Line Combos: TOR needs to **** or get off the pot in regards to our defense

pucky

Registered User
Jan 11, 2011
8,079
172
Actually Holl is very underrated. Some guys just develop later. He is one of those guys. Everyone is going to massively surprised how good he actually is. He is not afraid of anyone. His speed both skating forwards and backwards and his crossovers/pivots both ways are excellent. His hand eye is ok but not great. He is smart but he took longer to learn defence but he started later than most (just like Gards at 20). It takes a while longer when you switch positions.

Trying to trade to create a defence is not the way to go. Best to sign UFA's and draft draft draft and develop develop develop with Marlies. Leafs are still 2 to 4 years away from serious Cup contention and trying to speed it up usually results in screw ups. The is the Leafs history trade trade trade and it has never worked out. We need to stay the course and let Hunter draft D for next couple seasons. He will hit on a couple. Lilegren needs another 2 seasons with Marlies. It is likely Gards will be traded in summer because it will just be too hard on him and fans every single game. His game results in numerous giveaways per game and the boo birds are going to kill him next season. But the return will be futures much like Kessel deal. Leafs are not going to give him 5m+ per year so to avoid the entire issue best for everyone involved he be traded.

Leafs will sign a UFA or two and defence will be marginally better next season as we wait for drafts and development to occur.
I would give Holl a shot. The Leafs need new blood on D. I would keep Reilly, Dermott and give Holl a shot. The only other veteran I would consider keeping is Hainsey and the only reason is I think it will be difficult to find three new dmen through trades or draft that they can give starting/roster spots. But, they have to try. It's time to accept that you need a major revamping on D. Stop coming back with the same crap year after year and fix this problem.
 
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pucky

Registered User
Jan 11, 2011
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Anyone who thinks Holl is an answer on D is out to lunch. Depth D at best, but likely just a good AHL defenseman. Sure he scored in each of his first 2 games, but so did Pat Sieloff. The guy is 26, he is what he is.
Gardiner, Zaitsev, Polak and Carrick are not the answer and they need to try someone else.
 
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pucky

Registered User
Jan 11, 2011
8,079
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Those four I mentioned are awful and brutal at defensive zone coverage. I'm not even that big of a fan of Reilly but I think his tools he brings is worth keeping and they need to clean house so he's the main veteran I'd keep. Dermott is young and learning while having a good hockey IQ so he stays also (a no brainer). The rest, I think you let go although if you want to keep one 5-6 veteran, I'd opt for Hainsey. But, remember Pitt. let him go. But, if he just has 5-6 minutes, maybe you're okay with him.

The rest I'd send packing or trade the guys you might get something for (i.e. Gardiner). They won't improve if they still keep doing the status quo, especially regarding the defence. If you want to change that horrible 40+ SOG /game on Andersen, you need to clean out the D. Maybe you have 'February Andersen' in April if he is not burnt out from all those shots and having such high quality scoring chances against? I still say he was burnt out and it's much easier to have the 'hot and cold' stretches when that has happened. One or two minor changes is not going to cut it so if you are willing to face reality, then you would demand such drastic changes to that team.
 

Zybalto

Registered User
Dec 28, 2012
9,561
8,920
Gardiner and Zaitsev were just brutal in the playoffs. If you ever checked out the neutral, GDT/Series threads, you'd notice that.

I tended to stay away from those precisely because they were decidedly not good sources for who was playing well this series. There are a number of posters here whose opinions I trust precisely due to their ability to be objective and want what is best for the team and they came to the same conclusion more or less.

I was just using my own eyes and looking at the numbers afterwords to make my conclusions.

Try this for example. Most people on the site thought Morgan Rielly was our best Dman right?

How could I be as unfair as possible to Zaitsev while still doing an easy comparison to Rielly in the series....

How about I compare both of them in ALL situations? Zaitsev's full PK minutes and Rielly's PP minutes are all part of the following comparison.

TOI:
Zaitsev: 145 minutes
Rielly: 143 Minutes

Pretty even usage this series.

Corsi:
Zaitsev: 46.28%
Rielly: 42.65%

Shots For:
Zaitsev: 70
Rielly: 64

Shots Against:
Zaitsev: 83
Rielly: 82

Scoring chances for:
Zaitsev: 70
Rielly: 69

Scoring chances against:
Zaitsev: 75
Rielly: 88

High Danger scoring chances for:
Zaitsev: 29
Rielly: 19

High Danger scoring chances against:
Zaitsev: 24
Rielly: 25

Goals for:
Zaitsev: 4
Rielly: 10

Goals against:
Zaitsev: 9
Rielly: 9

Stats speak for themselves.
 

pucky

Registered User
Jan 11, 2011
8,079
172
I tended to stay away from those precisely because they were decidedly not good sources for who was playing well this series. There are a number of posters here whose opinions I trust precisely due to their ability to be objective and want what is best for the team and they came to the same conclusion more or less.

I was just using my own eyes and looking at the numbers afterwords to make my conclusions.

Try this for example. Most people on the site thought Morgan Rielly was our best Dman right?

How could I be as unfair as possible to Zaitsev while still doing an easy comparison to Rielly in the series....

How about I compare both of them in ALL situations? Zaitsev's full PK minutes and Rielly's PP minutes are all part of the following comparison.

TOI:
Zaitsev: 145 minutes
Rielly: 143 Minutes

Pretty even usage this series.

Corsi:
Zaitsev: 46.28%
Rielly: 42.65%

Shots For:
Zaitsev: 70
Rielly: 64

Shots Against:
Zaitsev: 83
Rielly: 82

Scoring chances for:
Zaitsev: 70
Rielly: 69

Scoring chances against:
Zaitsev: 75
Rielly: 88

High Danger scoring chances for:
Zaitsev: 29
Rielly: 19

High Danger scoring chances against:
Zaitsev: 24
Rielly: 25

Goals for:
Zaitsev: 4
Rielly: 10

Goals against:
Zaitsev: 9
Rielly: 9

Stats speak for themselves.
No, they don't. It doesn't prove anything. I watched the games and the giveaways were highly against Zaitsev. Zaitsev and Gardiner were giveaway machines. The entire D struggled all series so merely comparing two with Corsi doesn't give the entire picture. Reilly has much more potential and they need him for the PP plus he still has skill whereas Zaitsev looks like he has regressed, if anything. I've already posted that I'm not a fan of any of their dmen although I think Dermott could turn out to be pretty good. He already has a decent hockey IQ and just has to learn the game (his position). I don't think he's going to learn much from that crew, though. They need new blood for more than one reason.

EDIT: P.S. ' because they were decidedly not good sources for who was playing well this series'
I disagree. Maybe you need objective eyes and probably many there could display that. You are looking at it subjectively and don't want to face reality.
 

CantLoseWithMatthews

Registered User
Sep 28, 2015
49,722
59,465
No, they don't. They don't prove anything. I watched the games and the giveaways were highly against Zaitsev. Zaitsev and Gardiner were giveaway machines. The entire D struggled all series so merely comparing two with Corsi doesn't give the entire picture. Reilly has much more potential and they need him for the PP plus he still has skill whereas Zaitsev looks like he has regressed, if anything. I've already posted that I'm not a fan of any of their dmen although I think Dermott could turn out to be pretty good. He already has a decent hockey IQ and just has to learn the game (his position). I don't think he's going to learn much from that crew, though. They need new blood for more than one reason.
Dermott and Polak had more giveaways. using giveaways as your sole measure for defense is stupid anyway
 
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Gallagbi

Formerly Eazy_B97
Jul 5, 2005
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11,527
I tended to stay away from those precisely because they were decidedly not good sources for who was playing well this series. There are a number of posters here whose opinions I trust precisely due to their ability to be objective and want what is best for the team and they came to the same conclusion more or less.

I was just using my own eyes and looking at the numbers afterwords to make my conclusions.

Try this for example. Most people on the site thought Morgan Rielly was our best Dman right?

How could I be as unfair as possible to Zaitsev while still doing an easy comparison to Rielly in the series....

How about I compare both of them in ALL situations? Zaitsev's full PK minutes and Rielly's PP minutes are all part of the following comparison.

TOI:
Zaitsev: 145 minutes
Rielly: 143 Minutes

Pretty even usage this series.
.....
Who were there most commonly faces opposition?
 

pucky

Registered User
Jan 11, 2011
8,079
172
Dermott and Polak had more giveaways. using giveaways as your sole measure for defense is stupid anyway
Maybe but Gardiner's and Zaitsev's seemed to result in good scoring chances for Boston. I guess there must be some reason that Gardiner was considered the scapegoat for game 7. I wonder why....what on earth could it be???? :rolleyes: He wasn't just bad in game 7.
 

CantLoseWithMatthews

Registered User
Sep 28, 2015
49,722
59,465
Maybe but Gardiner's and Zaitsev's seemed to result in good scoring chances for Boston. I guess there must be some reason that Gardiner was considered the scapegoat for game 7. I wonder why....what on earth could it be???? :rolleyes: He wasn't just bad in game 7.
he was terrible in game 7, but good in the rest of the series. Mistakes stand out more when they end up in the back of your net, and Andersen did no favours for anyone
 

pucky

Registered User
Jan 11, 2011
8,079
172
he was terrible in game 7, but good in the rest of the series. Mistakes stand out more when they end up in the back of your net, and Andersen did no favours for anyone
LOL! Not sure what planet you're on but have fun there. I'll stay in the real world, thanks.
 

BlueBaron

Registered User
May 29, 2006
15,674
6,308
Sarnia, On
I tended to stay away from those precisely because they were decidedly not good sources for who was playing well this series. There are a number of posters here whose opinions I trust precisely due to their ability to be objective and want what is best for the team and they came to the same conclusion more or less.

I was just using my own eyes and looking at the numbers afterwords to make my conclusions.

Try this for example. Most people on the site thought Morgan Rielly was our best Dman right?

How could I be as unfair as possible to Zaitsev while still doing an easy comparison to Rielly in the series....

How about I compare both of them in ALL situations? Zaitsev's full PK minutes and Rielly's PP minutes are all part of the following comparison.

TOI:
Zaitsev: 145 minutes
Rielly: 143 Minutes

Pretty even usage this series.

Corsi:
Zaitsev: 46.28%
Rielly: 42.65%

Shots For:
Zaitsev: 70
Rielly: 64

Shots Against:
Zaitsev: 83
Rielly: 82

Scoring chances for:
Zaitsev: 70
Rielly: 69

Scoring chances against:
Zaitsev: 75
Rielly: 88

High Danger scoring chances for:
Zaitsev: 29
Rielly: 19

High Danger scoring chances against:
Zaitsev: 24
Rielly: 25

Goals for:
Zaitsev: 4
Rielly: 10

Goals against:
Zaitsev: 9
Rielly: 9

Stats speak for themselves.

One important element is missing. Who were they defending against during that time? I'll wager Rielly saw more time against top competition.
 

pucky

Registered User
Jan 11, 2011
8,079
172
One important element is missing. Who were they defending against during that time? I'll wager Rielly saw more time against top competition.
For sure.

Not to mention, all the hockey analysts were saying that the Bruins would intentionally throw the puck in Gardiner's (and Zaitsev's?) corner and just go after him. This was a strategy most teams use against the Leafs. Gardiner can't play his position and he's soft. He's a decent PP/point defenceman and can start the odd rush but overall, he's a bad dman, period. I'll reiterate, the Leafs need fresh blood at that position if they are going forward (and hoping to improve).
 

Zybalto

Registered User
Dec 28, 2012
9,561
8,920
No, they don't. It doesn't prove anything. I watched the games and the giveaways were highly against Zaitsev. Zaitsev and Gardiner were giveaway machines. The entire D struggled all series so merely comparing two with Corsi doesn't give the entire picture. Reilly has much more potential and they need him for the PP plus he still has skill whereas Zaitsev looks like he has regressed, if anything. I've already posted that I'm not a fan of any of their dmen although I think Dermott could turn out to be pretty good. He already has a decent hockey IQ and just has to learn the game (his position). I don't think he's going to learn much from that crew, though. They need new blood for more than one reason.

EDIT: P.S. ' because they were decidedly not good sources for who was playing well this series'
I disagree. Maybe you need objective eyes and probably many there could display that. You are looking at it subjectively and don't want to face reality.

While Zaitsev's 6 giveaways this series may have been enough to downplay his great analytics, I highly doubt it.

You have to remember I was comparing ALL situations here. Zaitsev's 19:15 min on the PK and Rielly's 13:16 on the PP are included in these numbers.

This comparison is so insanely skewed against Zaitsev it really isnt fair to even list....but I did anyways to show you how good his numbers were this series. I understand Rielly faced better quality of competition 5v5 which is another reason I showed the data this way. Zaitsev himself had more than a few shifts against Boston's top line and who do you think he was facing on the PK for 15% of his sample? Those same guys at a major disadvantage....and Zaitsev still comes out of it with better numbers.

As far as objectivity goes, I'm agreeing with the data here. You are going against it with no evidence at all except for other peoples opinions (which can be contagious around here and throughout the media). I dont have to be a fan or biased in one way or another to admit he was a train wreck for the first 3/4 of the season before he started to turn it around. I love that his game peaked for us at the right time. I hope he continues to build on it from here at we need him, especially after the contract he signed.

Whos not being objective?
 
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thewave

Registered User
Jun 17, 2011
40,545
10,488
Get off the pot, how?? We have no assets to trade for a D now. We spent those on our 1st round exit and so unless you want to trade Nylander or Kadri, I don't see how we get help at D without mortgaging the future.
 
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luvdahattymatty

Registered User
Apr 8, 2018
511
405
Gardiner is not a defenceman. He is a converted centre. It has been 8 years of people saying hey this guys has beautiful edgework, can skate, good hands and size. We can make him a defenceman. He will NEVER EVER be a defenceman. You have to have the heartfelt desire to play defence. It is a very tough position to play. Maybe Leafs will move him back to centre next year. Thats what he loves to do. I do not blame him. He says all the right things but it was never ingrained in him. When all the sports talking heads in toronto talk about his mistakes and say well those mistakes should have been corrected when he was 12. Well guess what folks he STARTED learning defence on the fly at University of Wisconsin. There is a reason he can't pivot to his left. Why do you think goal 5 had a chance? Our sports media people are not hockey people. They are talking heads. Take a look at the tape under pressure he ALWAYS pivots to his right. This is an extremely difficult skill to learn at 20. People are throwing him under the bus and it really is unfair. He is still a major project under development to learn defence. It has nothing to do with fact he is 28. He has 8 years of experience now as a defence. Dermott has been playing defence since he was 5. Rielly since atom. They have many many more years of experience and coaches who actually teach them. The nhl is not where you learn defence. nhl coaches are people managers not position and skill teachers. He just does not have the ingrained experience to fall back on.
 

Falon

Registered User
May 21, 2004
2,113
36
Kitchener, Ontario
Get off the pot, how?? We have no assets to trade for a D now. We spent those on our 1st round exit and so unless you want to trade Nylander or Kadri, I don't see how we get help at D without mortgaging the future.

QFT, plain and simple. There was no defensemen that the Leafs could have gotten and be a smart move. Here is the good news though. With the assets that Toronto gains this draft, the development of several prospects in the system and next years picks, they will be able to make a significant deadline acquisition next season. Patience is what is needed here among fans most of all.
 

Duke16

Registered User
Apr 14, 2015
4,797
1,731
Ontario
I like the idea of building the D through picks, but Im not sure how confident I am in Hunters ability to do that.

Dermott - excellent
Nielsen - looked okay, cant skate or defend
Lindgren - best value D pick yet
Desrocher - gone
Greenway - tools no tool box
Middleton - ew
Mattinen - " "
Rasanen - some good tools, but a longshot
Gordeev - meh
O'Connell - too hard to project

Didn't include Liljegren cause every Leaf fan and their dog makes that pick.
 

Trapper

Registered User
Nov 21, 2013
23,809
11,133
QFT, plain and simple. There was no defensemen that the Leafs could have gotten and be a smart move. Here is the good news though. With the assets that Toronto gains this draft, the development of several prospects in the system and next years picks, they will be able to make a significant deadline acquisition next season. Patience is what is needed here among fans most of all.
Why did it have to be a today or bust D acquisition?
A 1st round pick is still good today and this summer if something comes available now.
 

LeafFever

Registered User
Feb 12, 2016
18,890
6,178
The Leafs aren't in a bad place at all. They barely lost to Boston despite most of their core playing bad and Kadri being suspended.
Tampa has some really serious cap concerns coming up.
 
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Havoc

Registered User
Jul 25, 2009
7,306
7,545
Some of the goals Boston scored, Leafs weren't allowing. After game 1 we didn't let their top line get those shots off from the slot. That Marchand to Bergeron goal would have been blocked or stick checked.


Tampa simply came unprepared it seems. Disregarded the tape.
 

Hclass47

Registered User
Apr 28, 2018
374
204
Fully agree. This is by far Lou's biggest failing as GM. A+ forwards, A+ goalie and C- defense. That might be a bit generous too.
Either way, he's done as GM and the d will look reasonably different to start the season.

A team can’t be fixed over night. And to think D men can easily be acquired we are all mistaken. Look at the costs required to obtain some of these players. Big time talent and or major assets going the other way for mediocre d in some cases. It’s Way to early to start gutting and going all in
 

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