyk and owned by SSAE. The premise was to lower costs for local venue-owners, redirect the profits to the venue owners and the senators, put the jobs in ottawa rather than somewhere else.

In addition, SBP is completely owned by melnyk and he has a good tax deal with the city.

If the sens went to being a midpoint team or a cap-floor to midpoint team, the hockey business itself would probably profit in bad on-ice times as well.

attendance would suffer, but bottom line would be fine. Attendance in ottawa has a number of dynamics working against it in bad times. It's a hockey market, but everyone over 25 grew up cheering for the leafs or habs. They're still hockey fans, and have enjoyed getting their fix with the senators as the team got better, but as it gets worse again they will turn back to their old allegiances. 20 years from now, this problem should be gone, and ottawa will be more comparable to vancouver in terms of attendance, just with lower prices.
 

Retail1LO*

Guest
I thought this thread was about which teams wouldn't suffer attendence issues with on-ice failure??? :dunno:

It is. In determining which teams could withstand on ice failures, it's also to note which ones cannot. Process of elimination.
 

Retail1LO*

Guest
Maybe I'm reading that wrong, but shouldn't you be focusing on the first set of columns instead of the overall which seems to include road games?

http://espn.go.com/nhl/attendance/_/sort/homePct

Sort it by home percentage instead of overall.

Thank you for pointing that out. Curious to hear others point of views, do you notice any major changes when sorting the numbers by your method?

Edit: Looking at the 1st set of columns, the Hurricanes are 21st in home attendance averaging 85.9% total capacity. On the road, the Hurricanes are 25th. Overall, they're 22nd. So regardless of where the Canes play, they're not a big draw. They're pretty bad at home, and it appears that people are even less interested in them elsewhere. Not trying to be a jerk. Just observing the numbers. Where most of the southern teams are pretty bad draws at their own arenas, they're all even terrible when they leave home. It doesn't appear as though most fans are interested in seeing their OWN teams play when some of these teams come into town. They drag everyone else's attendance down, and then want you share revenue with them. LOL
 
Last edited by a moderator:

MoreOrr

B4
Jun 20, 2006
24,427
442
Mexico
What do you mean by "suffering noticeably"?

Fewer ticket sales?
Fewer actual people in the seats?
Having to lower ticket prices to maintain attendance?
Having to lower ticket prices to get any attendance at all?

Forcing an ownership change?
Forcing an ownership change AND relocation?

Let's just look at those four, since the ownership issues can be much more multifaceted.
 

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