I voted 50 - 59%. There is no doubt that Scrivens has talent, and can play net. There is doubt that he can handle a season being "the guy". Its not easy. Ask Salo, Shtalenkov, back up Bob Essensa, and the myriad of goalies that we have had since Cujo played here.
I won't even say Cujo was that great, he sucked regular season, you had to get the guy into the playoffs to shine. Its been a long time since the Oilers had a great goalie. To long. I don't think throwing Scrivens to the wolves is going to help him, and I have some respect for Fasth, so I am not saying he can't play.
However, we have brought in three new guys on D. Anytime you make that many changes, it takes time to get to know tendencies, and how to play as a unit. Good luck. Its going to be a tough ride, I am afraid. Goalies have to make up for all the mistakes, and they take most of the blame. To many turnovers, and to many bad decisions with the puck has lost most Oiler games. I don't expect that trend to change. I hope I am pleasantly surprised.