100 goals is possible and I believe I will see it in the next 20-25 years. Lemieux was on pace for 100 before his Hodgins diagnosis in 1993.
Actually, he wasn't. When he left for his medical consultation and then treatments, he'd scored 39 goals in 40 games (pace is for 82 goals in 84 games). Mogilny actually tied him a few days later, on January 8th. It was more when Mario came back from treatment that the Pens went on a late-season tear and he went crazy with something like 28 goals in his final 15 games. But at no time was he on pace for 100.
Gretzky had his 92. And an 87 goal year while missing 6 games. Could Gretzky have scored 13 goals in 6 games? Absolutely.
I think Gretzky had his chance in 1981-82, but -- again -- he'd have needed to scored 50 in 40
twice in the same season. I mean, the guy scored 42 goals in the last 40 games and it was a "slump". He was on pace for 100 goals for about six days or something at the end of 1981, merging into the start of 1982. But by mid-January he'd fallen off the pace.
So, think about this: the two most offensively gifted scorers ever in the history of the sport, playing in the two "easiest" seasons ever for scorers to put up big numbers (1981-82 and 1992-93), both playing for offensively-slanted teams that were easily #1 in League offense, were collectively on pace for a 100-goal season for about a week in one mid-season.
Players with the offensive talent of those two guys come along, say, once every 50 years...? So, there's a 1/50 chance of it being close to happening in a half-century.
Then, those guys have to play in a high-scoring season with a lot of offense. So, now it's about a 1/300 chance of it being close to happening in a half-century.
Then, those guys have to play on really good teams that lead the League in scoring. So, now it's about a 1/800 chance of it being close to happening in a half-century.
So, yeah, if you wait around another 50 years or so, I'd say there's a 1 in 800 chance!
-- Debbie Downer