Value of: Vladimir Tarasenko

Just Linda

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Feb 24, 2018
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Tarasenko is that rare player who's risk outweighs the value right now. The value is astronomical either way. I saw an earlier offer for Ekholm and Forsberg, I feel Tarasenko is worth more than those two combined.
 

Kuznetsnow

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Nov 26, 2019
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Tarasenko is that rare player who's risk outweighs the value right now. The value is astronomical either way. I saw an earlier offer for Ekholm and Forsberg, I feel Tarasenko is worth more than those two combined.

Lol he has slightly better production than Forsberg on a much better offensive team while being 2 years older and having career threatening injury problems that Forsberg doesn't. Not to mention costing more. Forsberg for Tarasenko in 2021 would be a robbery for the blues
 

Just Linda

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Feb 24, 2018
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Lol he has slightly better production than Forsberg on a much better offensive team while being 2 years older and having career threatening injury problems that Forsberg doesn't. Not to mention costing more. Forsberg for Tarasenko in 2021 would be a robbery for the blues

The injury part makes any of those a no go on both sides.

Tarasenko is a better player though. Ekholm doesn't close that gap. Production in one year is one thing, continually being an elite sniper (or near-elite depending on definition) is another.
 

Drake1588

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Before they commit assets to a trade, GMs would want to see where his game is at following his surgeries, and see it for a significant number of games. It sounds like he might get back into games before long. So revisit this at the trade deadline.

If he looks like he's back to form, then as a player he holds strong value. An acquiring team would have him for three playoff seasons (this year and two more). Peg his value at a late first rounder and a quality prospect. Teams will be wary before assuming he's the player he was in the past, though.
 

FameFlame069

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Oct 2, 2017
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He is worth the potential of return to form, a significant value, less ongoing risk [for a relatively short 2 yr period] that even if there is no internal regression, one more bad hit in the wrong spot, and while preferable to a concussion, is still a signif injury.

If the return is not a similar player, and is not futures, value is adjusted by what that return is compared to the Tara barometer.

Rangers keep their bluest blue chips so as to manage their own down the road cap issues, instead offering:

Buch full pop 3.25 expiring end of rfa
Deangelo 4.8 at half = 2.4
total cap is 5.65 = instant 2.1 cap relief to St.L
plus conditional 2024 and 2025 4ths both of which can upgrade to 2nds depending on:
what happens w/Deangelo
what happens w/Tara

something like that

.... i think you're delusional here, ADA ar 50%, Buch and 2 4ths/2nds for Tank? That's highway robbery for the Rangers, you'd need to at least give up a 2nd for any team to take ADA without giving up a top line player, to think Buch + 4th/2nd = Tank is crazy
 
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Kuznetsnow

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Nov 26, 2019
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The injury part makes any of those a no go on both sides.

Tarasenko is a better player though. Ekholm doesn't close that gap. Production in one year is one thing, continually being an elite sniper (or near-elite depending on definition) is another.

You're not paying for what they were, you're paying for what they'll be going forward. And being on the ice has indisputable value as far as actual hockey contributions. The idea that the blues or any team is better off with Tarasenko for 1/3 of a season than Forsberg for a full one is nuts
 

Colt55

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Sep 28, 2017
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He is worth the potential of return to form, a significant value, less ongoing risk [for a relatively short 2 yr period] that even if there is no internal regression, one more bad hit in the wrong spot, and while preferable to a concussion, is still a signif injury.

If the return is not a similar player, and is not futures, value is adjusted by what that return is compared to the Tara barometer.

Rangers keep their bluest blue chips so as to manage their own down the road cap issues, instead offering:

Buch full pop 3.25 expiring end of rfa
Deangelo 4.8 at half = 2.4
total cap is 5.65 = instant 2.1 cap relief to St.L
plus conditional 2024 and 2025 4ths both of which can upgrade to 2nds depending on:
what happens w/Deangelo
what happens w/Tara

something like that


Yeah hells no. Really bad offer. Just really bad.
 

Colt55

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Sep 28, 2017
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Before they commit assets to a trade, GMs would want to see where his game is at following his surgeries, and see it for a significant number of games. It sounds like he might get back into games before long. So revisit this at the trade deadline.

If he looks like he's back to form, then as a player he holds strong value. An acquiring team would have him for three playoff seasons (this year and two more). Peg his value at a late first rounder and a quality prospect. Teams will be wary before assuming he's the player he was in the past, though.
If he hits 35 40 goal pace and looks like his old self you are talking 2 first and a bluechipper for 3 years at that hit. Sorry blues just keep him. Either he plays at is normal or he gets injured and retires. Either way it's better for blues to keep him.
 

Just Linda

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Feb 24, 2018
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You're not paying for what they were, you're paying for what they'll be going forward. And being on the ice has indisputable value as far as actual hockey contributions. The idea that the blues or any team is better off with Tarasenko for 1/3 of a season than Forsberg for a full one is nuts

You pay what the Blues take or you don't get him. Blues aren't taking a discount on him.
 

Kuznetsnow

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Nov 26, 2019
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You pay what the Blues take or you don't get him. Blues aren't taking a discount on him.

I mean most of the NHL is probably happy with the blues having a 7.5 million dollar player who's not playing and quickly gets injured every time he does. Surprised the extra 10 goals a healthy Tarasenko may put up over Forsberg are worth that much though
 

Colt55

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Sep 28, 2017
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I mean most of the NHL is probably happy with the blues having a 7.5 million dollar player who's not playing and quickly gets injured every time he does. Surprised the extra 10 goals a healthy Tarasenko may put up over Forsberg are worth that much though
Everytime he plays he is hurt lol.you sound a lil bhurt. If you look up the last 7 years tarasenko has put up more goals than just about anyone in the playoffs. With exception of last year since he didn't play.
 

Kuznetsnow

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Nov 26, 2019
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Everytime he plays he is hurt lol.you sound a lil bhurt. If you look up the last 7 years tarasenko has put up more goals than just about anyone in the playoffs. With exception of last year since he didn't play.

Was that before or after he tore his shoulder multiple times? Seems like something that may become an issue for a sniper.
 

Bluesnatic27

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Aug 5, 2011
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I mean most of the NHL is probably happy with the blues having a 7.5 million dollar player who's not playing and quickly gets injured every time he does. Surprised the extra 10 goals a healthy Tarasenko may put up over Forsberg are worth that much though
Why is that surprising? Is producing more than his fellow players supposed to make him worth less?
 
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Just Linda

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Feb 24, 2018
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I mean most of the NHL is probably happy with the blues having a 7.5 million dollar player who's not playing and quickly gets injured every time he does. Surprised the extra 10 goals a healthy Tarasenko may put up over Forsberg are worth that much though

10 GAP is 3-4 wins in n a season. That's the difference between bubble and division title often.

Absolutely, those 10 goals above replacement are huge.
 

Kuznetsnow

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Nov 26, 2019
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10 GAP is 3-4 wins in n a season. That's the difference between bubble and division title often.

Absolutely, those 10 goals above replacement are huge.

So Forsberg's 9 goals this year and however many more he had than Tarasenko last year would come in handy, no?
 

Just Linda

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Feb 24, 2018
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So Forsberg's 9 goals this year and however many more he had than Tarasenko last year would come in handy, no?

Blues don't frame Tarasenko's value under what is lost. They aren't trading him at a loss because he missed most of a season with injuries no more than Nashville reduces Forsberg's value based on the fact he's missed time each of the prior two seasons.
 

Kuznetsnow

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Nov 26, 2019
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The two seasons prior forsberg has missed 20 games each...hmmmm

Not quite the same as on the cusp of 30 with 3 major shoulder injuries requiring surgery in 3 years.

I hope Tarasenko comes back to his prior level and stays healthy but it just doesn't seem likely.
 

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