Might as well put this here ....
IMO we need to make plans to open society without vaccines, at least in most areas.
A vaccine may never happen. We have never had one for the common cold, and likely never will. We never did get one for SARS or MERS. So there exists a strong possibility that we'll never get one for the Wuhan virus. Example:
There may never be a vaccine for COVID-19
Also, we get a vaccine every year for the flu, yet thousands did from the flu every year.
In fact, it is now being widely discussed that a vaccine may make this worse. The reason is that in time the virus would die out. But with a vaccine it would mutate from something relatively benign to something serious. Example:
As pressure for coronavirus vaccine mounts, scientists debate risks of accelerated testing
The stats show that this is only a regional problem. (However, the affected regions hold disproportionate political and media influence.)
Prov | Conf'd | Rec'd | Dead |
---|
Manitoba | 290
+0 | 251 | 7 |
Quebec | 39,931
+706 | 10,470 | 3,220 |
Ontario | 21,494
+329 | 16,204 | 1,798 |
Alberta | 6,407
+62 | 5,076 | 120 |
B.C. | 2,376
+16 | 1,859 | 132 |
Nova Scotia | 1,026
+4 | 909 | 51 |
Sask. | 577
+4 | 385 | 6 |
Nfld. | 261
+0 | 244 | 3 |
N.B. | 120
+0 | 118 | 0 |
P.E.I. | 27
+0 | 27 | 0 |
Yukon | 11
+0 | 11 | 0 |
N.W.T. | 5
+0 | 5 | 0 |
Nunavut | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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Manitoba releases daily numbers. Hospitalizations are down to 4 people. (Yet they cancelled operations and other diagnostics, as did other provinces, which will no doubt cause several more deaths than this virus.)
Government cannot now come out and admit they were wrong. Scientists can't say oops we goofed, but believe us now that we have more data.
Some people will no doubt stop going out for years as a by-product of the fear mongering.
Open public defiance of authorities is growing and hopefully government will act before violence erupts. My fear is that some politicians have too much invested in this (money and reputation) to allow this "crisis" to go away easily.
We now are getting information on "excess deaths". In select jurisdictions, it was found that the number of deaths since the Wuhan virus were up from the expected amount, the difference being "excess deaths" attributable to the virus. But on analysis, a majority of jurisdictions saw deaths go DOWN! So either the virus is a good thing (!) or scientists who offered this theory were wrong.
Story:
Excess deaths? Not in Canada during pandemic's early days, StatCan says