Really liked Yost's blog today on HockeyBuzz. The L1 vs. L2/L3/L4 possession rates was revealing and can, I think, be used as an effective measure of good vs. great teams. There will be clearly be flux in the lineup througout the year based on performance, injuries, etc.... So what we're really talking about is what the lineup is likely to look like at the start of the year with only training camp and a few pre-season games as a guide for the coaching staff on how their players have progressed since last year. With that in mind, I continue to think the Sens wil begin the season like this.....
Greening - Spezza - Ryan
MacArthur - Turris - Michalek
Conacher - Zibby - Condra
Smith - Pageau - Neil
(JOB, Kassian)
Perhaps there's a minor deal made where JOB is traded for a pick or something. Aside from that I think the forward grouping above represents the best prediction of the opening-night lineup based on how MacLean has distributed playing time in the past and where each player is in their career progression. I maintain that Mark Stone is unlikely to make the leap from spot-player to first line NHL'er at the start of this season. I also think that Cory Conacher will need to prove his first half production last season was not a fluke and that J.G. Pageau is a player the organization wants on the roster now and playing at his natural center position.
Maybe Alfie leaving is, in a way, a good thing. It not only kicks off a new era for team leadership but it also offers the opportunity for young, deserving players to earn top-6 minutes. For now I think that immediate opportunity falls to Turris, Greening, and MacArthur but they'll have plenty of competion from guys like Conacher, Zibby, Stone, Hoffman, Pageau, and perhaps even Lazar. And that is a really good thing for the health of this team long term.