Usman-Covington - I think Colby's only path is basically a repeat of the first fight, but just be a little bit better. He doesn't have fight changing power and I don't think he can wrestle Usman for any significant amount of time. The problem is that we know Usman has gotten a lot better in the striking and is now finishing guys. Usman at -300 seems about right. Colby has a shot, but it would be a surprise.
Rose-Weili - Say what you will about Weili getting an immediate rematch and I agree...but it's a still a damn good fight. Weili needs to bully Rose and drag her into the later rounds. We've seen Rose start to gas even in a 3 round fight against Andrade. Joanna started to take over in the rematch, too, but Rose stole R5 with a takedown. It's not a guarantee to win, but slow down her movement and it becomes more manageable for Weili. I don't see another early stoppage, so I like Weili's chances.
Gaethje-Chandler - I said in another thread, but I think there is a difference in the chins and that's why I'd go with Gaethje. I think Chandler would be smart to look for some takedowns. I don't know if he's too stubborn for that or not.
Burgos-Billy Q - Dark horse for FOTN. Burgos has more experience against top level guys, but the problem is his only win against them was a split decision against Cub. Burgos probably gets it done, but I don't know I'd put him at -200.
Frankie-Vera - I hate to say it, but I think Frankie is washed. I hope he does indeed retire and even better if he goes out on a win against a legit opponent, but I don't know.
Pereira-Michailidis - For those who don't know Pereira is making his UFC debut, but he's a world class kickboxer who beat Izzy in kickboxing twice including Izzy's only KO loss. He's already 34, so I don't know how good his long term prospects are, but he might make some noise with some generous matchmaking.
Ragin' Al-Green - Good to see Ragin' Al again. I think Al is the better fighter, but I mean who knows. He's 34 and hasn't fought in 2 years. He's the underdog, though, so I'd go with him.
Shahbazyan-Imavov - How quickly the mighty have fallen. Shahbazyan was getting put in the title picture talk after head kicking Tavarez. Now he's lost 2 in a row and is lower on the prelims. He's still crazy young, though. Imavov KO'ed Ian Heinisch which says something, is only 25 himself, is from Dagestan, and is fighting out of MMA Factory. Without really knowing anything else about him...it's definitely not a get right fight for Shahbazyan.
