The average corsi of a player is 50%, so when a player is below that mark he often gets critized.
I will use Cam Fowler as an example, as I'm well familiar with the game he plays and the situation he is in, and because he often gets criticized due to his below average corsi.
This season, Fowler's CF% is 49.09. That's nearly the worst in Anaheim. Now, let's break down what his corsi actually means.
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Of course, that goal could be of great importance. Or it could be completely insignificant. He could be a plus player if the goalies were playing better, or if the attempts for are better than the attempts against. Or he could end up with worse than -1 if the opposite is true.
These are things we'll never know, because corsi doesn't give a damn about goaltending, shot quality, or when goals are scored. But hopefully this puts things into perspective. So that the next time you decide to criticize a player based on corsi, you'll realize how small marginals we are actually talking about in the greater scheme of things.
A center who is 49% in the faceoff dot isn't all that good at faceoffs, but out of a hundred faceoffs, he's only losing two more than he is winning. The differance is that FO% can easily be applied to one individual. But with corsi, things get very complex when you try to apply it to just one single player.
I will use Cam Fowler as an example, as I'm well familiar with the game he plays and the situation he is in, and because he often gets criticized due to his below average corsi.
This season, Fowler's CF% is 49.09. That's nearly the worst in Anaheim. Now, let's break down what his corsi actually means.
- Game by game (this season), Anaheim gets outshot by 0.38 shots per game when Fowler is on the ice.
- It takes nearly 8 full periods of hockey for Fowler to become a -1 in shot attempts for/against.
- 4,3% of all shot attempts during even strenght (5 on 5) against Anaheim results in a goal. At that rate, Fowler must play 186 periods of hockey before those extra shots against him adds up to a goal. That's 62 games.
- If he was on a team that was getting average goaltending, it would take 201 periods or 67 games before Fowler becomes a -1 in goals for/against.
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Of course, that goal could be of great importance. Or it could be completely insignificant. He could be a plus player if the goalies were playing better, or if the attempts for are better than the attempts against. Or he could end up with worse than -1 if the opposite is true.
These are things we'll never know, because corsi doesn't give a damn about goaltending, shot quality, or when goals are scored. But hopefully this puts things into perspective. So that the next time you decide to criticize a player based on corsi, you'll realize how small marginals we are actually talking about in the greater scheme of things.
A center who is 49% in the faceoff dot isn't all that good at faceoffs, but out of a hundred faceoffs, he's only losing two more than he is winning. The differance is that FO% can easily be applied to one individual. But with corsi, things get very complex when you try to apply it to just one single player.
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