News Article: The Vancouver Canucks Have Been Lucky

[CherryToke]

http://nhlnumbers.com/2014/12/2/the-vancouver-canucks-have-been-lucky#comments

what do you all think of this piece?

Click to read more...

 

[Ryp37]

Guy had to use charts to tell us Injuries to star players-bad luck

And if Van is projected to finish third in the division then were laughing

 

[Baby Pettersson]

I don't get what the point is. We haven't had very many injuries. So it means we suck?

Montreal and Pittsburg have had even less injuries. I guess they suck even more!

 

[Peter Skudra]

Guy had to use charts to tell us Injuries to star players-bad luck

And if Van is projected to finish third in the division then were laughing

Presidents Trophy or bust

 

[Verviticus]

i dont need an article to tell me that the team has been lucky. its pretty obvious

edit: lol the commenters on canucksarmy are so ****ing bad

 

[Peter10]

I love those sort of analytic stuff but I think what several (most?) people fail to recognize that its not the "all-end-truth". All it does is giving an indication for a trend but nothing more.

Its the same with PDO. Yes, the average is 1 but you will rarely see a team at one. Average means you have pretty much one half above it and the other half below it. A top team with a good goalie and several snipers will usually always end up with a good PDO but it doesnt mean they are lucky but only that they are likely an above average team playing up to their potential.

However, if there is a team that looks not so good on paper but has a good PDO, they are probably playing a bit above their level and might slow down. So you always have to relate those stats to the team itself.

Its no different with injuries. Just because the Canucks have had very few injuries to core players so far, it doesnt mean that they will come in bunches now.

Also if one of your top 6 guys goes down with a season ending injury after game 5 and you acquire a similar player for draft picks / futures to replace him. It gives you an advantage in that stat because you have lost a significant player but sort of still have the same team.

To make sense out of all those new fancy stats, you have to look at quite a few of them and it normally evens out. If it doesnt, your team is probably in deep doo-doo, other than that you can probably find some sort of stat for every team to "prove" that they playing above or below of their capability.

 

[Peter Bazooka]

http://nhlnumbers.com/2014/12/2/the-vancouver-canucks-have-been-lucky#comments

what do you all think of this piece?

I think people should just get over it and admit the Canucks are a better team then they thought.

 

[Blueangel1891]

We lost a Stanley Cup due to injury's.

We deserve good karma for another decade

 

[Samzilla]

We lost a Stanley Cup due to injury's.

We deserve good karma for another decade

It wasn't just injuries. It was also the league deciding the rulebook didn't apply to the Bruins while applying it threefold to us.

 

[DL44]

Look how lucky Buffalo and Arizona have been!
Good for them.

 

[MS]

Health is the most under-rated factor in determining team success, and yeah, it's pretty much down to luck.

Last year we were unlucky.

This year we've been lucky.

The results aren't surprising.

 

[Wilch]

Health is the most under-rated factor in determining team success, and yeah, it's pretty much down to luck.

Last year we were unlucky.

This year we've been lucky.

The results aren't surprising.

Pretty much.

We can take on any team in a 7 game series if 2-3 of their top guys are either nicked up or out of the lineup.

Obviously, Hamhuis being out hurts, but our squad has remained injury-free for the most part of this season so far, and it has benefited us greatly.

 

[Bourne Endeavor]

Well, if we win the cup. We'll have to put an asterix on it for being lucky.

 

[deckercky]

The Canucks have been lucky in terms of injuries. Haven't they been unlucky in terms of PDO?

 

[Burke's Evil Spirit]

PDO is a really crappy measure of luck (you can be really really lucky with a "normal" PDO).

 

[Jay Cee]

The Kings should give their cup back from 2012 for having "unsustainable matrices" in the injury department.

 

[IntangiBo]

Is that the skate cut on Burrows face in a luck article?

 

[LiquidSnake]

Up all night to get lucky...

 

[nekyvGkOPaiWICTscLl6]

HF Article #1 entitled "Canucks mean business".
HF Article #2 entitled "Canucks lucky".

Make up your mind.

 

[Grumbler]

We have been lucky, this team doesn't deserve the record given how its played...

 

[Shink]

Lol, what a bunch of absolute bull ****.

The guy says in the article that when it accounts for Hamhuis being gone, the Canucks will fall more towards the middle of that stupid little chart. He says that, and then says it doesn't matter because we wouldn't have it as bad as the blue jackets.

Seriously? What a bunch of crap.

 

[Huggy]

HF Article #1 entitled "Canucks mean business".
HF Article #2 entitled "Canucks lucky".

Make up your mind.

loool

 

[CherryToke]

We have been lucky, this team doesn't deserve the record given how its played...

tonight we were sure lucky.

 

[Mighty Chin]

I've never been more impressed with the Canucks. Especially their effort coming back from a bad goal. Coach and young blood are doing wonders for them.

 

[Nucker101]

I'd take 3rd in the division happily.